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PAOK vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 64-77
18-22 15-16 12-27 19-12
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceSuper CupSuper Cup - Semi-finals· Kallithea Palais des Sports
Other2023
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
88-65
88
65
+23
90avg 69
A09/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
79avg 69
H23/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 69
A26/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
84avg 69
H30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
53avg 69
A13/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 69
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
54-75
54
75
-21
38avg 69
A28/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
54avg 69
A03/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H07/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
51-73
51
73
-22
37avg 69
A10/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
20-21
27-22
16-9
17-13
21-19
20-29
20-14
13-20
16-21
15-16
19-20
23-21
24-21
17-15
17-21
19-17
26-25
7-21
13-20
21-24
20-32
20-23
16-18
12-24
22-15
11-22
9-14
15-20
18-17
24-19
8-15
24-17
9-24
19-15
12-25
19-24
8-16
12-10
12-23
146.1Avg total
68.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.677.5146.1-8.930%
Last 5 (5)62.279.4141.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.382.5150.8-14.214%
vs Similar (9)76.176.8152.9-0.767%
vs Weaker (6)88.068.2156.2+19.883%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
89-47
89
47
+42
90avg 74
A26/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
101-57
101
57
+44
119avg 74
H15/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
45avg 74
A20/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
91avg 74
H23/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 74
A27/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 74
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
58avg 74
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
52-75
52
75
-23
45avg 74
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
27avg 74
H15/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
19-6
32-14
25-6
25-17
26-10
24-18
26-12
17-18
12-15
17-28
12-12
30-24
19-25
27-10
13-21
15-21
13-20
27-18
16-17
23-17
18-22
23-9
17-19
14-26
19-15
15-20
22-12
25-13
8-22
18-15
16-15
19-18
9-18
13-21
11-18
15-24
11-24
9-15
–
138.9Avg total
71.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.367.6138.9+3.750%
Last 5 (5)61.068.6129.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.577.8145.4-10.39%
vs Similar (4)80.277.0157.2+3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.073.1158.1+11.964%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A09/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A13/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A28/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H07/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/06
Basket League
77.6Avg total
37.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.177.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.638.681.2+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)35.639.475.0-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.676.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.942.578.4-6.621%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.177.0+0.856%-
vs Weaker (6)47.232.779.8+14.5100%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A26/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H15/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H23/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A27/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H15/06
Basket League
72.6Avg total
35.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.478.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.039.881.8+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.174.7+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.672.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.872.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.740.175.8-4.427%-
vs Similar (4)39.543.583.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.336.178.4+6.264%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.215.5
45.3%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
-26.7
🏀 Free throws13.99.9
71.2%
-9.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.1
53.4%
-34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
-23.1
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
-13.2
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLLLLLWLWW
Panathinaikos
LLWLWLWLWW
#4
League position
#3
-12.7
Net rating
+5.6
92.6
Offensive rating
100.9
105.3
Defensive rating
95.3
46.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.3%
Turnover %
20.5%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.3%
3-point %
32.1%
71.3%
Assist %
69.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
13/03/23PAOK v Panathinaikos81-73
27/11/22Panathinaikos v PAOK87-63
26/03/22Panathinaikos v PAOK77-67
07/11/21PAOK v Panathinaikos64-81
18/04/21PAOK v Panathinaikos68-74
08/11/20Panathinaikos v PAOK96-67
27/01/20Panathinaikos v PAOK117-79
19/10/19PAOK v Panathinaikos88-104
07/04/19Panathinaikos v PAOK89-51
17/02/19PAOK v Panathinaikos73-79
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/06/23APeristeri51-73
07/06/23HPeristeri64-81
03/06/23APeristeri65-71
28/05/23AOlympiacos54-75
25/05/23HOlympiacos77-97
13/05/23AOlympiacos65-83
30/04/23HPromitheas81-78
26/04/23APromitheas63-77
23/04/23HPromitheas78-75
09/04/23AApollon Patras88-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/23HOlympiacos35-63
11/06/23AOlympiacos52-75
08/06/23HOlympiacos67-65
04/06/23AOlympiacos70-73
30/05/23HPeristeri81-67
27/05/23APeristeri71-76
23/05/23HPeristeri89-80
20/05/23APeristeri58-73
15/05/23HPeristeri101-57
26/04/23AKolossos Rhodes89-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Super Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Panathinaikos
Super Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos110100%84.064.0+20.0
2 Peristeri1010%64.084.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1815121964
Panathinaikos2216271277
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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