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Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 59-70
17-14 12-12 12-18 18-26
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 1· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Aris v AEK Athens
10 Oct 2026
ARI88
AAT58
17 May 2026
ARI90
AAT81
04 Apr 2026
ARI82
AAT78
05 Oct 2024
ARI59
AAT70
29 Oct 2023
ARI75
AAT64
04 Feb 2023
ARI74
AAT64
13 Mar 2022
ARI91
AAT73
27 Mar 2021
ARI68
AAT73
04 Apr 2020
ARI v AAT
upcoming
08 Dec 2018
ARI77
AAT81
14 Oct 2017
ARI64
AAT62
31 May 2017
ARI85
AAT91
13 Apr 2017
ARI81
AAT77
14 Jan 2017
ARI77
AAT76
07 Oct 2015
ARI64
AAT61
19 May 2015
ARI79
AAT68
13 May 2015
ARI71
AAT69
06 Dec 2014
ARI86
AAT75
13 Apr 2011
ARI78
AAT74
20 Mar 2010
ARI79
AAT76
29 Nov 2008
ARI77
AAT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
60-79
60
79
-19
51avg 64
A17/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
90avg 64
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 64
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
63avg 64
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-80
65
80
-15
53avg 64
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 64
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
64avg 64
A25/09
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-81
68
81
-13
68avg 64
A28/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
59avg 64
H29/09
Super Cup
Turk Telekom
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
52avg 64
H02/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
19-12
11-18
14-24
21-16
20-17
27-12
8-31
31-16
19-19
14-28
24-24
13-28
19-15
27-24
12-22
15-13
14-23
20-24
16-20
20-23
18-12
20-20
13-20
22-30
19-17
16-22
18-26
20-20
10-24
16-22
22-15
25-16
16-23
14-18
14-16
13-21
13-15
21-11
16-21
153.1Avg total
71.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.981.2153.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)69.278.4147.6-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.679.6149.2-10.021%
vs Similar (9)78.777.8156.4+0.967%
vs Weaker (1)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
L
67-79
67
79
-12
63avg 79
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
97-101
97
101
-4
no box
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 79
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
79-89
79
89
-10
71avg 79
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
100-67
100
67
+33
104avg 79
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 79
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
66avg 79
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 79
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
68-100
68
100
-32
50avg 79
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 79
H01/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-11
17-20
17-24
21-24
29-29
22-29
25-18
21-25
13-20
28-19
25-21
22-25
13-26
29-24
16-25
21-14
31-10
19-13
30-23
20-21
29-28
20-19
29-21
21-23
25-25
18-16
17-19
19-21
20-19
22-22
17-31
16-20
12-24
29-25
12-23
15-28
26-23
21-19
14-12
19-17
168.8Avg total
83.2Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.285.6168.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)80.287.0167.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.293.1173.3-12.90%
vs Similar (11)85.086.3171.3-1.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.682.6172.1+7.067%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
ArisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A17/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H02/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A06/06
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/09
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A28/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H29/09
Super Cup
Turk Telekom
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H02/10
Eurocup
74.8Avg total
36.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.939.275.2-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.738.073.7-2.331%-
Last 30 away (17)36.140.276.3-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.574.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.638.072.6-3.426%-
vs Similar (9)39.341.680.9-2.244%-
vs Weaker (1)38.038.076.0+0.00%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H14/04
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H21/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/10
Champions League
85.6Avg total
43.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.584.0-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.884.3+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.183.8-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.185.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.088.4+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.847.086.8-7.211%-
vs Similar (11)41.539.581.1+2.073%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.741.986.6+2.856%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.2
48.9%
53.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.3%13.3
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.9
54.6%
53.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.6
31.6%
34.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
73.3%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLLLLLWWL
AEK Athens
WLLLWWLWLL
#7
League position
#3
-13.3
Net rating
-2.1
97.0
Offensive rating
107.4
110.2
Defensive rating
109.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
23.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
31.6%
61.8%
Assist %
63.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 107.4Defence110.2 · 109.5Shooting48.7% · 51.6%3-point %32.3% · 31.6%Ball care23.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.6% · 27.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aris wins
5
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24AEK Athens v Aris91-93
29/10/23Aris v AEK Athens75-64
04/02/23Aris v AEK Athens74-64
29/10/22AEK Athens v Aris63-76
13/03/22Aris v AEK Athens91-73
23/10/21AEK Athens v Aris64-63
27/03/21Aris v AEK Athens68-73
20/12/20AEK Athens v Aris84-67
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
30/03/19AEK Athens v Aris81-73
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24HTurk Telekom63-68
29/09/24HPeristeri69-73
28/09/24APanathinaikos68-81
25/09/24AVenezia75-95
06/06/24APeristeri71-75
02/06/24HPanathinaikos65-80
31/05/24APanathinaikos71-89
23/05/24APromitheas88-87
20/05/24HPromitheas89-85 OT
17/05/24APromitheas60-79
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan80-71
18/05/24HOlympiacos68-100
15/05/24AOlympiacos75-92
27/04/24AAS Karditsas79-81
21/04/24HPAOK99-91
14/04/24HLavrio100-67
06/04/24AApollon Patras79-89
01/04/24HMaroussi88-85
23/03/24HPeristeri97-101
20/03/24HPromitheas67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1712121859
AEK Athens1412182670
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