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Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-71
28-13 15-19 24-27 22-12
Position#2
Record28-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#8
Record15-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game77.0
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 77
H25/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 77
A30/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 77
A02/05
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 77
H07/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 77
H10/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
80-68
80
68
+12
79avg 77
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 77
H16/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
85avg 77
A18/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
73-57
73
57
+16
71avg 77
H24/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-80
95
80
+15
88avg 77
A26/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
31-11
20-21
24-19
11-23
26-23
19-21
27-18
26-29
23-21
25-19
21-19
19-21
22-20
17-15
23-16
24-8
26-28
18-24
22-22
16-13
16-12
21-18
27-25
22-18
24-19
20-13
18-16
29-22
15-27
17-18
28-22
22-13
16-23
18-14
17-7
25-36
24-18
15-7
31-19
164.8Avg total
87.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)86.071.3157.3+14.797%
Season at home (15)89.573.3162.8+16.393%
Season away (14)82.269.2151.4+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.577.3164.8+10.290%
Last 5 (5)86.273.4159.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)82.774.3157.0+8.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.175.8162.9+11.491%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
62-84
62
84
-22
47avg 65
A16/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
84-60
84
60
+24
no box
H23/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 65
A31/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
51-84
51
84
-33
41avg 65
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 65
A13/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
60-69
60
69
-9
46avg 65
H20/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 65
H13/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
60-79
60
79
-19
51avg 65
A17/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
90avg 65
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 65
A23/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
19-21
19-21
11-21
20-21
18-17
24-9
22-13
19-15
19-24
18-18
21-28
13-13
14-17
12-34
12-20
27-14
10-26
23-17
22-18
11-19
21-15
21-20
7-15
13-16
12-16
18-21
25-27
16-25
19-12
11-18
14-24
21-16
20-17
27-12
8-31
31-16
19-19
14-28
24-24
150.9Avg total
72.1Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.277.0152.2-1.850%
Season at home (14)75.372.5147.8+2.857%
Season away (16)75.180.9156.0-5.944%
Last 10 (10)72.178.8150.9-6.740%
Last 5 (5)73.080.0153.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.480.4150.8-10.129%
vs Similar (11)79.578.6158.1+0.864%
vs Weaker (4)84.871.2156.0+13.575%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -5.5-5.5
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A02/05
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H07/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H10/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A26/05
Euroleague
85.0Avg total
43.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.280.8+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.136.978.9+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)43.439.683.0+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.385.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.282.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.539.779.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.538.583.0+6.077%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A16/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A31/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H13/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A17/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A23/05
Basket League
71.5Avg total
35.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.276.0-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.737.274.9+0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)36.240.676.7-4.428%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.071.5-0.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.270.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.637.772.4-3.121%-
vs Similar (11)39.841.781.5-1.945%-
vs Weaker (4)37.836.874.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
52.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.4
41.3%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.217.7
70.2%
71.5%17.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.5
45.3%
52.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.8
29.4%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.012.8
64.0%
71.5%12.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWLW
Aris
WWLLLWLLWL
#2
League position
#8
+14.4
Net rating
-13.8
120.2
Offensive rating
94.5
105.7
Defensive rating
108.3
57.1%
Effective FG%
44.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.3%
3-point %
29.4%
61.4%
Assist %
62.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 94.5Defence105.7 · 108.3Shooting57.1% · 44.8%3-point %41.3% · 29.4%Ball care16.1% · 20.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 33.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Aris wins
DateGameScore
13/05/24Aris v Panathinaikos68-80
17/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris76-65
05/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris70-73
12/11/23Aris v Panathinaikos65-75
15/01/23Panathinaikos v Aris96-79
09/10/22Aris v Panathinaikos69-65
24/05/22Aris v Panathinaikos65-85
22/05/22Panathinaikos v Aris109-79
30/01/22Panathinaikos v Aris103-83
03/10/21Aris v Panathinaikos81-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/24AReal Madrid95-80
24/05/24HFenerbahce73-57
18/05/24APAOK99-96 OT
16/05/24HPAOK84-66
13/05/24AAris80-68
10/05/24HPromitheas90-82
07/05/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-72
02/05/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv95-88
30/04/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-85
25/04/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-79
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/24APromitheas88-87
20/05/24HPromitheas89-85 OT
17/05/24APromitheas60-79
13/05/24HPanathinaikos68-80
20/04/24HKolossos Rhodes60-69
13/04/24APeristeri82-75
07/04/24APromitheas51-84
31/03/24AOlympiacos77-85
23/03/24HLavrio84-60
16/03/24APeristeri62-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW97%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %97%93%100%
Points / game86.089.582.2
Allowed / game71.373.369.2
Point differential+14.7+16.3+13.0
Avg total157.3162.8151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%60%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Aris
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game75.275.375.1
Allowed / game77.072.580.9
Point differential-1.8+2.8-5.9
Avg total152.2147.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %7%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2928197%86.071.3+14.7
3 Olympiacos3027390%85.869.4+16.4
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W129375%82.063.2+18.8
6 Peristeri30181260%82.876.9+5.9
7 Promitheas30171357%83.879.9+3.9
8 Aris30151550%75.277.0-1.8
9 AEK Athens29121741%86.186.3-0.2
10 PAOK29111838%76.080.3-4.3
11 Maroussi27101737%81.785.4-3.6
12 AS Karditsas27101737%76.380.4-4.1
13 Lavrio27101737%77.184.7-7.7
14 Siauliai W114736%72.671.0+1.6
15 Kolossos Rhodes29101934%80.184.9-4.8
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W1221017%57.077.6-20.6
17 Apollon Patras2742315%67.384.9-17.5
18 Panevezys W121118%58.185.2-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2815242289
Aris1319271271
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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