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AEL vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-42
27-12 32-12 10-8 17-10
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Paralimni
Cyprus
Position#11
Record2-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game87.3
CyprusDivision ARound 18· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEL v Paralimni
17 Oct 2026
AEL89
PARA77
31 Mar 2026
AEL99
PARA82
02 Feb 2026
AEL75
PARA74
15 Apr 2025
AEL77
PARA69
26 Oct 2024
AEL99
PARA67
12 Feb 2024
AEL86
PARA42
16 Dec 2022
AEL92
PARA78
23 Jan 2022
AEL81
PARA75
24 Oct 2020
AEL65
PARA75
09 Feb 2020
AEL81
PARA60
25 Jan 2020
AEL79
PARA63
02 Mar 2019
AEL79
PARA63
19 Jan 2019
AEL80
PARA61
18 Feb 2015
AEL0
PARA20
31 Jan 2015
AEL0
PARA20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paralimni winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 73
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
82-53
82
53
+29
74avg 73
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
78avg 73
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-41
82
41
+41
87avg 73
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 73
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 73
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 73
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
65avg 73
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 73
H29/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-22
27-14
15-16
17-13
19-10
25-11
21-19
18-18
13-19
22-23
25-10
18-4
20-17
24-12
20-8
16-11
10-17
17-18
14-21
21-21
22-28
14-24
17-17
28-13
28-26
11-23
19-24
26-14
27-16
27-19
18-15
28-23
20-22
21-15
17-21
14-16
19-17
12-22
17-16
150.4Avg total
79.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.174.8156.9+7.360%
Season at home (8)83.168.6151.8+14.562%
Season away (7)81.081.9162.9-0.957%
Last 10 (10)79.371.1150.4+8.260%
Last 5 (5)82.881.2164.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.890.3171.1-9.611%
vs Similar (6)72.783.7156.3-11.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.075.0161.0+11.073%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
Apop Paphou
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 57
A11/11
Division A
AEL
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 57
H24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
72-70
72
70
+2
59avg 57
A02/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
46avg 57
H08/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
71-112
71
112
-41
50avg 57
A14/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
60-80
60
80
-20
51avg 57
H20/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
77avg 57
A05/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 57
H14/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
68-114
68
114
-46
52avg 57
A19/01
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
66-67
66
67
-1
60avg 57
H27/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
22-21
25-17
14-20
18-18
19-13
23-22
10-25
19-11
22-22
21-18
10-19
14-33
13-22
24-20
17-17
23-30
16-22
13-31
19-29
15-16
22-20
11-26
12-18
19-18
20-28
19-14
22-17
21-14
18-19
25-28
16-25
16-30
17-22
19-33
16-29
16-14
18-15
12-19
20-19
156.7Avg total
71.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.687.3156.9-17.713%
Season at home (8)65.085.1150.1-20.10%
Season away (7)74.989.7164.6-14.929%
Last 10 (10)71.185.6156.7-14.520%
Last 5 (5)70.884.8155.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)69.685.1154.7-15.513%
vs Similar (1)73.080.0153.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (6)73.870.2144.0+3.750%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -6.2-6.2
AELParalimni
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
Division A
75.1Avg total
40.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.179.7-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.636.778.3+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.543.681.1-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.975.1+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.285.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.444.384.8-3.922%-
vs Similar (6)33.541.374.8-7.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.537.178.6+4.360%-
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apop Paphou
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/11
Division A
AEL
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A02/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
27-55
27
55
-28
H08/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A14/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A05/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A19/01
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H27/01
Division A
77.3Avg total
36.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.774.3-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.339.172.4-5.844%-
Last 30 away (14)36.140.476.5-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.077.3-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.275.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.441.275.6-6.835%-
vs Similar (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (6)35.033.268.2+1.850%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.8
50.9%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.0
39.7%
32.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.011.7
65.0%
71.2%11.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.515.9
43.6%
51.0%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
32.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.910.9
68.6%
71.2%10.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWWLLLWWWW
Paralimni
LLLWLLLWLL
#5
League position
#11
+15.5
Net rating
-19.1
109.6
Offensive rating
93.7
94.1
Defensive rating
112.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
45.9%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.7%
3-point %
32.6%
62.8%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 93.7Defence94.1 · 112.7Shooting54.4% · 45.9%3-point %39.7% · 32.6%Ball care16.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.3% · 26.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ AEL   ■ Paralimni
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
AEL wins
4
Paralimni wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Paralimni v AEL70-78
17/02/23Paralimni v AEL104-103 OT
16/12/22AEL v Paralimni92-78
23/01/22AEL v Paralimni81-75
23/10/21Paralimni v AEL86-73
13/12/20Paralimni v AEL85-64
24/10/20AEL v Paralimni65-75
09/02/20AEL v Paralimni81-60
25/01/20AEL v Paralimni79-63
30/11/19Paralimni v AEL74-80
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/24HKeravnos62-71
20/01/24APAEEK86-81
15/01/24HApollon98-64
05/01/24AETHA Engomi94-100 OT
22/12/23HAnorthosis74-90
13/12/23AApoel BC57-67
08/12/23HAchilleas K.82-41
24/11/23AParalimni78-70
17/11/23HApop Paphou82-53
12/11/23AKeravnos80-74
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HApop Paphou66-67
19/01/24AKeravnos68-114
14/01/24HPAEEK80-86
05/01/24AApollon80-77
20/12/23HETHA Engomi60-80
14/12/23AAEK Larnaca71-112
08/12/23HApoel BC68-92
02/12/23AAchilleas K.72-70
24/11/23HAEL70-78
11/11/23AApop Paphou76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game82.183.181.0
Allowed / game74.868.681.9
Point differential+7.3+14.5-0.9
Avg total156.9151.8162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Paralimni
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %13%0%29%
Points / game69.665.074.9
Allowed / game87.385.189.7
Point differential-17.7-20.1-14.9
Avg total156.9150.1164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1614288%85.868.4+17.4
2 AEK Larnaca1614288%88.971.9+16.9
3 Anorthosis1613381%85.167.9+17.2
4 Apoel BC1611569%74.972.1+2.8
5 AEL159660%82.174.8+7.3
6 PAEEK1761135%81.689.1-7.5
7 Apollon1761135%76.086.0-10.0
8 ETHA Engomi1651131%76.884.0-7.2
9 Apop Paphou1541127%75.984.0-8.1
10 Achilleas K.1741324%67.678.1-10.5
11 Paralimni1521313%69.687.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2732101786
Paralimni121281042
← all games of the day
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