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Apop Paphou vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 64-73
11-23 17-21 18-17 18-12
Position#9
Record4-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game83.2
Apop Paphou
Cyprus
vs
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
Position#5
Record10-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game72.8
CyprusDivision ARound 17· Aphroditi Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Apop Paphou v AEL
28 Feb 2024
APOP64
AEL73
04 Jan 2023
APOP82
AEL54
18 Jan 2022
APOP96
AEL81
10 Oct 2020
APOP66
AEL65
13 Oct 2019
APOP78
AEL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaphou
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
L
63-67
63
67
-4
55avg 63
H25/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 63
A02/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
50avg 63
H09/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
67-94
67
94
-27
60avg 63
A14/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 63
H21/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
no box
A06/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 63
H13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
67-66
67
66
+1
58avg 63
A27/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
62avg 63
A11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-71
60
71
-11
50avg 63
H14/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
9-13
21-17
17-18
14-26
22-19
17-22
22-13
13-27
18-16
13-26
24-21
14-32
18-21
17-23
18-18
20-24
21-24
23-19
21-25
16-16
23-14
13-32
25-15
26-23
18-18
16-22
16-20
14-16
15-18
19-12
19-20
18-18
21-30
16-19
16-17
12-16
12-23
22-18
14-14
156.3Avg total
73.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.983.2158.1-8.325%
Season at home (8)74.679.2153.9-4.638%
Season away (8)75.187.1162.2-12.012%
Last 10 (10)73.383.0156.3-9.710%
Last 5 (5)75.081.4156.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.380.8146.1-15.617%
vs Similar (8)78.879.9158.6-1.138%
vs Weaker (4)80.882.0162.8-1.250%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apop Paphou
#9
W
82-53
82
53
+29
74avg 74
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
78avg 74
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-41
82
41
+41
87avg 74
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 74
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 74
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 74
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
65avg 74
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 74
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-42
86
42
+44
89avg 74
H12/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
19-10
25-11
21-19
18-18
13-19
22-23
25-10
18-4
20-17
24-12
20-8
16-11
10-17
17-18
14-21
21-21
22-28
14-24
17-17
28-13
28-26
11-23
19-24
26-14
27-16
27-19
18-15
28-23
20-22
21-15
17-21
14-16
19-17
12-22
17-16
27-12
32-12
10-8
17-10
147.8Avg total
79.9Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.472.8155.1+9.662%
Season at home (9)83.465.7149.1+17.867%
Season away (7)81.081.9162.9-0.957%
Last 10 (10)79.967.9147.8+12.060%
Last 5 (5)85.271.6156.8+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.890.3171.1-9.611%
vs Similar (6)72.783.7156.3-11.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.672.6158.2+13.073%
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Apop PaphouAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H25/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H09/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A14/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A27/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H14/02
Division A
75.3Avg total
34.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.440.073.4-6.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.336.569.8-3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.543.576.9-10.013%-
Last 10 (10)34.041.375.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.241.372.5-10.222%-
vs Similar (8)35.037.472.4-2.438%-
vs Weaker (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apop Paphou
#9
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H12/02
Division A
75.2Avg total
42.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.479.7+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.378.2+7.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.681.1-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)42.332.975.2+9.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.834.284.0+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.444.384.8-3.922%-
vs Similar (6)33.541.374.8-7.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.835.778.5+7.167%-
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apop Paphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apop Paphou: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.4
49.9%
51.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.7
28.6%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws12.89.6
75.0%
71.2%9.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.0
38.5%
32.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.3
63.2%
71.2%10.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apop Paphou
LLWLLLLLLL
AEL
WLWWLLLWWW
#9
League position
#5
-18.0
Net rating
+21.7
95.0
Offensive rating
109.5
113.0
Defensive rating
87.8
46.8%
Effective FG%
54.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.6%
3-point %
38.5%
61.8%
Assist %
64.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 109.5Defence113.0 · 87.8Shooting46.8% · 54.6%3-point %28.6% · 38.5%Ball care17.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds23.0% · 26.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Apop Paphou   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Apop Paphou wins
4
AEL wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23AEL v Apop Paphou82-53
04/01/23Apop Paphou v AEL82-54
15/10/22AEL v Apop Paphou75-58
18/01/22Apop Paphou v AEL96-81
16/10/21AEL v Apop Paphou93-84
21/02/21AEL v Apop Paphou91-98 OT
05/12/20AEL v Apop Paphou100-102 OT
10/10/20Apop Paphou v AEL66-65
01/02/20AEL v Apop Paphou63-54
13/10/19Apop Paphou v AEL78-73
Apop Paphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24HApoel BC60-71
11/02/24AAchilleas K.71-84
27/01/24AParalimni67-66
13/01/24HKeravnos76-83
06/01/24APAEEK101-103 OT
21/12/23HApollon85-92
14/12/23AAnorthosis67-94
09/12/23HAEK Larnaca68-90
02/12/23AApoel BC75-80
25/11/23HAchilleas K.63-67
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24HParalimni86-42
29/01/24HKeravnos62-71
20/01/24APAEEK86-81
15/01/24HApollon98-64
05/01/24AETHA Engomi94-100 OT
22/12/23HAnorthosis74-90
13/12/23AApoel BC57-67
08/12/23HAchilleas K.82-41
24/11/23AParalimni78-70
17/11/23HApop Paphou82-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apop Paphou
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game74.974.675.1
Allowed / game83.279.287.1
Point differential-8.3-4.6-12.0
Avg total158.1153.9162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%12%12%
AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game82.483.481.0
Allowed / game72.865.781.9
Point differential+9.6+17.8-0.9
Avg total155.1149.1162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1715288%85.869.2+16.6
2 Anorthosis1714382%87.868.6+19.2
3 AEK Larnaca1714382%88.572.8+15.7
4 Apoel BC1712571%74.671.4+3.2
5 AEL1610662%82.472.8+9.6
6 Apollon1871139%76.885.3-8.6
7 PAEEK1861233%81.591.4-9.9
8 ETHA Engomi1751229%76.684.4-7.7
9 Achilleas K.1851328%67.777.2-9.6
10 Apop Paphou1641225%74.983.2-8.3
11 Paralimni1721512%67.586.1-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apop Paphou1117181864
AEL2321171273
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