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Aris vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 May 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-70
24-14 20-21 12-13 26-22
Position#7
Record10-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.7
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#6
Record10-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 25
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Aris v Larisa
07 May 2022
ARI82
LAR70
06 Mar 2021
ARI70
LAR52
18 Jan 2020
ARI90
LAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 66
H07/02
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 66
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 66
A05/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 66
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
62avg 66
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
83avg 66
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
60avg 66
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
70-67
70
67
+3
60avg 66
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
65avg 66
H20/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
19-26
17-11
26-25
17-11
14-23
30-18
18-23
16-13
16-21
20-24
12-19
22-30
22-11
18-18
29-14
18-19
18-17
10-12
18-20
18-17
20-22
13-17
25-17
17-26
22-7
17-29
30-29
16-21
17-20
12-25
22-23
30-16
8-18
8-13
24-20
22-21
17-15
16-28
22-12
152.6Avg total
75.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.277.7153.9-1.545%
Season at home (11)79.174.1153.2+5.073%
Season away (11)73.481.3154.6-7.918%
Last 10 (10)75.077.6152.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)75.279.2154.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.085.5159.5-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.475.5150.9-0.145%
vs Weaker (1)70.056.0126.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 70
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
79avg 70
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
82-65
82
65
+17
78avg 70
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 70
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 70
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 70
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 70
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 70
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
55avg 70
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 70
H01/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
22-22
28-22
9-28
29-16
21-21
16-19
20-34
15-16
20-15
21-19
26-15
25-22
14-21
29-15
23-19
19-28
31-17
23-17
17-23
14-26
21-18
21-11
21-16
17-18
21-15
19-15
17-22
25-20
19-26
14-29
26-18
20-17
15-32
15-24
17-25
18-19
22-19
21-20
22-16
162.5Avg total
80.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.081.4158.4-4.548%
Season at home (10)74.478.1152.5-3.750%
Season away (11)79.384.5163.7-5.245%
Last 10 (10)80.981.6162.5-0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.081.2158.2-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.986.3161.2-11.425%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.977.5154.4-0.653%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
ArisLarisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H07/02
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/04
Basket League
74.2Avg total
36.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.273.1-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.137.072.1-1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.839.273.9-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.974.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.674.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.745.377.0-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)36.237.373.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker (1)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/05
Basket League
81.3Avg total
40.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.876.1-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.936.873.7+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.578.2-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.981.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.080.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.841.280.0-2.542%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.237.975.1-0.847%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.8
46.3%
51.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.4
36.6%
34.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.812.2
64.9%
72.2%12.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.1
49.9%
51.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.6
36.2%
34.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws26.618.9
71.1%
72.2%18.9
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLLWLWLWL
Larisa
WLLWWWWWLL
#7
League position
#6
-3.8
Net rating
-1.2
100.9
Offensive rating
108.7
104.7
Defensive rating
109.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
21.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.45
36.6%
3-point %
36.2%
55.3%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 108.7Defence104.7 · 109.9Shooting49.8% · 51.4%3-point %36.6% · 36.2%Ball care18.2% · 21.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 36.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Aris   ■ Larisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aris wins
3
Larisa wins
DateGameScore
15/01/22Larisa v Aris84-81
18/09/21Larisa v Aris68-67
06/03/21Aris v Larisa70-52
16/12/20Larisa v Aris84-88
18/01/20Aris v Larisa90-72
13/10/19Larisa v Aris92-78
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/22HPAOK77-76
16/04/22APeristeri70-67
07/04/22AOlympiacos67-89
02/04/22AIraklis86-91
27/03/22HPromitheas76-73
19/03/22ALavrio64-68
13/03/22HAEK Athens91-73
05/03/22AKolossos Rhodes64-77
13/02/22HIonikos79-75
07/02/22HOlympiacos76-87
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/22HApollon Patras83-74
20/04/22APanathinaikos67-98
16/04/22AOlympiacos84-93
09/04/22HPAOK74-70
03/04/22APeristeri77-71
19/03/22AIraklis90-85
06/03/22ALavrio91-77
12/02/22HAEK Athens82-65
06/02/22HPanathinaikos86-90
29/01/22AKolossos Rhodes75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%73%18%
Points / game76.279.173.4
Allowed / game77.774.181.3
Point differential-1.5+5.0-7.9
Avg total153.9153.2154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game77.074.479.3
Allowed / game81.478.184.5
Point differential-4.5-3.7-5.2
Avg total158.4152.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2120195%92.972.5+20.3
2 Panathinaikos2220291%83.869.0+14.9
3 Kolossos Rhodes2315865%75.173.0+2.1
4 AEK Athens22121055%76.279.9-3.6
5 Promitheas22111150%77.478.4-1.0
6 Larisa21101148%77.081.4-4.5
7 Aris22101245%76.277.7-1.5
8 Peristeri2291341%74.877.5-2.7
9 PAOK2391439%75.375.9-0.6
10 Lavrio2381535%73.679.9-6.3
11 Apollon Patras2171433%73.279.4-6.2
12 Iraklis2261627%75.879.6-3.9
13 Ionikos2261627%76.082.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2420122682
Larisa1421132270
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