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Apollon Patras vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 54-67
16-17 10-15 18-15 10-20
Position#17
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game89.4
vs
PAOK 🏆
Greece
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game79.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 6· Apollon Patras Indoor Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Apollon Patras v PAOK
11 Nov 2023
APA54
PAK67
09 Apr 2023
APA65
PAK88
04 Dec 2021
APA95
PAK91
11 Feb 2017
APA88
PAK79
06 Dec 2014
APA80
PAK70
06 Feb 2014
APA77
PAK81
28 Apr 2013
APA87
PAK83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apollon Patras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
89avg 60
H11/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
62avg 60
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
68-57
68
57
+11
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-108
77
108
-31
60avg 60
A02/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 60
H09/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 60
H09/10
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
70-77
70
77
-7
60avg 60
H14/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 60
A21/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
69-87
69
87
-18
59avg 60
H28/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
60-112
60
112
-52
43avg 60
A06/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
18-18
31-16
27-19
15-24
25-16
17-26
11-22
23-14
14-17
18-15
13-11
24-29
9-29
23-28
21-22
13-25
21-20
22-27
9-16
26-21
14-21
18-16
14-13
13-23
22-20
15-20
20-14
16-31
25-17
18-26
11-26
16-27
26-12
8-27
19-21
12-33
15-29
15-27
18-23
156.6Avg total
71.2Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)68.289.4157.6-21.220%
Season at home (3)70.378.3148.7-8.033%
Season away (2)65.0106.0171.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)71.285.4156.6-14.230%
Last 5 (5)68.289.4157.6-21.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.083.8151.8-15.917%
vs Similar (4)70.570.0140.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (2)84.072.5156.5+11.550%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
51-73
51
73
-22
37avg 68
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
49avg 68
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
43avg 68
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 68
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 68
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 68
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
L
72-94
72
94
-22
61avg 68
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
53avg 68
H05/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
8-16
12-10
12-23
18-22
15-16
12-27
19-12
14-20
12-21
11-12
12-11
14-28
24-23
22-21
20-23
19-16
20-24
16-19
25-16
30-19
22-23
19-17
17-18
19-22
15-14
19-17
16-11
21-26
14-26
22-19
19-15
15-17
26-23
19-28
12-26
16-17
12-20
13-16
22-24
147.4Avg total
69.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.679.4153.0-5.840%
Season at home (3)70.778.7149.3-8.033%
Season away (2)78.080.5158.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)69.278.2147.4-9.030%
Last 5 (5)73.679.6153.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.280.2147.4-13.019%
vs Similar (9)76.079.1155.1-3.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.871.5156.2+13.275%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Apollon PatrasPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#12
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H11/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H25/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A02/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H09/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H14/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A21/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H28/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/11
Basket League
80.3Avg total
36.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.941.176.0-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.138.474.5-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)33.644.177.8-10.57%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.980.3-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.046.883.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.642.376.9-7.821%-
vs Similar (4)33.834.568.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H05/11
Basket League
77.0Avg total
35.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.278.3-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.539.479.8+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)36.440.877.2-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.341.777.0-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.641.977.5-6.219%-
vs Similar (9)39.739.979.6-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.034.881.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.8
49.6%
52.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.510.9
62.3%
71.5%10.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.7
46.3%
52.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.5
26.7%
33.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.615.3
70.8%
71.5%15.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apollon Patras
LLLLWLLWLW
PAOK
LLLWWWLLLL
#17
League position
#10
-18.7
Net rating
-12.9
97.1
Offensive rating
95.8
115.8
Defensive rating
108.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
43.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.4%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.4%
3-point %
26.7%
68.2%
Assist %
60.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 95.8Defence115.8 · 108.7Shooting47.8% · 43.8%3-point %30.4% · 26.7%Ball care15.8% · 18.4%Off. rebounds22.8% · 30.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Apollon Patras   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Apollon Patras wins
7
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
09/04/23Apollon Patras v PAOK65-88
08/01/23PAOK v Apollon Patras97-60
16/04/22PAOK v Apollon Patras81-76
04/12/21Apollon Patras v PAOK95-91
11/02/17Apollon Patras v PAOK88-79
29/10/16PAOK v Apollon Patras84-83
28/03/15PAOK v Apollon Patras68-46
06/12/14Apollon Patras v PAOK80-70
06/02/14Apollon Patras v PAOK77-81
03/11/13PAOK v Apollon Patras78-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23APanathinaikos60-112
28/10/23HKolossos Rhodes69-87
21/10/23AAEK Athens70-100
14/10/23HAris70-77
09/10/23HAS Karditsas72-71
09/04/23HPAOK65-88
02/04/23APanathinaikos77-108
25/03/23HPromitheas68-57
19/03/23AKolossos Rhodes68-88
11/03/23HIonikos93-66
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HOlympiacos63-77
01/11/23ABenfica72-94
29/10/23ALavrio76-86
21/10/23HPeristeri69-64
18/10/23AGalatasaray88-77
14/10/23AMaroussi80-75
07/10/23HPromitheas80-95
30/09/23APeristeri49-64
29/09/23HPanathinaikos64-77
10/06/23APeristeri51-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apollon Patras
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game68.270.365.0
Allowed / game89.478.3106.0
Point differential-21.2-8.0-41.0
Avg total157.6148.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game73.670.778.0
Allowed / game79.478.780.5
Point differential-5.8-8.0-2.5
Avg total153.0149.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos550100%87.464.8+22.6
2 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
3 Promitheas54180%92.879.2+13.6
4 Olympiacos54180%78.666.2+12.4
5 Aris54180%76.270.8+5.4
6 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
7 Lavrio53260%82.291.2-9.0
8 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
9 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
10 AEK Athens52340%86.282.0+4.2
11 Peristeri52340%80.076.8+3.2
12 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.886.2-5.4
13 PAOK52340%73.679.4-5.8
14 Maroussi51420%81.292.8-11.6
15 Apollon Patras51420%68.289.4-21.2
16 AS Karditsas5050%76.685.0-8.4
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apollon Patras1610181054
PAOK1715152067
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