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Nara vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 84-91
28-19 19-26 20-24 17-22
Position#9
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Nara
Japan
vs
Aomori 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Aomori
06 Oct 2024
NARA91
AOMO96
05 Oct 2024
NARA84
AOMO91
24 Dec 2023
NARA76
AOMO75
23 Dec 2023
NARA90
AOMO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 67
H24/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
71-42
71
42
+29
73avg 67
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
61avg 67
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 67
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
75-94
75
94
-19
66avg 67
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 67
H07/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 67
A13/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
106avg 67
A14/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 67
H20/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 67
H21/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
23-20
15-21
21-19
9-15
20-11
23-6
19-10
15-14
24-26
16-22
15-16
15-10
18-21
17-26
17-24
20-14
19-31
22-23
14-26
26-21
16-20
14-16
23-15
22-23
22-21
26-24
25-23
27-28
29-22
22-15
25-25
28-19
14-16
22-22
22-14
18-21
13-20
14-17
17-19
156.1Avg total
78.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.277.9156.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)85.080.2165.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.773.1144.8-1.430%
vs Similar (18)76.978.6155.4-1.739%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)94.586.0180.5+8.550%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 75
H31/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
93-108
93
108
-15
84avg 75
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
91avg 75
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 75
H13/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
90-103
90
103
-13
74avg 75
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
85avg 75
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 75
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
A05/05
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
30-14
24-27
24-29
20-20
20-31
20-26
33-31
26-23
23-12
20-20
27-24
23-22
21-22
24-26
23-25
28-27
22-29
15-22
25-25
19-22
23-18
21-21
17-19
21-28
23-23
18-15
14-17
25-19
30-26
20-21
13-18
22-28
18-22
21-20
18-23
18-22
26-23
17-22
18-25
178.9Avg total
87.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.691.3178.9-3.730%
Last 5 (5)81.687.8169.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)84.794.4179.1-9.822%
vs Similar (19)86.386.4172.7-0.247%
vs Weaker (2)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
NaraAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A27/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A30/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A14/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H21/04
B2.League
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.877.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.341.081.3-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)36.536.673.1-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.285.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.136.072.1+0.140%-
vs Similar (18)38.739.478.2-0.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.047.094.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A06/04
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/05
B2.League
90.8Avg total
45.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.287.2+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.142.886.9+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)43.943.587.4+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)45.845.090.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.046.291.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)45.746.992.6-1.233%-
vs Similar (19)42.741.884.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker (2)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.8
51.7%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.0
35.7%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.414.4
70.6%
70.7%14.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.9
54.8%
51.0%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.711.4
64.4%
70.7%11.4
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWWWWLLLWL
Aomori
LLWLLLLWLW
#9
League position
#12
+0.5
Net rating
-4.0
105.6
Offensive rating
112.6
105.0
Defensive rating
116.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
11.7%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.7%
3-point %
33.9%
62.9%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 112.6Defence105.0 · 116.6Shooting52.4% · 53.3%3-point %35.7% · 33.9%Ball care15.5% · 11.7%Off. rebounds22.3% · 25.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Nara   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nara wins
0
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Aomori v Nara90-103
13/04/24Aomori v Nara91-95
24/12/23Nara v Aomori76-75
23/12/23Nara v Aomori90-82
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings62-77
20/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings86-71
14/04/24AAomori103-90
13/04/24AAomori95-91
07/04/24HKobe79-72
06/04/24HKobe75-94
31/03/24AShiga67-81
30/03/24AShiga70-78
27/03/24AFukuoka71-42
24/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings74-83
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24AShiga79-92
04/05/24AShiga79-93
03/05/24AShiga88-84
21/04/24AIwate76-83
20/04/24AIwate86-87 OT
14/04/24HNara90-103
13/04/24HNara91-95
07/04/24AShizuoka96-79
06/04/24AShizuoka93-108
31/03/24HKumamoto98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba110100%96.078.0+18.0
2 Fukushima110100%85.070.0+15.0
3 Fukui110100%80.073.0+7.0
4 Shizuoka110100%83.078.0+5.0
5 Kagoshima Rebnise110100%76.075.0+1.0
6 Fukuoka1010%75.076.0-1.0
7 Yamagata Wyverns1010%78.083.0-5.0
8 Shinshu1010%73.080.0-7.0
9 Ehime Orange Vikings1010%70.085.0-15.0
10 Kumamoto1010%78.096.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2819201784
Aomori1926242291
← all games of the day
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