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Benfica vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-72
17-15 23-26 28-19 26-12
Position#28
Record3-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game64.7
Benfica 🏆
vs
Position#32
Record1-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Pavilhão Fidelidade
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Imortal
#2
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 83
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
122-62
122
62
+60
124avg 83
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
87-59
87
59
+28
89avg 83
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 83
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
107-66
107
66
+41
110avg 83
H04/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
110-70
110
70
+40
109avg 83
H07/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
63avg 83
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 83
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
50avg 83
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
103-58
103
58
+45
101avg 83
H28/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
31-21
16-19
25-20
25-15
32-17
36-18
29-12
24-15
23-16
15-18
25-10
17-19
18-26
24-15
24-13
28-17
25-22
25-10
29-17
29-15
13-25
38-10
30-20
20-17
15-27
14-19
24-11
24-21
14-18
13-20
20-19
14-20
10-16
16-14
22-29
23-15
31-16
18-7
31-20
160.5Avg total
91.1Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.364.7162.0+32.7100%
Season at home (2)104.560.5165.0+44.0100%
Season away (1)83.073.0156.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.169.4160.5+21.770%
Last 5 (5)83.871.8155.6+12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.080.0176.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (3)76.375.0151.3+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.071.6165.7+22.479%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
65-71
65
71
-6
54avg 68
A03/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
H07/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
51-73
51
73
-22
37avg 68
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
49avg 68
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
43avg 68
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 68
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 68
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 68
A29/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-17
24-19
8-15
24-17
9-24
19-15
12-25
19-24
8-16
12-10
12-23
18-22
15-16
12-27
19-12
14-20
12-21
11-12
12-11
14-28
24-23
22-21
20-23
19-16
20-24
16-19
25-16
30-19
22-23
19-17
17-18
19-22
15-14
19-17
16-11
21-26
14-26
22-19
19-15
144.9Avg total
68.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)88.077.0165.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.676.3144.9-7.730%
Last 5 (5)78.679.4158.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.279.4147.6-11.225%
vs Similar (9)76.079.1155.1-3.156%
vs Weaker (4)84.871.5156.2+13.275%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.8+8.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.8+8.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
BenficaPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/09
Super Cup
TSU
#54
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H25/09
Champions League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/09
Champions League
Norrkoping
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A29/09
Champions League
Vitoria
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/10
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H07/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/10
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/10
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/10
LPB
81.0Avg total
43.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.536.684.1+10.980%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.136.884.9+11.383%-
Last 30 away (12)46.636.483.0+10.275%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.381.0+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (3)38.739.778.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.136.284.4+11.983%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H07/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A10/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/10
Basket League
76.8Avg total
35.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.078.7-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.739.180.8+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.140.976.9-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.041.876.8-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.283.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.741.678.2-4.925%-
vs Similar (9)39.739.979.6-0.244%-
vs Weaker (4)47.034.881.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.0
56.6%
51.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.3
38.4%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws26.417.8
67.4%
74.5%17.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.016.6
44.9%
51.4%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.3
27.4%
34.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.5
70.8%
74.5%15.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLLLWWWWWW
PAOK
LWWWLLLLLL
#28
League position
#32
+29.8
Net rating
-11.0
117.8
Offensive rating
94.3
88.1
Defensive rating
105.3
57.0%
Effective FG%
43.4%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.4%
3-point %
27.4%
66.1%
Assist %
60.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 94.3Defence88.1 · 105.3Shooting57.0% · 43.4%3-point %38.4% · 27.4%Ball care16.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Benfica   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
PAOK wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HImortal103-58
21/10/23AFC Porto62-79
13/10/23HOliveirense71-78
11/10/23HOliveirense73-74
07/10/23HEsgueira110-70
04/10/23HVitoria107-66
29/09/23ANorrkoping83-73
27/09/23HAEK Larnaca87-59
25/09/23HTSU122-62
16/09/23HImortal93-75
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ALavrio76-86
21/10/23HPeristeri69-64
18/10/23AGalatasaray88-77
14/10/23AMaroussi80-75
07/10/23HPromitheas80-95
30/09/23APeristeri49-64
29/09/23HPanathinaikos64-77
10/06/23APeristeri51-73
07/06/23HPeristeri64-81
03/06/23APeristeri65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.3104.583.0
Allowed / game64.760.573.0
Point differential+32.7+44.0+10.0
Avg total162.0165.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total165.0-165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica330100%97.364.7+32.7
2 Promitheas220100%96.571.0+25.5
3 Dijon220100%95.575.0+20.5
4 Breogan110100%68.048.0+20.0
5 PAOK110100%88.077.0+11.0
6 Karsiyaka220100%89.580.0+9.5
7 Unicaja220100%85.076.0+9.0
8 Darussafaka220100%86.079.5+6.5
9 Tortona220100%83.077.0+6.0
10 Strasbourg550100%82.076.2+5.8
11 AEK Athens220100%83.579.0+4.5
12 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%99.096.0+3.0
13 Hapoel Holon110100%75.074.0+1.0
14 Cholet54180%80.279.4+0.8
15 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
16 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Murcia21150%73.062.5+10.5
20 Le Mans21150%85.075.5+9.5
21 Bonn21150%82.574.0+8.5
22 Tenerife21150%89.581.5+8.0
23 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
24 Szczecin21150%85.583.5+2.0
25 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
26 Ludwigsburg21150%80.581.0-0.5
27 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
28 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
29 Tofas21150%92.095.0-3.0
30 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
31 Peristeri21150%77.583.0-5.5
32 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
33 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
34 Oldenburg2020%83.085.0-2.0
35 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
36 Rytas2020%79.582.5-3.0
37 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
38 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
39 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
40 VEF Riga2020%74.079.0-5.0
41 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
42 Sassari2020%82.088.0-6.0
43 Galatasaray2020%86.593.5-7.0
44 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
45 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
46 Szombathely2020%74.087.0-13.0
47 Igokea2020%74.588.0-13.5
48 Oostende2020%72.587.5-15.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava2020%66.5109.5-43.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica1723282694
PAOK1526191272
← all games of the day
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