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Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 75-80
30-18 16-23 18-23 11-16
Position#4
Record11-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#1
Record20-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game72.2
CyprusDivision ARound 22· Lefkotheo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca
11 Dec 2026
APO v ALA
upcoming
28 Apr 2026
APO95
ALA87
21 Apr 2026
APO82
ALA79
05 Apr 2026
APO75
ALA80
19 Oct 2025
APO61
ALA96
22 Mar 2025
APO69
ALA91
08 Jan 2025
APO57
ALA67
30 Apr 2024
APO85
ALA86
22 Oct 2023
APO62
ALA60
29 Jan 2023
APO73
ALA77
23 Oct 2021
APO85
ALA86
10 Oct 2020
APO60
ALA76
06 Jan 2020
APO56
ALA80
27 Oct 2018
APO88
ALA86
18 Mar 2018
APO94
ALA87
08 Jan 2018
APO82
ALA84
18 Apr 2017
APO64
ALA73
07 Apr 2017
APO75
ALA72
05 Mar 2017
APO69
ALA73
02 Dec 2016
APO89
ALA77
26 Apr 2016
APO66
ALA76
25 Mar 2016
APO70
ALA90
16 Jan 2016
APO67
ALA72
18 Apr 2015
APO74
ALA79
09 Apr 2015
APO67
ALA69
11 Feb 2015
APO94
ALA73
08 Nov 2014
APO82
ALA75
18 Mar 2014
APO81
ALA50
11 Mar 2014
APO74
ALA58
04 Mar 2014
APO95
ALA88
19 Jan 2014
APO78
ALA59
15 Dec 2013
APO72
ALA82
05 Apr 2013
APO71
ALA76
29 Mar 2013
APO81
ALA72
25 Nov 2012
APO56
ALA54
02 Mar 2012
APO96
ALA79
12 Feb 2012
APO83
ALA82
29 Jan 2011
APO79
ALA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Apoel BC
4.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.8
83.2▲ 3.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.9
79.6▼ 3.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
56%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.1
17.6▲ 0.5
🔥 Form · AEK Larnaca
4.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.2
86.8▼ 0.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.4
74.4▼ 1.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
57%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.1
22.6▲ 1.5
Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H12/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A17/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A25/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H02/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A07/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
94-71
94
71
+23
H13/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A06/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A26/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H01/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
20-17
21-34
34-24
11-25
19-28
19-21
25-9
27-17
19-23
19-14
16-18
24-17
23-20
17-18
11-14
16-25
32-19
20-30
31-22
21-24
25-13
25-17
23-17
22-18
29-19
24-22
15-21
18-23
12-14
20-25
14-16
18-24
31-26
21-16
14-28
19-19
24-17
15-22
26-17
165.5Avg total
83.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.183.0163.2-2.952%
Season at home (10)79.383.9163.2-4.650%
Season away (11)80.982.3163.2-1.455%
Last 10 (10)83.482.1165.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)83.279.6162.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.487.4161.8-13.012%
vs Similar (13)82.782.0164.7+0.762%
vs Weaker (9)86.978.0164.9+8.989%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
A11/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H17/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A23/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H31/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A06/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H13/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H20/03
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A26/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H01/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
29-19
27-12
19-26
26-20
17-14
23-26
25-12
24-16
19-19
18-17
17-18
21-25
22-10
19-16
19-13
24-20
24-20
29-23
15-27
25-16
24-18
21-17
15-23
22-18
17-16
19-24
13-17
31-25
28-18
17-17
15-17
15-19
30-27
26-18
19-10
28-15
29-20
20-23
20-14
162.5Avg total
87.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.472.2160.6+16.295%
Season at home (11)87.770.1157.8+17.6100%
Season away (10)89.174.5163.6+14.690%
Last 10 (10)87.874.7162.5+13.190%
Last 5 (5)86.874.4161.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.889.2165.0-13.525%
vs Similar (7)87.677.7165.3+9.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.672.2161.8+17.3100%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Apoel BCAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A17/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A25/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H02/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A06/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A26/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/04
Division A
84.0Avg total
42.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.284.6+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.742.584.2-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)43.041.984.9+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.684.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.483.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.047.986.9-8.912%-
vs Similar (13)42.840.883.6+2.162%-
vs Weaker (9)44.839.284.0+5.656%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H17/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A23/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H31/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A06/02
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H13/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H20/03
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A26/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H01/04
Division A
85.9Avg total
48.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.238.383.5+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.936.382.1+9.693%-
Last 30 away (15)44.540.384.9+4.273%-
Last 10 (10)48.237.785.9+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)49.838.488.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.542.075.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (7)49.640.790.3+8.9100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.636.082.6+10.689%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.9
51.5%
51.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.2
34.3%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.8
75.2%
71.5%11.8
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.4
57.7%
51.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.0
32.3%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.2%
71.5%11.5
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apoel BC
WLLWWWWWLL
AEK Larnaca
WWWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
-0.2
Net rating
+17.1
96.0
Offensive rating
104.5
96.2
Defensive rating
87.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
43.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.3%
3-point %
32.3%
56.1%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 104.5Defence96.2 · 87.4Shooting51.5% · 53.6%3-point %34.3% · 32.3%Ball care12.4% · 12.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 43.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Apoel BC   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Apoel BC wins
10
AEK Larnaca wins
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HApollon84-75
26/03/26AKeravnos84-94
21/03/26AAEL64-78
06/03/26AAchilleas K.90-80
13/02/26HAnorthosis94-71
07/02/26AParalimni99-96
02/02/26HMorphou75-69
25/01/26AETHA Engomi81-72
17/01/26AKeravnos74-83
12/01/26HAEL89-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HKeravnos97-72
26/03/26AParalimni90-74
20/03/26HApollon91-77
08/03/26AKeravnos71-75
13/02/26HApollon85-74
06/02/26AAchilleas K.92-90
31/01/26HAnorthosis81-64
23/01/26AParalimni78-70
17/01/26HMorphou91-72
11/01/26AETHA Engomi102-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayWWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%50%55%
Points / game80.179.380.9
Allowed / game83.083.982.3
Point differential-2.9-4.6-1.4
Avg total163.2163.2163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game88.487.789.1
Allowed / game72.270.174.5
Point differential+16.2+17.6+14.6
Avg total160.6157.8163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%82%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca2120195%88.472.2+16.2
2 Keravnos2220291%90.172.9+17.2
3 AEL2215768%81.580.2+1.3
4 Apoel BC21111052%80.183.0-2.9
5 Anorthosis1871139%75.179.2-4.2
6 Paralimni2181338%82.082.8-0.7
7 Apollon2181338%83.586.1-2.6
8 Morphou1861233%78.185.4-7.3
9 ETHA Engomi1831517%82.394.0-11.7
10 Achilleas K.1821611%71.882.8-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apoel BC3016181175
AEK Larnaca1823231680
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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