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Lavrio vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 86-76
26-21 26-14 19-22 15-19
Position#13
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game93.3
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#10
Record2-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game78.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4· Sports Center Lavrio
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Lavrio v PAOK
09 Nov 2024
LAV96
PAK71
06 Apr 2024
LAV89
PAK85
29 Oct 2023
LAV86
PAK76
22 Oct 2022
LAV70
PAK75
30 Jan 2022
LAV59
PAK61
30 Jan 2021
LAV84
PAK77
14 Dec 2019
LAV92
PAK88
08 Dec 2018
LAV64
PAK77
30 Dec 2017
LAV90
PAK72
22 Apr 2017
LAV68
PAK78
05 Nov 2016
LAV63
PAK73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
79avg 72
H04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
54avg 72
A11/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 72
H18/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-103
75
103
-28
no box
H21/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 72
A26/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 72
A01/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 72
H09/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
W
98-93
98
93
+5
97avg 72
A07/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
71avg 72
H16/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-111
75
111
-36
60avg 72
A23/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
21-16
26-21
14-16
21-19
15-20
14-20
16-18
22-19
18-18
22-14
19-19
18-29
30-25
15-25
12-24
24-15
13-19
24-16
24-20
20-26
11-25
29-17
30-14
22-27
19-19
24-28
18-23
28-26
24-13
24-25
22-29
22-20
28-17
15-19
14-20
20-31
25-25
9-30
21-25
165.3Avg total
80.6Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.093.3177.3-9.367%
Season at home (1)79.076.0155.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)86.5102.0188.5-15.550%
Last 10 (10)80.684.7165.3-4.160%
Last 5 (5)85.091.8176.8-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.587.2163.7-10.721%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.780.7157.3-4.044%
vs Weaker (2)92.572.5165.0+20.0100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
54-75
54
75
-21
38avg 68
A28/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
54avg 68
A03/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H07/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
51-73
51
73
-22
37avg 68
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
49avg 68
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
43avg 68
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 68
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 68
H21/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-15
11-22
9-14
15-20
18-17
24-19
8-15
24-17
9-24
19-15
12-25
19-24
8-16
12-10
12-23
18-22
15-16
12-27
19-12
14-20
12-21
11-12
12-11
14-28
24-23
22-21
20-23
19-16
20-24
16-19
25-16
30-19
22-23
19-17
17-18
19-22
15-14
19-17
16-11
141.6Avg total
66.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.378.0154.3-1.767%
Season at home (2)74.579.5154.0-5.050%
Season away (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)66.475.2141.6-8.830%
Last 5 (5)73.275.0148.2-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.279.4147.6-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.078.2154.2-2.262%
vs Weaker (5)87.269.2156.4+18.080%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
LavrioPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H18/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H21/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A26/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A01/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H09/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A23/10
Basket League
83.8Avg total
41.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.582.6-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.782.5-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)37.445.382.7-7.927%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.483.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.889.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.545.284.6-5.726%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.240.479.7-1.244%-
vs Weaker (2)35.541.577.0-6.050%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A28/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H07/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/10
Basket League
75.4Avg total
34.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.278.4+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.380.5+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)36.140.176.3-4.027%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.575.4-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.079.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.741.678.2-4.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.238.478.6+1.950%-
vs Weaker (5)47.633.280.8+14.4100%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.8
54.0%
52.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.7
39.6%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.711.5
65.0%
71.5%11.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.915.7
43.7%
52.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.6
27.5%
33.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.2
70.6%
71.5%14.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lavrio
LWWLWWLWLW
PAOK
WWWLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#10
-5.0
Net rating
-12.7
109.2
Offensive rating
92.5
114.2
Defensive rating
105.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
42.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.6%
3-point %
27.5%
59.3%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 92.5Defence114.2 · 105.2Shooting56.1% · 42.7%3-point %39.6% · 27.5%Ball care18.7% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.4% · 29.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lavrio   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lavrio wins
7
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23PAOK v Lavrio93-68
22/10/22Lavrio v PAOK70-75
30/01/22Lavrio v PAOK59-61
02/10/21PAOK v Lavrio73-89
30/01/21Lavrio v PAOK84-77
18/11/20PAOK v Lavrio83-65
14/12/19Lavrio v PAOK92-88
30/03/19PAOK v Lavrio99-88
08/12/18Lavrio v PAOK64-77
15/04/18PAOK v Lavrio92-87
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23APanathinaikos75-111
16/10/23HKolossos Rhodes79-76
07/10/23AAEK Athens98-93
09/04/23HKolossos Rhodes83-97
01/04/23AIonikos90-82
26/03/23AAS Karditsas85-70
21/03/23HOlympiacos75-103
18/03/23HAris81-70
11/03/23APeristeri66-77
04/03/23HApollon Patras74-68
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HPeristeri69-64
18/10/23AGalatasaray88-77
14/10/23AMaroussi80-75
07/10/23HPromitheas80-95
30/09/23APeristeri49-64
29/09/23HPanathinaikos64-77
10/06/23APeristeri51-73
07/06/23HPeristeri64-81
03/06/23APeristeri65-71
28/05/23AOlympiacos54-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.079.086.5
Allowed / game93.376.0102.0
Point differential-9.3+3.0-15.5
Avg total177.3155.0188.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game76.374.580.0
Allowed / game78.079.575.0
Point differential-1.7-5.0+5.0
Avg total154.3154.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Olympiacos330100%87.367.3+20.0
3 Panathinaikos330100%86.370.0+16.3
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
5 Promitheas43175%91.080.8+10.2
6 Aris43175%73.269.0+4.2
7 PAOK32167%76.378.0-1.7
8 Lavrio32167%84.093.3-9.3
9 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
10 Kolossos Rhodes42250%81.585.8-4.2
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
12 AEK Athens41325%82.080.5+1.5
13 Peristeri41325%74.277.5-3.2
14 Maroussi41325%83.090.2-7.2
15 Apollon Patras41325%70.283.8-13.5
16 AS Karditsas4040%73.880.5-6.8
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lavrio2626191586
PAOK2114221976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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