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Appalachian State vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-61
38-30 34-31
Position#157
Record6-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#207
Record8-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Appalachian State v Texas State
04 Jan 2025
APPA72
TEXA61
16 Feb 2023
APPA82
TEXA75
08 Feb 2020
APPA60
TEXA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#143
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#588
W
85-43
85
43
+42
H03/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A19/12
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
34-29
42-30
37-46
30-33
36-30
40-25
32-25
33-44
28-32
49-24
36-19
29-20
30-45
21-35
41-33
28-33
36-35
30-33
31-36
130.5Avg total
67.4Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.365.3134.6+4.046%
Season at home (8)74.960.6135.5+14.275%
Season away (5)60.472.8133.2-12.40%
Last 10 (10)67.463.1130.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)66.262.6128.8+3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.070.2140.2-0.260%
vs Weaker (20)79.866.2146.1+13.585%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H21/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H29/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-44
44-38
41-43
42-37
35-31
39-34
28-28
44-31
50-29
47-20
35-31
40-35
40-43
40-46
42-33
41-28
39-32
33-48
25-37
46-40
148.3Avg total
77.5Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.668.7145.3+7.957%
Season at home (8)79.463.6143.0+15.875%
Season away (6)72.875.5148.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)77.570.8148.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)76.274.6150.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.671.7138.3-5.143%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.769.1139.9+1.660%
vs Weaker (8)82.264.2146.5+18.075%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
Appalachian StateTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#143
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#588
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H03/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A19/12
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H02/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
33.3Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.067.3+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.431.570.9+7.968%-
Last 30 away (11)28.032.960.9-4.918%-
Last 10 (10)33.330.163.4+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.060.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.533.260.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.029.463.4+4.660%-
vs Weaker (20)37.532.269.8+5.255%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H21/11
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A01/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#621
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A03/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.165.5+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.730.165.8+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)31.034.165.1-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.171.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.271.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.035.064.0-6.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.331.864.1+0.560%-
vs Weaker (8)39.030.269.2+8.875%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Appalachian State wins
4
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25HTroy61-69
21/12/24ANorth Texas64-68
19/12/24ALouisiana Lafayette62-68
14/12/24AHigh Point59-65
03/12/24HMid-Atlantic85-43
30/11/24ANC Wilmington61-76
29/11/24HColgate72-50
27/11/24HSam Houston St.66-63
24/11/24HWilliam & Mary79-76
19/11/24HQueens Royals65-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AMarshall71-77
29/12/24HUT Arlington72-80
21/12/24HGeorgia Southern83-61
14/12/24AFlorida Atlantic80-89
08/12/24HRice75-66
05/12/24HArlington Baptist Patriots97-49
01/12/24ATexas Southern72-59
25/11/24HOhio74-65
23/11/24APrinceton83-80
21/11/24HBradley68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%75%0%
Points / game69.374.960.4
Allowed / game65.360.672.8
Point differential+4.0+14.2-12.4
Avg total134.6135.5133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game76.679.472.8
Allowed / game68.763.675.5
Point differential+7.9+15.8-2.7
Avg total145.3143.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1411379%80.570.6+9.9
2 South Alabama1410471%75.161.9+13.2
3 Troy139469%74.966.0+8.9
4 Texas State148657%76.668.7+7.9
5 James Madison148657%75.269.6+5.6
6 Georgia Southern148657%75.579.1-3.6
7 Marshall158753%76.172.2+3.9
8 Coastal Carolina147750%69.168.3+0.9
9 Appalachian State136746%69.365.3+4.0
10 Southern Miss146843%72.176.6-4.5
11 Old Dominion145936%69.175.2-6.1
12 Georgia State1441029%69.978.9-9.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette1441029%66.075.2-9.2
14 Louisiana Monroe1541127%73.473.5-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State383472
Texas State303161
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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