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Apolonia Fier vs Elbasani Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-62
33-18 18-14 20-12 20-18
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game73.7
Apolonia Fier 🏆
Albania
vs
Elbasani
Albania
Position#8
Record6-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game104.2
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati Sportit Flamurtari
Other2025-26
Meetings · Apolonia Fier v Elbasani
22 Mar 2026
APOL91
ELBA62
07 Apr 2024
APOL144
ELBA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apolonia Fier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apolonia FierAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFier
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
120-59
120
59
+61
124avg 87
A21/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
88-100
88
100
-12
74avg 87
A11/01
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
H18/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 87
A24/01
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
80-66
80
66
+14
88avg 87
H31/01
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
95-54
95
54
+41
95avg 87
A07/02
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 87
H14/02
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
58-82
58
82
-24
no box
H18/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
108-52
108
52
+56
110avg 87
H07/03
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 87
A15/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
30-12
40-11
17-18
19-19
19-18
16-38
34-25
19-20
14-11
21-16
10-17
19-22
18-20
18-17
20-20
16-13
23-21
19-18
22-14
26-14
20-14
25-12
24-14
23-21
20-16
14-22
19-22
17-19
10-19
11-22
20-22
36-11
36-11
16-12
20-18
20-26
16-27
18-17
29-21
159.7Avg total
85.7Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.373.7163.0+15.563%
Season at home (9)85.272.2157.4+13.056%
Season away (10)92.975.1168.0+17.870%
Last 10 (10)85.774.0159.7+11.740%
Last 5 (5)84.072.0156.0+12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.297.3181.5-13.217%
vs Similar (12)78.881.1159.8-2.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)98.567.0165.5+31.592%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Kamza Basket
#5
L
75-125
75
125
-50
52avg 67
A10/01
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
no box
A17/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
79avg 67
H25/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
80-125
80
125
-45
58avg 67
A01/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
71-106
71
106
-35
50avg 67
H08/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
no box
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
68-118
68
118
-50
62avg 67
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
69-147
69
147
-78
no box
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
74-93
74
93
-19
60avg 67
A08/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
90avg 67
H15/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
17-32
15-37
17-32
18-28
22-17
33-36
32-24
17-13
19-24
25-18
27-22
19-37
23-29
21-29
17-30
19-28
16-26
26-21
10-31
22-17
13-32
29-15
19-19
14-34
3-29
28-26
23-29
15-39
18-30
21-40
15-38
10-15
12-27
24-27
28-24
16-25
33-23
27-22
17-19
191.1Avg total
82.5Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.8104.2188.0-20.330%
Season at home (9)82.1101.4183.6-19.333%
Season away (11)85.3106.4191.6-21.127%
Last 10 (10)82.5108.6191.1-26.130%
Last 5 (5)80.0108.0188.0-28.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.2114.7192.9-36.48%
vs Similar (2)104.588.5193.0+16.050%
vs Weaker (4)94.876.5171.2+18.2100%
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -6.3-6.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -6.3-6.3
Apolonia FierElbasani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apolonia FierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A21/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/01
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H18/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A24/01
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H31/01
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A07/02
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H14/02
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H18/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
72-22
72
22
+50
H07/03
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A15/03
Superliga
78.6Avg total
43.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.939.881.8+2.159%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.637.278.9+4.471%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.384.5-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.435.278.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.835.680.4+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.585.0-8.033%-
vs Similar (12)38.142.780.8-4.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.033.181.1+14.991%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/01
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H25/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A01/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
17-63
17
63
-46
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
33-69
33
69
-36
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A08/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H15/03
Superliga
88.1Avg total
35.2Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.053.491.4-15.420%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.553.692.1-15.114%-
Last 30 away (16)37.653.190.7-15.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.252.988.1-17.710%-
Last 5 (5)31.254.285.4-23.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.057.493.5-21.44%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker (4)47.538.285.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apolonia Fiertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apolonia Fier: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.723.3
61.8%
56.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.3
37.5%
34.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.412.8
66.0%
67.8%12.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.5
48.1%
56.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.4
36.2%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.111.8
69.0%
67.8%11.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apolonia Fier
LWLLWWLLLW
Elbasani
WLLLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#8
+24.5
Net rating
-27.9
111.0
Offensive rating
87.1
86.5
Defensive rating
115.1
59.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
12.7%
Turnover %
20.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
36.2%
59.0%
Assist %
37.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 87.1Defence86.5 · 115.1Shooting59.4% · 50.3%3-point %37.5% · 36.2%Ball care12.7% · 20.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 31.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Apolonia Fier   ■ Elbasani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Apolonia Fier wins
0
Elbasani wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25Elbasani v Apolonia Fier80-111
07/04/24Apolonia Fier v Elbasani144-93
08/12/23Elbasani v Apolonia Fier79-98
Apolonia Fierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ATirana83-91
07/03/26HPartizani Tirana108-52
18/02/26HKamza Basket58-82
14/02/26HKamza Basket76-81
07/02/26APBC Flamurtari95-54
31/01/26HTeuta Durres80-66
24/01/26AVllaznia75-79
18/01/26HSkenderbeu74-76 OT
11/01/26ABeselidhja88-100
21/12/25AFieri120-59
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HPBC Flamurtari93-89
08/03/26ATeuta Durres74-93
17/02/26ABeselidhja69-147
14/02/26AVllaznia68-118
11/02/26AFieri96-93 OT
08/02/26HSkenderbeu71-106
01/02/26ABeselidhja80-125
25/01/26HFieri88-77
17/01/26APogradeci111-113 OT
10/01/26AKamza Basket75-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apolonia Fier
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL63%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayWLLWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%56%70%
Points / game89.385.292.9
Allowed / game73.772.275.1
Point differential+15.5+13.0+17.8
Avg total163.0157.4168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%44%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW30%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game83.882.185.3
Allowed / game104.2101.4106.4
Point differential-20.3-19.3-21.1
Avg total188.0183.6191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%22%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja19190100%115.268.0+47.2
2 Tirana1916384%101.378.2+23.1
3 Vllaznia2015575%87.074.9+12.1
4 Teuta Durres2014670%86.381.7+4.7
5 Apolonia Fier1912763%89.373.7+15.5
6 Skenderbeu1811761%87.379.9+7.3
7 Kamza Basket2012860%90.278.0+12.2
8 Elbasani2061430%83.8104.2-20.3
9 Fieri2041620%77.393.8-16.4
10 Pogradeci1931616%79.2101.7-22.6
11 Partizani Tirana2131814%64.995.0-30.0
12 PBC Flamurtari1921711%67.796.5-28.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apolonia Fier3318202091
Elbasani1814121862
← all games of the day
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