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AEL vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 62-71
14-16 19-17 12-22 17-16
Position#5
Record9-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game75.1
AEL
Cyprus
vs
Keravnos 🏆
Cyprus
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game70.2
CyprusDivision ARound 16· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEL v Keravnos
29 Dec 2026
AEL v KER
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
AEL87
KER82
22 Apr 2026
AEL81
KER85
19 Oct 2025
AEL77
KER87
03 May 2025
AEL72
KER81
31 Jan 2025
AEL94
KER91
22 Apr 2024
AEL61
KER75
29 Jan 2024
AEL62
KER71
15 Mar 2023
AEL78
KER92
17 Feb 2022
AEL67
KER81
02 Jan 2021
AEL55
KER83
09 Nov 2019
AEL75
KER99
12 Dec 2018
AEL71
KER74
02 Dec 2014
AEL0
KER20
17 Jan 2014
AEL58
KER76
24 Nov 2013
AEL67
KER82
30 Jan 2013
AEL46
KER70
24 Nov 2012
AEL62
KER66
02 Mar 2012
AEL50
KER90
07 Jan 2012
AEL46
KER150
31 Mar 2011
AEL76
KER65
23 Mar 2011
AEL88
KER73
15 Jan 2011
AEL79
KER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
PAEEK
#6
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 75
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 75
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
82-53
82
53
+29
74avg 75
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
78avg 75
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-41
82
41
+41
87avg 75
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 75
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 75
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 75
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
65avg 75
A20/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-14
19-19
25-13
19-22
19-22
27-14
15-16
17-13
19-10
25-11
21-19
18-18
13-19
22-23
25-10
18-4
20-17
24-12
20-8
16-11
10-17
17-18
14-21
21-21
22-28
14-24
17-17
28-13
28-26
11-23
19-24
26-14
27-16
27-19
18-15
28-23
20-22
21-15
17-21
153.4Avg total
82.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.675.1158.6+8.564%
Season at home (7)86.168.3154.4+17.971%
Season away (7)81.081.9162.9-0.957%
Last 10 (10)82.371.1153.4+11.270%
Last 5 (5)81.880.4162.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)83.192.8175.9-9.612%
vs Similar (6)72.783.7156.3-11.033%
vs Weaker (16)85.975.2161.1+10.775%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 81
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
79avg 81
A18/11
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
69-102
69
102
-33
54avg 81
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 81
H27/11
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 81
A03/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 81
H10/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
80-56
80
56
+24
86avg 81
A14/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
101-70
101
70
+31
98avg 81
H21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
85avg 81
A13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
114-68
114
68
+46
127avg 81
H19/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
18-17
22-18
16-23
25-25
14-12
19-16
20-17
17-21
16-20
15-31
21-30
27-18
23-25
20-25
18-18
19-16
17-19
19-11
16-34
18-14
16-17
19-23
22-18
23-13
23-8
23-11
11-24
32-14
19-16
26-23
24-17
23-26
18-18
22-16
20-16
30-16
22-17
33-19
29-16
160.2Avg total
84.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.870.2158.0+17.585%
Season at home (7)93.174.4167.6+18.786%
Season away (6)81.565.3146.8+16.283%
Last 10 (10)84.375.9160.2+8.480%
Last 5 (5)90.668.4159.0+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.591.5168.0-15.017%
vs Similar (8)73.576.8150.2-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.168.6160.7+23.494%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
AELKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAEEK
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/01
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/01
Division A
77.2Avg total
41.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.480.3-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.236.979.1+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)37.943.481.3-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.577.2+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.283.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.445.887.1-4.425%-
vs Similar (6)33.541.374.8-7.817%-
vs Weaker (16)41.637.478.9+4.262%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TSU
#41
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Achilleas K.
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/11
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H27/11
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H10/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
46-21
46
21
+25
A14/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H19/01
Division A
78.1Avg total
42.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.278.7+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.937.482.2+7.575%-
Last 30 away (14)39.834.874.6+5.057%-
Last 10 (10)42.835.378.1+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.831.876.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.544.378.8-9.817%-
vs Similar (8)37.535.573.0+2.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.033.481.4+14.688%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.1
41.1%
32.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.811.1
62.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.4
56.0%
51.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.4
37.7%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
71.2%14.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWLLLWWWWW
Keravnos
WWWWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#1
+18.9
Net rating
+12.6
110.5
Offensive rating
115.0
91.5
Defensive rating
102.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.1%
3-point %
37.7%
62.7%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 115.0Defence91.5 · 102.4Shooting55.1% · 56.2%3-point %41.1% · 37.7%Ball care16.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ AEL   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEL wins
9
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Keravnos v AEL74-80
15/03/23AEL v Keravnos78-92
07/12/22Keravnos v AEL103-82
17/02/22AEL v Keravnos67-81
06/12/21Keravnos v AEL101-57
02/01/21AEL v Keravnos55-83
11/11/20Keravnos v AEL87-63
05/01/20Keravnos v AEL95-76
09/11/19AEL v Keravnos75-99
28/01/19Keravnos v AEL84-70
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24APAEEK86-81
15/01/24HApollon98-64
05/01/24AETHA Engomi94-100 OT
22/12/23HAnorthosis74-90
13/12/23AApoel BC57-67
08/12/23HAchilleas K.82-41
24/11/23AParalimni78-70
17/11/23HApop Paphou82-53
12/11/23AKeravnos80-74
05/11/23HPAEEK92-71
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HParalimni114-68
13/01/24AApop Paphou83-76
21/12/23HPAEEK101-70
14/12/23AETHA Engomi80-56
10/12/23HAnorthosis75-72
03/12/23AAEK Larnaca71-80
27/11/23HApoel BC88-86
22/11/23HGottingen69-102
18/11/23AAchilleas K.78-70
15/11/23HTSU84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game83.686.181.0
Allowed / game75.168.381.9
Point differential+8.5+17.9-0.9
Avg total158.6154.4162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Keravnos
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game87.893.181.5
Allowed / game70.274.465.3
Point differential+17.5+18.7+16.2
Avg total158.0167.6146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca1412286%86.071.0+15.0
2 Keravnos1311285%87.870.2+17.5
3 Anorthosis1411379%83.868.1+15.7
4 Apoel BC1411379%74.469.5+4.9
5 AEL149564%83.675.1+8.5
6 Apollon156940%76.284.5-8.3
7 ETHA Engomi1551033%77.883.4-5.6
8 PAEEK1551033%80.186.6-6.5
9 Apop Paphou1441029%76.284.0-7.8
10 Achilleas K.1531220%67.178.1-11.0
11 Paralimni1521313%69.687.3-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1419121762
Keravnos1617221671
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