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Aomori vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 91-95
23-22 21-22 24-26 23-25
Position#8
Record29-27
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record21-35
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game77.3
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Nara
09 Mar 2025
AOMO74
NARA86
08 Mar 2025
AOMO74
NARA85
14 Apr 2024
AOMO90
NARA103
13 Apr 2024
AOMO91
NARA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
89avg 75
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 75
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-96
78
96
-18
73avg 75
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 75
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
49avg 75
A27/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 75
H30/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 75
H31/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
93-108
93
108
-15
84avg 75
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
91avg 75
A07/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
22-17
19-8
20-22
22-21
29-24
16-27
28-28
14-21
26-20
18-17
20-27
23-33
15-23
25-22
15-18
21-21
19-17
17-17
13-25
15-27
20-23
15-18
17-23
26-12
18-18
20-18
26-25
20-19
30-14
24-27
24-29
20-20
20-31
20-26
33-31
26-23
23-12
20-20
27-24
173.0Avg total
84.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)85.587.1172.6-1.652%
Season at home (28)82.886.8169.6-4.050%
Season away (28)88.287.4175.6+0.854%
Last 10 (10)84.988.1173.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)88.888.0176.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.296.4177.6-15.112%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.385.2171.6+1.156%
vs Weaker (4)84.076.8160.8+7.275%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
62-75
62
75
-13
49avg 66
A10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 66
H16/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 66
H17/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
70avg 66
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 66
H24/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
71-42
71
42
+29
73avg 66
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 66
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 66
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
66avg 66
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 66
H07/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
14-25
11-15
10-18
21-13
18-22
23-22
25-20
24-22
33-19
13-26
14-20
22-16
12-27
22-25
18-13
15-23
23-20
15-21
21-19
9-15
20-11
23-6
19-10
15-14
24-26
16-22
15-16
15-10
18-21
17-26
17-24
20-14
19-31
22-23
14-26
26-21
16-20
14-16
23-15
151.3Avg total
74.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)73.977.3151.2-3.538%
Season at home (28)76.380.4156.7-4.143%
Season away (28)71.474.2145.7-2.832%
Last 10 (10)74.377.0151.3-2.730%
Last 5 (5)72.473.4145.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.474.2147.6-0.842%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.777.9150.6-5.225%
vs Weaker (2)94.586.0180.5+8.550%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
AomoriNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/04
B2.League
84.3Avg total
42.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.585.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.985.1-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)43.142.185.2+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.284.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.883.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.247.689.9-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.641.083.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker (4)43.839.082.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/04
B2.League
77.8Avg total
39.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.076.3-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.341.181.3-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)34.436.971.3-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.777.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.673.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.236.472.6-0.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.039.976.9-2.931%-
vs Weaker (2)47.047.094.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.4
53.8%
52.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.5
37.4%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.811.7
69.6%
71.0%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.6
51.9%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.1
30.9%
33.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
71.0%13.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WLWWLLLLLW
Nara
WLLLWLLLWL
#8
League position
#11
-5.2
Net rating
-3.0
111.5
Offensive rating
102.4
116.8
Defensive rating
105.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.4%
3-point %
30.9%
66.1%
Assist %
65.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 102.4Defence116.8 · 105.4Shooting54.7% · 49.8%3-point %37.4% · 30.9%Ball care14.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds23.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Aomori   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aomori wins
2
Nara wins
DateGameScore
24/12/23Nara v Aomori76-75
23/12/23Nara v Aomori90-82
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AShizuoka96-79
06/04/24AShizuoka93-108
31/03/24HKumamoto98-89
30/03/24HKumamoto90-73
27/03/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-91
24/03/24HYamagata Wyverns70-80
23/03/24HYamagata Wyverns78-96
17/03/24AAltiri Chiba78-85
16/03/24AAltiri Chiba95-100
10/03/24AIwate84-80 OT
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HKobe79-72
06/04/24HKobe75-94
31/03/24AShiga67-81
30/03/24AShiga70-78
27/03/24AFukuoka71-42
24/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings74-83
23/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings74-81
17/03/24HKumamoto84-87
16/03/24HKumamoto87-77
10/03/24AShizuoka62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game85.582.888.2
Allowed / game87.186.887.4
Point differential-1.6-4.0+0.8
Avg total172.6169.6175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)83% (6)53% (15)
Overtime %9%7%11%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWLWLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %38%43%32%
Points / game73.976.371.4
Allowed / game77.380.474.2
Point differential-3.5-4.1-2.8
Avg total151.2156.7145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)50% (6)29% (7)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5652493%91.577.1+14.4
2 Shiga57421574%86.979.3+7.6
3 Fukuoka56352162%77.875.4+2.4
4 Koshigaya Alphas56342261%84.075.1+8.9
5 Kumamoto56322457%84.984.8+0.1
6 Aomori56292752%85.587.1-1.6
7 Yamagata Wyverns56292752%81.884.5-2.7
8 Kobe57273047%79.878.4+1.3
9 Shizuoka56253145%81.181.7-0.6
10 Ehime Orange Vikings56223439%79.584.1-4.6
11 Nara56213538%73.977.3-3.5
12 Fukushima56213538%81.285.4-4.2
13 Iwate56173930%71.775.7-4.0
14 Niigata5674912%73.286.9-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2321242391
Nara2222262595
← all games of the day
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