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Toyama vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 73-74
19-19 15-14 18-23 21-18
Position#24
Record4-51
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
Position#23
Record8-47
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game83.1
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium (Toyama)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toyama v Shinshu
06 Apr 2025
TOYA96
SHIN85
05 Apr 2025
TOYA67
SHIN80
10 Nov 2024
TOYA66
SHIN74
09 Nov 2024
TOYA80
SHIN78
21 Apr 2024
TOYA73
SHIN74
20 Apr 2024
TOYA62
SHIN71
16 Apr 2023
TOYA102
SHIN96
15 Apr 2023
TOYA65
SHIN95
30 Nov 2022
TOYA70
SHIN61
15 Dec 2021
TOYA92
SHIN75
03 Oct 2021
TOYA41
SHIN55
02 Oct 2021
TOYA71
SHIN72
26 Oct 2014
TOYA95
SHIN80
25 Oct 2014
TOYA108
SHIN88
23 Feb 2014
TOYA68
SHIN69
22 Feb 2014
TOYA86
SHIN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
L
63-75
63
75
-12
57avg 64
H27/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
85-102
85
102
-17
78avg 64
A30/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
70-110
70
110
-40
59avg 64
A31/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
52avg 64
A06/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 64
A07/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
62-96
62
96
-34
49avg 64
H10/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
46-84
46
84
-38
34avg 64
A13/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
65-83
65
83
-18
63avg 64
A14/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
59-63
59
63
-4
46avg 64
H17/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
62-71
62
71
-9
52avg 64
H20/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
22-21
17-18
9-20
17-31
20-21
26-29
22-21
16-33
16-21
19-33
19-23
14-15
17-25
24-22
18-28
25-16
11-24
22-24
12-30
16-28
18-24
12-29
16-15
16-18
8-23
4-27
18-16
12-22
11-20
20-23
22-18
17-11
9-12
13-17
20-23
17-24
14-14
14-17
17-16
152.3Avg total
65.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)72.285.9158.2-13.77%
Season at home (27)73.386.4159.7-13.17%
Season away (28)71.285.5156.7-14.47%
Last 10 (10)65.586.8152.3-21.30%
Last 5 (5)58.879.4138.2-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)71.186.9158.0-15.84%
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.084.7162.7-6.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
58-65
58
65
-7
48avg 66
A27/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 66
H30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
67avg 66
H31/03
B League
Gunma
#13
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
73avg 66
A06/04
B League
Gunma
#13
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
86avg 66
A07/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
84-66
84
66
+18
91avg 66
A10/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
83avg 66
H13/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 66
H14/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-95
75
95
-20
69avg 66
A17/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
71-62
71
62
+9
74avg 66
A20/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
13-14
17-14
18-18
16-22
12-21
22-17
19-16
21-24
19-19
26-23
9-17
15-22
23-15
17-20
17-15
15-24
26-21
13-21
25-13
15-14
26-17
24-15
19-20
19-25
26-26
19-15
18-24
22-25
20-24
17-16
17-15
16-28
16-24
19-27
24-16
24-17
14-14
17-14
16-17
155.0Avg total
75.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)72.183.1155.3-11.015%
Season at home (28)72.282.8155.0-10.614%
Season away (27)72.183.4155.5-11.315%
Last 10 (10)75.879.2155.0-3.420%
Last 5 (5)77.678.6156.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)71.682.3153.9-10.77%
vs Similar ◀ (3)68.775.0143.7-6.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
ToyamaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H27/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A30/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A31/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H10/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A13/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A14/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H17/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H20/04
B League
73.0Avg total
31.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.843.579.3-7.817%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.243.479.7-7.219%-
Last 30 away (14)35.243.678.9-8.414%-
Last 10 (10)31.141.973.0-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)27.639.266.8-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)35.843.479.2-7.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.345.080.3-9.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A27/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H31/03
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/04
B League
Gunma
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H13/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H14/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A17/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A20/04
B League
78.3Avg total
36.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.242.678.9-6.420%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.343.980.3-7.613%-
Last 30 away (15)36.141.377.5-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.578.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.882.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)36.143.379.4-7.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.037.074.0+0.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 64.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.7
25.4%
33.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws12.79.1
71.7%
72.0%9.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.6
50.9%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.0
31.1%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws12.18.6
71.1%
72.0%8.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLLLLLLLLL
Shinshu
WLLLWLLLLL
#24
League position
#23
-28.6
Net rating
-4.9
86.3
Offensive rating
98.4
114.9
Defensive rating
103.3
45.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.5%
17.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.18
25.4%
3-point %
31.1%
56.6%
Assist %
71.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 98.4Defence114.9 · 103.3Shooting45.3% · 49.1%3-point %25.4% · 31.1%Ball care19.7% · 20.5%Off. rebounds17.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Toyama   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toyama wins
7
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Toyama v Shinshu62-71
05/11/23Shinshu v Toyama83-79
04/11/23Shinshu v Toyama86-79
16/04/23Toyama v Shinshu102-96
15/04/23Toyama v Shinshu65-95
15/03/23Shinshu v Toyama80-66
30/11/22Toyama v Shinshu70-61
23/03/22Shinshu v Toyama78-71
15/12/21Toyama v Shinshu92-75
03/10/21Toyama v Shinshu41-55
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HShinshu62-71
17/04/24HSun Rockers Shibuya59-63
14/04/24AHiroshima D.65-83
13/04/24AHiroshima D.46-84
10/04/24HNeoPhoenix62-96
07/04/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles70-94
06/04/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles73-90
31/03/24ADiamond Dolphins70-110
30/03/24ADiamond Dolphins85-102
27/03/24HBrave Thunders63-75
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AToyama71-62
17/04/24ANeoPhoenix75-95
14/04/24HBrave Thunders76-80
13/04/24HBrave Thunders82-90
10/04/24AYokohama84-66
07/04/24AGunma85-89 OT
06/04/24AGunma83-86 OT
31/03/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles75-83
30/03/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles69-76
27/03/24ASun Rockers Shibuya58-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL7%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %7%7%7%
Points / game72.273.371.2
Allowed / game85.986.485.5
Point differential-13.7-13.1-14.4
Avg total158.2159.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%4%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW15%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %15%14%15%
Points / game72.172.272.1
Allowed / game83.182.883.4
Point differential-11.0-10.6-11.3
Avg total155.3155.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+2%0%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)40% (5)0% (5)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5547885%81.569.7+11.8
2 Alvark55441180%81.469.8+11.6
3 NeoPhoenix55441180%90.479.4+10.9
4 Ryukyu55401573%83.177.4+5.6
5 Diamond Dolphins56371966%84.179.6+4.5
6 Chiba55342162%84.781.3+3.4
7 Hiroshima D.55322358%79.773.9+5.8
8 SeaHorses Mikawa55322358%80.075.7+4.3
9 Shimane56322457%82.979.0+3.9
10 Brave Thunders55312456%80.477.8+2.6
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya55312456%75.174.5+0.6
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles55292653%75.675.2+0.3
13 Gunma55292653%80.081.1-1.2
14 Saga55272849%75.575.3+0.2
15 Akita55262947%73.675.4-1.8
16 Sendai55243144%78.680.5-2.0
17 Nagasaki55233242%80.483.8-3.4
18 Osaka55223340%79.283.2-4.0
19 Yokohama55223340%77.382.6-5.3
20 Hokkaido55173831%75.982.3-6.5
21 Kyoto55163929%77.484.5-7.1
22 Ibaraki Robots55104518%76.486.3-9.9
23 Shinshu5584715%72.183.1-11.0
24 Toyama554517%72.285.9-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama1915182173
Shinshu1914231874
← all games of the day
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