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Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 81-68
20-20 24-10 22-16 15-22
Position#2
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Panathinaikos 🏆
Greece
vs
Aris
Greece
Position#4
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceSuper CupSuper Cup - Semi-finals· Kallithea Palais des Sports
Other2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
85avg 78
A18/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
73-57
73
57
+16
71avg 78
H24/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-80
95
80
+15
88avg 78
A26/05
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
86avg 78
H31/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
83avg 78
A02/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 78
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 78
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
72avg 78
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 78
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 78
H14/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
15-27
17-18
28-22
22-13
16-23
18-14
17-7
25-36
24-18
15-7
31-19
28-13
15-19
24-27
22-12
13-15
23-14
24-20
20-16
17-19
20-27
19-20
28-23
24-21
15-17
16-24
31-30
23-18
20-16
18-25
22-17
17-22
27-29
20-13
24-21
20-22
28-17
17-25
22-18
165.7Avg total
86.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.479.3165.7+7.180%
Last 5 (5)85.684.8170.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)82.778.4161.1+4.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.076.5163.4+10.590%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 65
A13/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
60-69
60
69
-9
46avg 65
H20/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 65
H13/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
60-79
60
79
-19
51avg 65
A17/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
90avg 65
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 65
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
63avg 65
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
53avg 65
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 65
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
64avg 65
A25/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
10-26
23-17
22-18
11-19
21-15
21-20
7-15
13-16
12-16
18-21
25-27
16-25
19-12
11-18
14-24
21-16
20-17
27-12
8-31
31-16
19-19
14-28
24-24
13-28
19-15
27-24
12-22
15-13
14-23
20-24
16-20
20-23
18-12
20-20
13-20
22-30
19-17
16-22
18-26
154.3Avg total
72.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.981.4154.3-8.530%
Last 5 (5)74.085.2159.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.481.2151.5-10.824%
vs Similar (10)77.978.0155.9-0.160%
vs Weaker (2)80.061.5141.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -6.8-6.8
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A26/05
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A02/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/06
Basket League
82.9Avg total
42.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.181.7+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.081.1+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)42.240.182.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.882.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.683.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.341.081.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.938.182.0+5.875%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H13/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A17/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/09
Eurocup
73.2Avg total
36.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.375.7-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.037.573.5-1.533%-
Last 30 away (18)36.740.477.1-3.828%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.273.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.277.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.238.173.3-2.924%-
vs Similar (10)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
vs Weaker (2)36.534.571.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.3
58.5%
-40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.2
37.9%
-27.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.2
73.8%
-17.2
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.7
48.5%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.4
30.5%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws20.413.1
64.2%
-13.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWWWWW
Aris
LLLLWWLLLW
#2
League position
#4
+9.9
Net rating
-12.1
118.7
Offensive rating
97.2
108.9
Defensive rating
109.3
57.8%
Effective FG%
47.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.5%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.9%
3-point %
30.5%
52.9%
Assist %
59.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
Aris wins
DateGameScore
02/06/24Aris v Panathinaikos65-80
31/05/24Panathinaikos v Aris89-71
13/05/24Aris v Panathinaikos68-80
17/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris76-65
05/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris70-73
12/11/23Aris v Panathinaikos65-75
15/01/23Panathinaikos v Aris96-79
09/10/22Aris v Panathinaikos69-65
24/05/22Aris v Panathinaikos65-85
22/05/22Panathinaikos v Aris109-79
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/24HOlympiacos87-82
12/06/24AOlympiacos88-85
10/06/24HOlympiacos83-76
07/06/24AOlympiacos86-92
05/06/24HOlympiacos84-89
02/06/24AAris80-65
31/05/24HAris89-71
26/05/24AReal Madrid95-80
24/05/24HFenerbahce73-57
18/05/24APAOK99-96 OT
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24AVenezia75-95
06/06/24APeristeri71-75
02/06/24HPanathinaikos65-80
31/05/24APanathinaikos71-89
23/05/24APromitheas88-87
20/05/24HPromitheas89-85 OT
17/05/24APromitheas60-79
13/05/24HPanathinaikos68-80
20/04/24HKolossos Rhodes60-69
13/04/24APeristeri82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Super Cup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Aris
Super Cup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2024221581
Aris2010162268
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