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Amager vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 95-85
21-23 31-22 20-18 23-22
Position#6
Record6-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game93.0
Amager 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record6-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game92.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Amager v Holbaek-Stenhus
08 Apr 2026
AMAG98
HOLB86
18 Dec 2025
AMAG96
HOLB90
03 May 2025
AMAG98
HOLB106
08 Mar 2025
AMAG95
HOLB85
30 Dec 2024
AMAG103
HOLB82
26 Apr 2024
AMAG99
HOLB91
13 Oct 2023
AMAG83
HOLB84
18 Mar 2023
AMAG82
HOLB78
28 Oct 2022
AMAG90
HOLB88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 76
A07/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
94-117
94
117
-23
89avg 76
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
58avg 76
A21/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
103-82
103
82
+21
101avg 76
H30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
99-121
99
121
-22
82avg 76
A05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
75-114
75
114
-39
44avg 76
H16/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
68avg 76
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
97-70
97
70
+27
94avg 76
H02/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 76
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 76
H13/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-21
29-23
15-12
20-33
26-21
22-32
26-31
18-25
14-27
23-25
17-28
26-16
27-25
26-21
24-20
19-26
27-27
34-37
19-31
14-30
22-32
17-28
22-24
21-20
23-24
14-22
19-18
25-26
26-22
20-11
26-11
24-30
22-19
20-23
12-17
30-21
16-23
20-15
27-16
179.9Avg total
86.7Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.293.0179.2-6.830%
Season at home (10)90.590.9181.4-0.450%
Season away (10)81.995.2177.1-13.310%
Last 10 (10)86.793.2179.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)84.086.4170.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)83.098.4181.4-15.418%
vs Similar (4)89.287.0176.2+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.983.6175.5+8.262%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
L
82-103
82
103
-21
63avg 64
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 64
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
72avg 64
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
48avg 64
A14/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
68avg 64
A19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
49-107
49
107
-58
17avg 64
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-99
71
99
-28
47avg 64
H01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
54avg 64
A07/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
104-82
104
82
+22
96avg 64
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 64
H03/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
25-27
21-26
20-24
13-15
29-18
22-16
22-32
17-16
25-27
15-19
23-18
12-23
13-31
24-29
20-21
13-17
22-27
20-28
22-15
8-22
15-30
16-27
10-28
25-27
8-23
21-30
17-19
14-24
22-20
8-22
29-14
20-20
27-26
27-23
30-13
21-20
32-23
24-9
21-25
170.4Avg total
79.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.292.3172.5-12.029%
Season at home (11)84.292.6176.8-8.545%
Season away (10)75.991.9167.8-16.010%
Last 10 (10)79.491.0170.4-11.630%
Last 5 (5)79.089.0168.0-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.696.1170.7-21.66%
vs Similar (11)89.587.0176.5+2.555%
vs Weaker (2)72.079.0151.0-7.050%
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
AmagerHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A21/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H16/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H02/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H13/02
Basketligaen
92.2Avg total
43.5Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.847.690.4-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.249.092.2-5.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.445.988.3-3.621%-
Last 10 (10)43.548.792.2-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.649.494.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)41.148.990.0-7.824%-
vs Similar (4)40.045.885.8-5.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.844.991.6+1.950%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A14/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H01/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H03/03
Basketligaen
83.9Avg total
37.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.045.784.6-6.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.946.987.8-6.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.144.481.5-7.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.746.283.9-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.447.085.4-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.247.884.0-11.519%-
vs Similar (11)43.544.588.1-1.055%-
vs Weaker (2)36.531.067.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.3
49.9%
51.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.8
34.3%
32.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.813.9
61.0%
70.2%13.9
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.917.7
43.3%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.8
27.9%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.116.6
71.9%
70.2%16.6
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
WLWLLLWLLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
WWLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#7
-7.4
Net rating
-13.7
100.3
Offensive rating
92.8
107.7
Defensive rating
106.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
42.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.3%
3-point %
27.9%
58.2%
Assist %
40.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 92.8Defence107.7 · 106.5Shooting50.5% · 42.7%3-point %34.3% · 27.9%Ball care17.6% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Amager   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Amager wins
5
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HHerlev Wolfpack93-75
09/02/25ASvendborg78-89
02/02/25HBears Academy97-70
30/01/25AVaerlose77-84
16/01/25HRanders75-114
05/01/25ATeam FOG Naestved99-121
30/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus103-82
21/12/24ABakken Bears72-105
12/12/24HHorsens94-117
07/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25HVaerlose98-77
13/02/25HVaerlose104-82
07/02/25AHerlev Wolfpack73-80
01/02/25HRanders71-99
28/01/25HTeam FOG Naestved49-107
19/01/25AHorsens77-87
14/01/25ABakken Bears69-104
10/01/25ACopenhagen85-90 OT
04/01/25HBears Academy86-81
30/12/24AAmager82-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%50%10%
Points / game86.290.581.9
Allowed / game93.090.995.2
Point differential-6.8-0.4-13.3
Avg total179.2181.4177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game80.284.275.9
Allowed / game92.392.691.9
Point differential-12.0-8.5-16.0
Avg total172.5176.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg2218482%87.575.0+12.6
2 Team FOG Naestved2218482%97.587.6+9.9
3 Horsens2217577%88.079.4+8.6
4 Bakken Bears2216673%94.682.3+12.3
5 Randers2215768%92.681.1+11.5
6 Copenhagen2281436%83.384.8-1.5
7 Amager2061430%86.293.0-6.8
8 Herlev Wolfpack2161529%79.388.7-9.4
9 Holbaek-Stenhus2161529%80.292.3-12.0
10 Vaerlose2151624%77.090.0-13.0
11 Bears Academy2131814%74.789.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager2131202395
Holbaek-Stenhus2322182285
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