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Aris vs Hapoel Jerusalem Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeEurocupRound 13· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2026
Meetings · Aris v Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Jan 2027
ARI v HJE
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
ARI77
HJE96
16 Oct 2024
ARI68
HJE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Jerusalem win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 83
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 83
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 83
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 83
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 83
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 83
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
105-81
105
81
+24
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
28-14
35-18
25-20
17-29
163.3Avg total
89.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.677.0167.6+13.686%
Season at home (4)91.075.5166.5+15.5100%
Season away (3)90.079.0169.0+11.067%
Last 10 (10)89.374.0163.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker (17)88.573.6162.1+14.894%
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJerusalem
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 75
A14/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
73avg 75
H17/10
Super League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
100-64
100
64
+36
108avg 75
H21/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
70-60
70
60
+10
45avg 75
A25/10
Super League
Le Mans
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
89avg 75
A28/10
Eurocup
Ironi Eilat
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
67avg 75
H01/11
Super League
Aris
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Hapoel HaEmek
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
no box
H08/11
Super League
Tortona
#17
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#8
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
A14/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
22-21
24-20
15-25
22-10
20-24
22-14
24-26
29-20
21-16
27-19
23-9
16-14
18-13
17-20
19-13
21-19
27-21
17-27
25-16
27-16
16-21
17-16
28-25
18-19
17-21
22-16
27-17
16-20
16-11
19-17
14-11
25-25
23-25
21-18
22-9
21-25
16-16
18-21
27-15
157.2Avg total
84.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.474.0162.4+14.4100%
Season at home (3)92.770.0162.7+22.7100%
Season away (4)85.277.0162.2+8.2100%
Last 10 (10)84.372.9157.2+11.4100%
Last 5 (5)82.072.8154.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.877.2145.0-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.177.4163.6+8.786%
vs Weaker (19)89.379.3168.6+10.084%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +5.8+5.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +5.8+5.8
ArisHapoel Jerusalem
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H11/11
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
46.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.084.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.836.180.9+8.779%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.488.2+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.182.0+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.084.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker (17)46.237.183.4+9.165%-
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A14/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Super League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/10
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/10
Super League
Le Mans
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A28/10
Eurocup
Ironi Eilat
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H01/11
Super League
Aris
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/11
Eurocup
Hapoel HaEmek
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H08/11
Super League
Tortona
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A11/11
Eurocup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/11
Super League
79.0Avg total
41.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.941.785.6+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.941.286.1+3.664%-
Last 30 away (15)43.142.185.2+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.579.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.745.788.3-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker (19)45.241.486.5+3.874%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
75.6%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Jerusalemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Jerusalem: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
54.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.9
40.5%
34.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.8
76.7%
75.6%15.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLWWWWWWW
Hapoel Jerusalem
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+16.5
Net rating
+15.0
96.8
Offensive rating
102.0
80.3
Defensive rating
87.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
40.5%
71.6%
Assist %
67.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 102.0Defence80.3 · 87.0Shooting52.7% · 56.5%3-point %36.6% · 40.5%Ball care15.6% · 16.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 100%
■ Aris   ■ Hapoel Jerusalem
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
5
Hapoel Jerusalem wins
DateGameScore
04/11/26Hapoel Jerusalem v Aris84-73
14/01/26Aris v Hapoel Jerusalem77-96
28/10/25Hapoel Jerusalem v Aris103-76
02/01/25Hapoel Jerusalem v Aris90-85
16/10/24Aris v Hapoel Jerusalem68-78
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRigas Zelli105-81
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-77
11/11/26ATortona91-77
08/11/26HHapoel HaEmek65-59
04/11/26HAris84-73
01/11/26HIroni Eilat88-78
28/10/26ALe Mans90-83
25/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv70-60
21/10/26HRigas Zelli100-64
17/10/26HHapoel Beer Sheva88-74
14/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos85-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game90.691.090.0
Allowed / game77.075.579.0
Point differential+13.6+15.5+11.0
Avg total167.6166.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.492.785.2
Allowed / game74.070.077.0
Point differential+14.4+22.7+8.2
Avg total162.4162.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem770100%88.474.0+14.4
2 Basket Napoli770100%94.984.0+10.9
3 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%92.676.6+16.0
4 Aris76186%90.677.0+13.6
5 Tenerife76186%91.479.0+12.4
6 Tofas76186%91.782.9+8.9
7 PAOK75271%87.782.0+5.7
8 Manresa75271%88.183.3+4.9
9 London Lions74357%81.175.3+5.9
10 Buducnost74357%88.484.4+4.0
11 Maxima Roma74357%88.484.7+3.7
12 Le Mans74357%80.778.1+2.6
13 Chemnitz74357%87.985.4+2.4
14 Venezia73443%86.380.6+5.7
15 Ulm73443%87.687.4+0.1
16 Turk Telekom73443%80.680.9-0.3
17 Tortona73443%80.683.3-2.7
18 BC Roma73443%87.090.6-3.6
19 Siauliai73443%80.086.3-6.3
20 Rigas Zelli73443%78.685.3-6.7
21 Lietkabelis73443%73.781.7-8.0
22 Frankfurt73443%86.694.7-8.1
23 KK Bosna72529%79.981.9-2.0
24 JL Bourg72529%81.184.7-3.6
25 Cedevita Olimpija72529%74.979.0-4.1
26 Neptunas72529%84.790.3-5.6
27 Trento72529%82.189.0-6.9
28 Rostock72529%78.486.4-8.0
29 Cluj-Napoca72529%81.394.3-13.0
30 San Pablo Burgos71614%76.985.9-9.0
31 Slask Wroclaw71614%79.789.9-10.1
32 Balkan71614%67.480.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.
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