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Texas State vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-66
41-29 27-37
Position#40
Record13-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game63.2
vs
Position#156
Record14-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Texas State v Appalachian State
27 Feb 2026
TEXA60
APPA57
07 Feb 2024
TEXA63
APPA56
03 Feb 2022
TEXA68
APPA66
06 Mar 2021
TEXA73
APPA76
11 Mar 2020
TEXA85
APPA68
11 Jan 2020
TEXA82
APPA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#365
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
75-36
75
36
+39
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-18
36-29
34-20
41-16
22-45
25-35
24-33
39-45
51-33
29-23
32-32
40-36
43-24
26-35
32-32
28-35
21-36
37-34
26-29
32-24
126.3Avg total
64.9Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.263.2134.4+8.068%
Season at home (9)75.455.2130.7+20.289%
Season away (10)67.470.4137.8-3.050%
Last 10 (10)64.961.4126.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)63.463.4126.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)65.968.8134.6-2.938%
vs Weaker (21)71.759.1130.9+12.686%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H01/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H13/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H27/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-43
36-28
32-38
45-31
39-28
33-36
29-30
24-38
39-32
22-28
38-35
32-35
35-27
26-33
37-29
33-33
33-27
28-27
35-29
37-28
130.7Avg total
66.6Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.462.7130.0+4.761%
Season at home (13)69.856.6126.4+13.277%
Season away (10)64.370.5134.8-6.240%
Last 10 (10)66.664.1130.7+2.580%
Last 5 (5)69.661.8131.4+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.271.0137.2-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (16)63.965.6129.5-1.656%
vs Weaker (9)75.255.7130.9+19.689%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
Texas StateAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#365
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H16/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#445
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
31.6Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.729.062.7+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.626.961.6+7.765%-
Last 30 away (13)32.431.864.2+0.646%-
Last 10 (10)31.630.261.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.830.661.4+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.629.560.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (21)35.428.163.5+7.362%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H01/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H13/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H27/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H29/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.331.062.3+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.428.861.1+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)30.433.063.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.865.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.465.0+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.235.667.8-3.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.231.560.7-2.350%-
vs Weaker (9)34.627.762.2+6.967%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
2
Appalachian State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22HUT Arlington58-53
28/01/22AUT Arlington58-70
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67
21/01/22AUALR69-59
15/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-68
14/01/22HLouisiana Monroe80-56
31/12/21HTroy63-78
23/12/21AHouston47-80
18/12/21HPaul Quinn75-36
16/12/21HLamar67-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22HUALR72-57
27/01/22HArkansas State61-54
22/01/22AGeorgia Southern70-62
21/01/22AGeorgia State61-60
15/01/22ACoastal Carolina84-76 OT
13/01/22HCoastal Carolina61-60
08/01/22ATroy53-68
07/01/22ASouth Alabama72-64
01/01/22HLouisiana Monroe77-69
30/12/21HLouisiana Lafayette55-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%89%50%
Points / game71.275.467.4
Allowed / game63.255.270.4
Point differential+8.0+20.2-3.0
Avg total134.4130.7137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayWLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %61%77%40%
Points / game67.469.864.3
Allowed / game62.756.670.5
Point differential+4.7+13.2-6.2
Avg total130.0126.4134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1914574%73.868.3+5.5
2 South Alabama2115671%74.764.4+10.3
3 Texas State1913668%71.263.2+8.0
4 Troy2114767%71.465.7+5.7
5 James Madison1912763%78.572.1+6.4
6 Appalachian State2314961%67.462.7+4.7
7 Coastal Carolina2112957%74.865.6+9.2
8 Georgia State179853%72.766.8+5.9
9 Georgia Southern1910953%68.763.7+5.1
10 Louisiana Lafayette1991047%70.569.1+1.4
11 Louisiana Monroe22101245%73.274.5-1.3
12 Old Dominion2081240%66.566.5+0.1
13 Marshall2181338%75.476.5-1.1
14 Southern Miss2061430%63.071.0-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State412768
Appalachian State293766
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