Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 81-72

23-18 20-23 16-14 22-17

Position#4

Record17-13

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game69.7

Apoel BC 🏆

AEK Larnaca

Position#2

Record20-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game68.8

Division ADivision A - Final

Other2012-13

Meetings · Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Larnaca winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apoel BC

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

75-62

+13

A15/02

Division A

Apollon

85-69

+16

H26/02

Division A

Apollon

79-83

-4

A01/03

Division A

Apollon

84-53

+31

H05/03

Division A

Keravnos

74-65

A09/03

Division A

Keravnos

69-76

-7

H12/03

Division A

Keravnos

74-87

-13

A15/03

Division A

Keravnos

92-67

+25

H19/03

Division A

Keravnos

63-54

A22/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

70-78

-8

A26/03

Division A

23-15

23-19

12-17

17-11

26-13

17-15

22-19

20-22

13-27

28-21

23-14

15-21

25-15

16-17

23-11

20-10

21-20

15-15

16-9

22-21

18-19

21-15

13-24

17-18

13-26

18-20

15-20

28-21

25-15

21-17

29-7

17-28

14-15

21-13

12-15

16-11

17-20

24-13

15-20

14-25

145.9Avg total

76.5Scored

69.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	76.1	69.7	145.8	+6.3	57%
Season at home (14)	78.8	65.9	144.6	+12.9	71%
Season away (16)	73.7	73.1	146.8	+0.6	44%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	69.4	145.9	+7.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	72.4	146.0	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	70.9	69.3	140.3	+1.6	47%
vs Weaker (15)	81.2	70.1	151.3	+11.1	67%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Omonia

81-77 OT

A09/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

73-78

-5

H13/02

Division A

Apoel BC

62-75

-13

H15/02

Division A

ENAD Nicosia

73-45

+28

H26/02

Division A

ENAD Nicosia

92-58

+34

A02/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

93-82

+11

A08/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

71-61

+10

H11/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

67-74

-7

A14/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

87-70

+17

H19/03

Division A

Apoel BC

78-70

H26/03

Division A

18-12

11-18

24-15

13-21

17-21

22-12

18-16

16-29

15-23

19-23

17-12

11-17

18-13

23-9

17-12

15-11

16-18

28-8

24-14

24-18

22-28

31-19

19-19

21-16

19-17

15-12

15-17

22-15

8-23

21-12

16-16

22-23

25-16

16-13

21-17

25-24

20-17

13-24

20-15

25-14

146.7Avg total

77.7Scored

69.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	77.0	68.8	145.8	+8.2	71%
Season at home (15)	78.0	66.8	144.8	+11.2	73%
Season away (13)	75.8	71.0	146.8	+4.8	69%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	69.0	146.7	+8.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	71.4	150.6	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	65.5	71.5	137.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	70.1	69.1	139.3	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (14)	83.9	68.4	152.2	+15.5	93%

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Apoel BCAEK Larnaca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+2.0	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	15.2	35.3	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.0	15.1	35.1	+4.9	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.7	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	10.0	28.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	15.8	34.4	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.6	36.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.6	16.5	34.1	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.1	18.6	38.8	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.9	14.3	34.2	+5.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	14.0	35.3	+7.3	85%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	14.7	33.2	+3.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	15.0	34.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	13.0	36.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.0	14.5	32.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.4	14.3	35.7	+7.1	77%	-

Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

46-34

+12

A15/02

Division A

Apollon

43-28

+15

H26/02

Division A

Apollon

41-48

-7

A01/03

Division A

Apollon

41-32

H05/03

Division A

Keravnos

36-35

A09/03

Division A

Keravnos

39-34

H12/03

Division A

Keravnos

31-46

-15

A15/03

Division A

Keravnos

46-32

+14

H19/03

Division A

Keravnos

35-28

A22/03

Division A

AEK Larnaca

41-33

A26/03

Division A

74.9Avg total

39.9Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.8	34.5	72.3	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.7	31.0	69.7	+7.7	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	37.9	74.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	35.0	74.9	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	34.6	73.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	35.5	35.1	70.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.1	33.8	73.9	+6.4	79%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Omonia

29-30

-1

A09/02

Division A

ETHA Engomi

39-33

H13/02

Division A

Apoel BC

34-46

-12

H15/02

Division A

ENAD Nicosia

41-22

+19

H26/02

Division A

ENAD Nicosia

44-26

+18

A02/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

53-47

A08/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

34-29

H11/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

29-35

-6

A14/03

Division A

ETHA Engomi

41-29

+12

H19/03

Division A

Apoel BC

33-41

-8

H26/03

Division A

71.5Avg total

37.7Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.4	32.1	70.5	+6.3	69%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.4	30.5	70.9	+9.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.4	33.7	70.1	+2.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	33.8	71.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.2	74.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	23.0	64.0	+18.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	35.5	34.2	69.7	+1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.8	30.9	71.8	+9.9	77%	-

This opponent (Apoel BC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.2	15.5	33.8	+2.8	61%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	15.1	34.1	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	15.9	33.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.2	34.0	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.8	16.1	32.9	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.7	14.9	34.6	+4.8	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	17.5	17.8	35.4	-0.3	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.3	34.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	28.0	39.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	15.7	16.6	32.2	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.5	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.1	17.4	36.4	+1.7	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	16.6	34.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.4	16.9	36.4	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.8	17.8	37.7	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	14.0	29.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.3	32.9	70.2	+4.5	79%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	31.7	69.0	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	34.0	71.4	+3.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	34.4	71.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.8	73.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	35.5	33.9	69.4	+1.6	79%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.1	31.9	71.0	+7.3	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	37.4	35.7	73.1	+1.7	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.8	35.6	73.4	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.0	35.8	72.8	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	34.1	72.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	35.2	76.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	42.0	68.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	34.7	34.8	69.5	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Apoel BC wins

AEK Larnaca wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/13	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	78-70
15/02/13	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	62-75
04/01/13	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	73-67 OT
25/11/12	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	56-54
05/03/12	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	88-66
02/03/12	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	96-79
28/02/12	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	76-66
12/02/12	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	83-82
09/12/11	AEK Larnaca v Apoel BC	71-67
29/01/11	Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca	79-75

Apoel BClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/13	A	AEK Larnaca	70-78
22/03/13	A	Keravnos	63-54
19/03/13	H	Keravnos	92-67
15/03/13	A	Keravnos	74-87
12/03/13	H	Keravnos	69-76
09/03/13	A	Keravnos	74-65
05/03/13	H	Apollon	84-53
01/03/13	A	Apollon	79-83
26/02/13	H	Apollon	85-69
15/02/13	A	AEK Larnaca	75-62

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/13	H	Apoel BC	78-70
19/03/13	H	ETHA Engomi	87-70
14/03/13	A	ETHA Engomi	67-74
11/03/13	H	ETHA Engomi	71-61
08/03/13	A	ETHA Engomi	93-82
02/03/13	A	ENAD Nicosia	92-58
26/02/13	H	ENAD Nicosia	73-45
15/02/13	H	Apoel BC	62-75
13/02/13	H	ETHA Engomi	73-78
09/02/13	A	Omonia	81-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC

Division A 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	57%
Home	WWWLW	71%
Away	LWLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	57%	71%	44%
Points / game	76.1	78.8	73.7
Allowed / game	69.7	65.9	73.1
Point differential	+6.3	+12.9	+0.6
Avg total	145.8	144.6	146.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	57%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	25% (4)	33% (6)
Overtime %	10%	14%	6%

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	71%
Home	LWWWW	73%
Away	LWWWL	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	71%	73%	69%
Points / game	77.0	78.0	75.8
Allowed / game	68.8	66.8	71.0
Point differential	+8.2	+11.2	+4.8
Avg total	145.8	144.8	146.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	47%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	0% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	11%	7%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	26	20	6	77%	73.1	66.8	+6.3
2	AEK Larnaca	28	20	8	71%	77.0	68.8	+8.2
3	ETHA Engomi	25	17	8	68%	73.9	69.9	+4.0
4	Apoel BC	30	17	13	57%	76.1	69.7	+6.3
5	Apollon	24	10	14	42%	80.2	82.2	-2.0
6	AEL	21	6	15	29%	68.0	77.5	-9.5
7	ENAD Nicosia	23	6	17	26%	63.4	73.0	-9.6
8	Omonia	21	3	18	14%	66.5	76.8	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Apoel BC	23	20	16	22	81
AEK Larnaca	18	23	14	17	72

← all games of the day

Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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