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Aomori vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 90-103
28-27 22-29 15-22 25-25
Position#8
Record29-28
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record22-35
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.6
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Nara
09 Mar 2025
AOMO74
NARA86
08 Mar 2025
AOMO74
NARA85
14 Apr 2024
AOMO90
NARA103
13 Apr 2024
AOMO91
NARA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
89avg 75
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 75
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-96
78
96
-18
73avg 75
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 75
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
49avg 75
A27/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 75
H30/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 75
H31/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
93-108
93
108
-15
84avg 75
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
91avg 75
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 75
H13/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
29-24
16-27
28-28
14-21
26-20
18-17
20-27
23-33
15-23
25-22
15-18
21-21
19-17
17-17
13-25
15-27
20-23
15-18
17-23
26-12
18-18
20-18
26-25
20-19
30-14
24-27
24-29
20-20
20-31
20-26
33-31
26-23
23-12
20-20
27-24
23-22
21-22
24-26
23-25
175.2Avg total
85.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)85.687.3172.9-1.751%
Season at home (29)83.187.1170.2-4.048%
Season away (28)88.287.4175.6+0.854%
Last 10 (10)85.689.6175.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)93.688.8182.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.296.4177.6-15.112%
vs Similar ◀ (19)86.685.7172.3+0.853%
vs Weaker (3)87.777.3165.0+10.3100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 67
H16/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 67
H17/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
70avg 67
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 67
H24/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
71-42
71
42
+29
73avg 67
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 67
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 67
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
66avg 67
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 67
H07/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 67
A13/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
18-22
23-22
25-20
24-22
33-19
13-26
14-20
22-16
12-27
22-25
18-13
15-23
23-20
15-21
21-19
9-15
20-11
23-6
19-10
15-14
24-26
16-22
15-16
15-10
18-21
17-26
17-24
20-14
19-31
22-23
14-26
26-21
16-20
14-16
23-15
22-23
22-21
26-24
25-23
156.2Avg total
77.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)74.277.6151.8-3.439%
Season at home (28)76.380.4156.7-4.143%
Season away (29)72.274.8147.1-2.634%
Last 10 (10)77.678.6156.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)77.283.2160.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.773.6146.4-0.936%
vs Similar ◀ (17)74.078.6152.6-4.629%
vs Weaker (2)94.586.0180.5+8.550%
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
AomoriNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/04
B2.League
85.4Avg total
43.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.585.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.243.085.2-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)43.241.985.1+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.385.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.684.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.247.689.9-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.641.283.8+1.547%-
vs Weaker (3)44.337.081.3+7.3100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
B2.League
78.3Avg total
39.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.076.6-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.541.081.5-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)35.037.372.3-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.978.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.279.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.135.972.0+0.245%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.440.177.5-2.729%-
vs Weaker (2)47.047.094.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.223.6
54.6%
52.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.8
66.3%
71.0%10.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.7
52.4%
52.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
71.0%14.1
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LWLWWLLLLL
Nara
WWLLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#11
-5.3
Net rating
-0.4
111.9
Offensive rating
105.6
117.2
Defensive rating
106.0
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
12.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
35.4%
65.3%
Assist %
65.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 105.6Defence117.2 · 106.0Shooting54.1% · 52.6%3-point %35.4% · 35.4%Ball care12.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds22.9% · 23.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Aomori   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aomori wins
3
Nara wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Aomori v Nara91-95
24/12/23Nara v Aomori76-75
23/12/23Nara v Aomori90-82
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HNara91-95
07/04/24AShizuoka96-79
06/04/24AShizuoka93-108
31/03/24HKumamoto98-89
30/03/24HKumamoto90-73
27/03/24AKoshigaya Alphas67-91
24/03/24HYamagata Wyverns70-80
23/03/24HYamagata Wyverns78-96
17/03/24AAltiri Chiba78-85
16/03/24AAltiri Chiba95-100
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AAomori95-91
07/04/24HKobe79-72
06/04/24HKobe75-94
31/03/24AShiga67-81
30/03/24AShiga70-78
27/03/24AFukuoka71-42
24/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings74-83
23/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings74-81
17/03/24HKumamoto84-87
16/03/24HKumamoto87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL51%
HomeLLWWL48%
AwayLLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %51%48%54%
Points / game85.683.188.2
Allowed / game87.387.187.4
Point differential-1.7-4.0+0.8
Avg total172.9170.2175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)71% (7)53% (15)
Overtime %9%7%11%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLWLLW34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %39%43%34%
Points / game74.276.372.2
Allowed / game77.680.474.8
Point differential-3.4-4.1-2.6
Avg total151.8156.7147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5753493%91.477.2+14.2
2 Shiga58431574%86.779.1+7.5
3 Fukuoka58362262%78.475.9+2.5
4 Koshigaya Alphas57342360%84.075.3+8.6
5 Kumamoto58332557%85.185.2-0.1
6 Yamagata Wyverns58302852%81.684.2-2.6
7 Aomori57292851%85.687.3-1.7
8 Kobe58273147%79.678.3+1.3
9 Shizuoka58273147%81.281.6-0.4
10 Fukushima58233540%81.584.6-3.1
11 Nara57223539%74.277.6-3.4
12 Ehime Orange Vikings58223638%79.484.0-4.6
13 Iwate58184031%71.875.7-3.8
14 Niigata5875112%72.887.1-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2822152590
Nara27292225103
← all games of the day
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