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Aris vs Hapoel Jerusalem Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-78
17-23 22-9 12-16 17-30
Position#19
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEurocupRound 4· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2024
Meetings · Aris v Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Jan 2027
ARI v HJE
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
ARI77
HJE96
16 Oct 2024
ARI68
HJE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Jerusalem winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
63avg 65
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
53avg 65
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 65
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
64avg 65
A25/09
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-81
68
81
-13
68avg 65
A28/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 65
H29/09
Super Cup
Turk Telekom
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
52avg 65
H02/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
50avg 65
H05/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 65
A08/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
61avg 65
A13/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
19-15
27-24
12-22
15-13
14-23
20-24
16-20
20-23
18-12
20-20
13-20
22-30
19-17
16-22
18-26
20-20
10-24
16-22
22-15
25-16
16-23
14-18
14-16
13-21
13-15
21-11
16-21
17-14
12-12
12-18
18-26
19-16
23-16
28-23
22-19
12-35
19-22
18-19
23-26
151.2Avg total
70.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.779.0155.7-2.333%
Season at home (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
Season away (2)83.584.5168.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)70.580.7151.2-10.210%
Last 5 (5)71.077.4148.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.380.1150.4-9.824%
vs Similar (7)77.076.3153.3+0.757%
vs Weaker (1)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJerusalem
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 76
H07/06
Super League
Nes Ziona
#11
W
94-84
94
84
+10
84avg 76
H11/09
League Cup
Gilboa Galil
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
86avg 76
A15/09
League Cup
Galil Elyon
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
67avg 76
H18/09
League Cup
Bnei Herzliya
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
65avg 76
H22/09
League Cup
Valencia
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
52avg 76
H25/09
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
94-74
94
74
+20
95avg 76
A01/10
Eurocup
Nes Ziona
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 76
A06/10
Super League
Hamburg
#17
W
89-74
89
74
+15
82avg 76
H09/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 76
H13/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
18-26
24-12
17-23
19-22
24-19
24-21
27-22
22-15
21-20
19-24
28-21
11-10
14-7
26-25
24-24
14-25
21-22
31-14
13-22
14-26
15-19
15-14
20-21
18-25
26-11
16-20
34-18
13-19
27-14
18-20
23-21
21-18
25-19
13-17
30-20
28-20
11-14
16-26
17-25
159.3Avg total
81.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.376.0158.3+6.367%
Season at home (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
Season away (1)94.074.0168.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.178.2159.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)80.077.4157.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.282.8159.0-6.733%
vs Similar (10)85.381.2166.5+4.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.376.8163.2+9.592%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
ArisHapoel Jerusalem
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/09
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A28/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H29/09
Super Cup
Turk Telekom
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H02/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#3
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H05/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A13/10
Basket League
73.4Avg total
33.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.639.174.7-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.436.872.2-1.442%-
Last 30 away (18)35.840.676.3-4.828%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.573.4-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.538.072.5-3.533%-
vs Similar (7)39.641.981.4-2.343%-
vs Weaker (1)38.038.076.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H07/06
Super League
Nes Ziona
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/09
League Cup
Gilboa Galil
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/09
League Cup
Galil Elyon
#7
W
25-17
25
17
+8
H18/09
League Cup
Bnei Herzliya
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/09
League Cup
Valencia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H25/09
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A01/10
Eurocup
Nes Ziona
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A06/10
Super League
Hamburg
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/10
Super League
74.8Avg total
37.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.681.7+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.840.580.3-0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)42.640.883.5+1.869%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.274.8+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.076.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.846.584.3-8.733%-
vs Similar (10)42.141.083.1+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.238.180.3+4.275%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.4
51.1%
53.5%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
34.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.410.9
70.8%
76.0%10.9
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Jerusalemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Jerusalem: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.6
51.3%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
76.0%17.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWLLLLLLLL
Hapoel Jerusalem
LWWWLLWWWL
#19
League position
#5
-14.8
Net rating
+4.3
97.2
Offensive rating
109.6
112.0
Defensive rating
105.3
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
24.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.3%
3-point %
33.2%
59.2%
Assist %
63.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 109.6Defence112.0 · 105.3Shooting51.2% · 50.7%3-point %34.3% · 33.2%Ball care24.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Aris   ■ Hapoel Jerusalem
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Hapoel Jerusalem wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AOlympiacos72-102
08/10/24ALietkabelis92-74
05/10/24HAEK Athens59-70
02/10/24HTurk Telekom63-68
29/09/24HPeristeri69-73
28/09/24APanathinaikos68-81
25/09/24AVenezia75-95
06/06/24APeristeri71-75
02/06/24HPanathinaikos65-80
31/05/24APanathinaikos71-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv72-85
09/10/24HHamburg89-74
06/10/24ANes Ziona81-74
01/10/24ALietkabelis94-74
25/09/24HValencia64-80
22/09/24HBnei Herzliya79-83
18/09/24HGalil Elyon75-66
15/09/24AGilboa Galil90-80
11/09/24HNes Ziona94-84
07/06/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game76.763.083.5
Allowed / game79.068.084.5
Point differential-2.3-5.0-1.0
Avg total155.7131.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game82.376.594.0
Allowed / game76.077.074.0
Point differential+6.3-0.5+20.0
Avg total158.3153.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia330100%96.779.3+17.3
2 JL Bourg440100%84.870.5+14.2
3 Bahcesehir Kol.43175%85.067.8+17.2
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%86.078.8+7.2
5 Turk Telekom43175%70.266.5+3.8
6 Cedevita Olimpija43175%81.579.5+2.0
7 Gran Canaria43175%76.277.2-1.0
8 Ulm43175%87.889.8-2.0
9 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%82.376.0+6.3
10 Joventut Badalona32167%79.778.3+1.3
11 Besiktas42250%88.584.5+4.0
12 Buducnost31233%82.382.3+0.0
13 Aris31233%76.779.0-2.3
14 Venezia31233%81.083.3-2.3
15 Cluj-Napoca41325%89.587.2+2.2
16 Trento41325%74.889.2-14.5
17 Trefl Sopot3030%81.386.0-4.7
18 BC Wolves3030%76.387.7-11.3
19 Lietkabelis4040%71.583.5-12.0
20 Hamburg4040%74.899.2-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1722121768
Hapoel Jerusalem239163078
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