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Appalachian State vs UNC Asheville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 63-76
23-44 40-32
Position#14
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game62.9
vs
Position#83
Record6-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
71-81 OT
71
81
-10
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
86-56
86
56
+30
A21/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Central Penn
#707
W
111-35
111
35
+76
H06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A14/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-48
42-43
32-43
31-20
33-34
53-22
33-28
34-29
44-24
34-34
42-22
30-39
33-31
36-33
59-19
52-16
45-38
48-43
29-31
51-28
144.8Avg total
80.5Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.162.9144.0+18.282%
Season at home (6)82.854.3137.2+28.5100%
Season away (5)79.073.2152.2+5.860%
Last 10 (10)80.564.3144.8+16.280%
Last 5 (5)85.060.0145.0+25.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.867.5127.2-7.825%
vs Similar (8)66.265.4131.6+0.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)73.865.1138.8+8.776%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carolina University
#675
W
117-54
117
54
+63
H14/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#669
W
114-59
114
59
+55
H18/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#610
W
97-51
97
51
+46
H01/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A09/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A14/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
59-20
58-34
63-26
51-33
30-42
45-44
40-29
39-50
31-38
46-29
44-20
53-31
30-36
35-29
29-38
34-40
27-39
35-48
34-36
45-39
156.3Avg total
84.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.175.0157.1+7.150%
Season at home (6)91.368.0159.3+23.367%
Season away (6)72.882.0154.8-9.233%
Last 10 (10)84.571.8156.3+12.760%
Last 5 (5)75.474.0149.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)57.586.5144.0-29.00%
vs Similar (12)71.068.9139.9+2.167%
vs Weaker (15)82.470.0152.4+12.487%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +10.4+10.42nd half: +6.4+6.4
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +10.4+10.42nd half: +6.4+6.4
Appalachian StateUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Central Penn
#707
W
59-19
59
19
+40
H06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H16/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.629.964.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.827.061.8+7.873%-
Last 30 away (15)34.432.767.1+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.870.4+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.628.269.8+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.530.057.5-2.525%-
vs Similar (8)31.131.462.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.529.866.2+6.782%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Carolina University
#675
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H14/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#669
W
63-26
63
26
+37
H18/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/11
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#610
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H01/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A09/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A14/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H18/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
38.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.567.0+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.930.167.1+6.856%-
Last 30 away (14)31.635.366.9-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.471.1+6.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.866.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)26.042.568.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (12)30.335.165.4-4.825%-
vs Weaker (15)38.230.068.2+8.260%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Appalachian State wins
0
UNC Asheville wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HGardner Webb80-59
14/12/23AQueens Royals93-81
06/12/23HCentral Penn111-35
03/12/23HAuburn69-64
29/11/23HEast Tennessee St72-61
26/11/23HAustin Peay78-58
22/11/23AMurray State67-57
21/11/23ANC Wilmington86-56
15/11/23AOregon State71-81 OT
11/11/23ANorthern Illinois78-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23HSouth Carolina St79-75
14/12/23AAuburn62-87
09/12/23AWestern Carolina63-78
06/12/23AKennesaw State76-79 OT
01/12/23HJohnson Royals97-51
26/11/23AWestern Kentucky77-67
25/11/23AWofford85-82 OT
24/11/23HLipscomb75-86
18/11/23HVirginia-Lynchburg114-59
14/11/23HCarolina University117-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game81.182.879.0
Allowed / game62.954.373.2
Point differential+18.2+28.5+5.8
Avg total144.0137.2152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%83%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%20%
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.191.372.8
Allowed / game75.068.082.0
Point differential+7.1+23.3-9.2
Avg total157.1159.3154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison11110100%92.972.4+20.5
2 Appalachian State119282%81.162.9+18.2
3 Louisiana Lafayette116555%77.971.6+6.3
4 Texas State116555%73.068.5+4.5
5 Southern Miss116555%69.868.3+1.5
6 South Alabama116555%73.675.3-1.6
7 Troy115645%82.870.3+12.5
8 Georgia State115645%78.972.8+6.1
9 Marshall125742%77.278.6-1.4
10 Louisiana Monroe104640%71.273.3-2.1
11 Arkansas State124833%74.277.9-3.7
12 Old Dominion103730%71.278.1-6.9
13 Coastal Carolina113827%80.679.5+1.2
14 Georgia Southern120120%65.679.2-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Longwood1412286%79.161.6+17.6
2 Radford1410471%74.666.9+7.8
3 High Point139469%85.571.8+13.7
4 Winthrop138562%77.768.4+9.3
5 Presbyterian148657%78.471.6+6.8
6 UNC Asheville126650%82.175.0+7.1
7 USC Upstate114736%71.370.8+0.5
8 Gardner Webb145936%73.371.9+1.4
9 Charleston Southern124833%71.873.6-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State234063
UNC Asheville443276
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