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Appalachian State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 61-69
30-33 31-36
Position#157
Record6-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game65.0
Appalachian State
USA
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#68
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Appalachian State v Troy
31 Dec 2026
APPA v TROY
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
APPA61
TROY69
14 Jan 2023
APPA58
TROY45
17 Feb 2022
APPA61
TROY67
02 Jan 2021
APPA90
TROY59
01 Jan 2021
APPA56
TROY69
22 Feb 2020
APPA68
TROY59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A10/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#588
W
85-43
85
43
+42
H03/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A19/12
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
20-36
36-51
31-24
34-29
42-30
37-46
30-33
36-30
40-25
32-25
33-44
28-32
49-24
36-19
29-20
30-45
21-35
41-33
28-33
36-35
131.8Avg total
66.9Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.065.0135.0+5.050%
Season at home (7)76.959.4136.3+17.486%
Season away (5)60.472.8133.2-12.40%
Last 10 (10)66.964.9131.8+2.050%
Last 5 (5)66.264.0130.2+2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)69.667.4137.0+2.280%
vs Weaker (20)79.866.2146.1+13.585%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-26
22-39
23-38
38-44
47-28
37-37
42-29
44-43
32-43
36-29
41-36
43-38
11-33
31-29
48-20
39-33
55-34
50-26
39-25
38-32
140.5Avg total
74.3Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.466.4141.8+9.067%
Season at home (7)84.466.0150.4+18.486%
Season away (5)62.867.0129.8-4.240%
Last 10 (10)74.366.2140.5+8.160%
Last 5 (5)79.061.2140.2+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)58.769.7128.3-11.033%
vs Weaker (25)79.669.7149.2+9.972%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +2.8+2.8
Appalachian StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#43
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#588
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H03/12
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A19/12
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/12
NCAA
62.7Avg total
32.3Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.231.867.0+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.931.471.4+8.572%-
Last 30 away (12)28.232.260.4-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.330.462.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.263.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.533.260.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)34.027.861.8+6.280%-
vs Weaker (20)37.532.269.8+5.255%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
11-33
11
33
-22
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
36.5Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.030.567.5+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.029.768.7+9.381%-
Last 30 away (14)34.731.466.1+3.371%-
Last 10 (10)36.531.267.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.829.668.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)24.330.054.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker (25)39.130.970.0+8.284%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Appalachian State wins
6
Troy wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Troy v Appalachian State66-62
14/01/23Appalachian State v Troy58-45
17/02/22Appalachian State v Troy61-67
08/01/22Troy v Appalachian State68-53
30/01/21Troy v Appalachian State65-59
30/01/21Troy v Appalachian State71-62
02/01/21Appalachian State v Troy90-59
01/01/21Appalachian State v Troy56-69
22/02/20Appalachian State v Troy68-59
21/12/19Troy v Appalachian State65-70
Appalachian Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ANorth Texas64-68
19/12/24ALouisiana Lafayette62-68
14/12/24AHigh Point59-65
03/12/24HMid-Atlantic85-43
30/11/24ANC Wilmington61-76
29/11/24HColgate72-50
27/11/24HSam Houston St.66-63
24/11/24HWilliam & Mary79-76
19/11/24HQueens Royals65-53
10/11/24AWisconsin56-87
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HGeorgia State77-57
18/12/24HLa Grange105-60
14/12/24HMiddle Georgia State87-53
11/12/24AHouston42-62
01/12/24HEastern Kentucky84-74
29/11/24HMerrimack Warriors68-72
26/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners86-72
20/11/24AWest Georgia84-65
17/11/24AOregon61-82
14/11/24AArkansas49-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%86%0%
Points / game70.076.960.4
Allowed / game65.059.472.8
Point differential+5.0+17.4-12.4
Avg total135.0136.3133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game75.484.462.8
Allowed / game66.466.067.0
Point differential+9.0+18.4-4.2
Avg total141.8150.4129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1310377%80.771.5+9.2
2 South Alabama139469%74.962.7+12.2
3 Troy128467%75.466.4+9.0
4 Texas State138562%77.068.1+8.9
5 James Madison137654%74.669.5+5.2
6 Coastal Carolina137654%69.268.1+1.2
7 Georgia Southern137654%74.478.9-4.5
8 Appalachian State126650%70.065.0+5.0
9 Marshall147750%76.072.3+3.7
10 Southern Miss136746%72.276.2-4.0
11 Old Dominion135838%69.975.0-5.1
12 Georgia State134931%71.379.1-7.8
13 Louisiana Monroe1441029%72.872.4+0.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette1331023%65.675.8-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State303161
Troy333669
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