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Aris vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-76
22-21 17-15 16-28 22-12
Position#7
Record9-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.8
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game76.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 23
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Aris v PAOK
30 Jan 2027
ARI v PAK
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
ARI73
PAK78
01 Dec 2024
ARI88
PAK82
11 Feb 2024
ARI77
PAK63
22 Jan 2023
ARI77
PAK70
20 Apr 2022
ARI77
PAK76
20 Mar 2021
ARI71
PAK77
29 Sep 2019
ARI85
PAK82
23 Mar 2019
ARI58
PAK62
21 Mar 2018
ARI65
PAK66
04 Oct 2017
ARI70
PAK63
29 Apr 2017
ARI69
PAK65
22 Oct 2016
ARI62
PAK66
17 Jun 2015
ARI76
PAK77
09 Jun 2015
ARI92
PAK88
01 Feb 2015
ARI62
PAK57
19 Oct 2013
ARI75
PAK79
24 Nov 2012
ARI63
PAK72
14 Mar 2012
ARI81
PAK71
05 Jun 2011
ARI80
PAK91
29 May 2011
ARI73
PAK70
06 Nov 2010
ARI81
PAK68
06 Feb 2010
ARI69
PAK59
15 Nov 2008
ARI87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 65
A30/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 65
H07/02
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 65
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 65
A05/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 65
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
62avg 65
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
83avg 65
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
60avg 65
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
70-67
70
67
+3
60avg 65
A16/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
21-25
32-24
18-25
14-25
19-26
17-11
26-25
17-11
14-23
30-18
18-23
16-13
16-21
20-24
12-19
22-30
22-11
18-18
29-14
18-19
18-17
10-12
18-20
18-17
20-22
13-17
25-17
17-26
22-7
17-29
30-29
16-21
17-20
12-25
22-23
30-16
8-18
8-13
24-20
155.9Avg total
75.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.277.8154.0-1.643%
Season at home (10)79.373.9153.2+5.470%
Season away (11)73.481.3154.6-7.918%
Last 10 (10)75.680.3155.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)72.677.6150.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.085.5159.5-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.074.4149.5+0.645%
vs Weaker (1)70.056.0126.0+14.0100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 67
A22/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
61-59
61
59
+2
53avg 67
A30/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#8
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
A05/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#13
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A09/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
84-73
84
73
+11
77avg 67
A05/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
55avg 67
A19/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
55avg 67
A26/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 67
H04/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
69avg 67
A09/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H16/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
20-15
10-25
16-11
15-21
16-11
13-16
17-11
18-31
17-29
27-18
24-22
15-19
16-21
21-16
17-10
18-19
21-13
20-22
25-19
21-18
9-23
17-16
20-11
16-22
15-22
17-19
19-14
17-21
18-24
14-19
24-20
18-17
15-21
15-19
22-17
23-22
22-16
19-18
17-20
147.4Avg total
72.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.576.6152.1-1.142%
Season at home (9)79.277.9157.1+1.356%
Season away (10)72.175.4147.5-3.330%
Last 10 (10)72.574.9147.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.675.8147.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.981.4154.3-8.517%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.476.6160.0+6.860%
vs Weaker (12)75.274.9150.2+0.350%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
ArisPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A30/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H07/02
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H13/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/04
Basket League
75.4Avg total
35.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.037.972.9-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.236.571.7-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)34.839.273.9-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.775.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.673.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.745.377.0-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)36.237.073.2-0.745%-
vs Weaker (1)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/01
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A30/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#8
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A05/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H04/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/04
Basket League
75.7Avg total
35.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.840.176.9-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.937.476.4+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)34.942.577.4-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.675.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.276.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.241.475.7-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.237.679.8+4.640%-
vs Weaker (12)37.238.275.5-1.042%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.7
46.4%
51.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.5
37.8%
34.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.312.1
69.9%
72.2%12.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.916.8
45.5%
51.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
34.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.411.8
72.0%
72.2%11.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WLLWLWLWLL
PAOK
WLLLLWWLWL
#7
League position
#8
-6.4
Net rating
-1.0
102.9
Offensive rating
100.0
109.3
Defensive rating
101.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.8%
3-point %
32.7%
52.7%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 100.0Defence109.3 · 101.0Shooting50.7% · 47.0%3-point %37.8% · 32.7%Ball care18.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 26.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aris wins
8
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
11/12/21PAOK v Aris96-64
20/03/21Aris v PAOK71-77
13/12/20PAOK v Aris75-64
05/01/20PAOK v Aris101-84
29/09/19Aris v PAOK85-82 OT
23/03/19Aris v PAOK58-62
25/11/18PAOK v Aris95-79
21/03/18Aris v PAOK65-66
11/11/17PAOK v Aris63-57
04/10/17Aris v PAOK70-63
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/22APeristeri70-67
07/04/22AOlympiacos67-89
02/04/22AIraklis86-91
27/03/22HPromitheas76-73
19/03/22ALavrio64-68
13/03/22HAEK Athens91-73
05/03/22AKolossos Rhodes64-77
13/02/22HIonikos79-75
07/02/22HOlympiacos76-87
30/01/22APanathinaikos83-103
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/22HApollon Patras81-76
09/04/22ALarisa70-74
04/04/22HOlympiacos73-84
26/03/22APanathinaikos67-77
19/03/22APeristeri67-68
05/03/22AIraklis84-73
09/02/22AIonikos69-66
05/02/22APromitheas86-100
30/01/22ALavrio61-59
22/01/22AAEK Athens67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%70%18%
Points / game76.279.373.4
Allowed / game77.873.981.3
Point differential-1.6+5.4-7.9
Avg total154.0153.2154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %10%10%9%
PAOK
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game75.579.272.1
Allowed / game76.677.975.4
Point differential-1.1+1.3-3.3
Avg total152.1157.1147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2120195%92.972.5+20.3
2 Panathinaikos2119290%84.269.0+15.1
3 Kolossos Rhodes2113862%75.273.7+1.5
4 Promitheas2011955%78.578.2+0.2
5 AEK Athens22121055%76.279.9-3.6
6 Larisa2091145%76.781.8-5.2
7 Aris2191243%76.277.8-1.6
8 Peristeri2191243%75.077.4-2.4
9 PAOK1981142%75.576.6-1.1
10 Lavrio2281436%73.979.7-5.8
11 Apollon Patras2071335%73.279.2-6.0
12 Iraklis2051525%76.180.5-4.5
13 Ionikos2041620%76.083.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2217162277
PAOK2115281276
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