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Texas State vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-56
29-26 34-30
Position#214
Record9-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#14
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v Appalachian State
27 Feb 2026
TEXA60
APPA57
07 Feb 2024
TEXA63
APPA56
03 Feb 2022
TEXA68
APPA66
06 Mar 2021
TEXA73
APPA76
11 Mar 2020
TEXA85
APPA68
11 Jan 2020
TEXA82
APPA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
32-38
40-37
35-42
39-38
43-47
33-29
34-25
29-44
39-42
36-43
36-36
34-39
31-39
24-30
22-36
28-24
46-42
31-24
29-31
139.1Avg total
67.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)68.670.7139.3-2.139%
Season at home (11)74.268.8143.0+5.445%
Season away (12)63.472.4135.8-9.033%
Last 10 (10)67.271.9139.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)63.468.8132.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)59.474.7134.1-15.38%
vs Similar (13)72.867.5140.4+5.369%
vs Weaker (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A06/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A12/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H25/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-43
38-39
26-23
36-43
32-16
38-29
30-25
29-30
39-30
37-38
40-30
48-29
48-43
36-31
36-28
46-48
30-30
51-41
35-41
39-33
146.0Avg total
77.8Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.365.4143.7+12.883%
Season at home (12)79.861.2140.9+18.692%
Season away (11)76.670.1146.7+6.573%
Last 10 (10)77.868.2146.0+9.690%
Last 5 (5)84.072.8156.8+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)67.566.5134.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.566.6143.1+9.981%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +3.7+3.7
Texas StateAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H03/02
NCAA
66.6Avg total
32.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.664.0-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.832.064.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)30.133.263.2-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.166.6-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.062.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)27.636.564.1-8.80%-
vs Similar (13)32.929.962.8+3.069%-
vs Weaker (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A06/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
32-16
32
16
+16
A12/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A13/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H25/01
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A03/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
36.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.167.3+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.929.968.7+9.086%-
Last 30 away (16)33.832.266.1+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)36.030.966.9+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.472.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)31.230.561.8+0.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.032.068.9+5.071%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Texas State wins
3
Appalachian State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HSouthern Miss60-55
02/02/24HSouth Alabama74-66
28/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette46-66
25/01/24ATroy65-78
20/01/24HArkansas State72-79
18/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette68-86
13/01/24ALouisiana Monroe67-54
12/01/24AArkansas State82-85
06/01/24HMarshall75-79
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AGeorgia Southern85-84 OT
02/02/24AGeorgia State81-71
27/01/24HJames Madison82-76
25/01/24HGeorgia Southern84-74
20/01/24HCoastal Carolina88-59
17/01/24HGeorgia State76-68
13/01/24AJames Madison59-55
12/01/24ACoastal Carolina70-45
06/01/24ATroy62-66
05/01/24ASouth Alabama91-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%45%33%
Points / game68.674.263.4
Allowed / game70.768.872.4
Point differential-2.1+5.4-9.0
Avg total139.3143.0135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game78.379.876.6
Allowed / game65.461.270.1
Point differential+12.8+18.6+6.5
Avg total143.7140.9146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %13%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2320387%85.669.0+16.6
2 Appalachian State2319483%78.365.4+12.8
3 Troy2416867%80.169.5+10.6
4 Louisiana Lafayette2315865%77.770.9+6.7
5 Southern Miss23121152%69.570.7-1.1
6 Marshall25121348%75.776.4-0.8
7 Arkansas State23101343%79.078.6+0.4
8 South Alabama23101343%73.277.6-4.4
9 Georgia State2291341%78.375.5+2.8
10 Texas State2391439%68.670.7-2.1
11 Louisiana Monroe2281436%70.574.6-4.2
12 Coastal Carolina2361726%74.779.9-5.2
13 Old Dominion2361726%71.777.3-5.6
14 Georgia Southern2351822%70.779.4-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State293463
Appalachian State263056
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