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Panathinaikos vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-67
17-20 32-15 24-15 25-17
Position#2
Record18-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#6
Record9-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game80.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 23
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Larisa
08 Jun 2022
PAO89
LAR43
03 Jun 2022
PAO94
LAR82
29 May 2022
PAO87
LAR77
20 Apr 2022
PAO98
LAR67
25 Oct 2020
PAO69
LAR60
29 Feb 2020
PAO121
LAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
no box
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 75
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
77avg 75
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
80avg 75
H29/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 75
H31/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A03/04
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
L
78-87
78
87
-9
73avg 75
A06/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
62-59
62
59
+3
58avg 75
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
52avg 75
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 75
A17/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
15-23
34-11
21-13
26-16
16-19
13-17
25-15
22-16
22-15
19-17
14-19
26-23
20-32
12-15
25-25
22-11
19-21
18-22
28-32
20-17
25-14
17-17
21-21
13-28
27-16
15-25
23-18
22-20
16-12
6-17
18-10
13-15
21-19
16-18
12-16
17-25
28-20
26-15
20-22
153.5Avg total
79.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.569.2152.7+14.390%
Season at home (10)85.069.0154.0+16.090%
Season away (10)82.069.3151.3+12.790%
Last 10 (10)79.174.4153.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)75.273.0148.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.782.6156.3-8.923%
vs Similar (5)78.276.4154.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.667.5151.2+16.1100%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 69
H15/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 69
A22/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 69
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
79avg 69
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
82-65
82
65
+17
78avg 69
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 69
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 69
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 69
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 69
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 69
A16/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-22
21-15
18-25
21-23
23-20
27-11
18-30
16-21
22-22
28-22
9-28
29-16
21-21
16-19
20-34
15-16
20-15
21-19
26-15
25-22
14-21
29-15
23-19
19-28
31-17
23-17
17-23
14-26
21-18
21-11
21-16
17-18
21-15
19-15
17-22
25-20
19-26
14-29
26-18
164.1Avg total
83.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.280.9158.1-3.847%
Season at home (9)73.478.6152.0-5.144%
Season away (10)80.583.1163.6-2.650%
Last 10 (10)83.280.9164.1+2.370%
Last 5 (5)83.279.2162.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.785.8162.4-9.125%
vs Similar (17)75.177.3152.4-2.247%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
PanathinaikosLarisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A20/03
Basket League
Bayern
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H29/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/04
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/04
Basket League
78.7Avg total
40.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.379.0+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.538.979.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)38.839.778.5-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.978.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.643.380.9-5.738%-
vs Similar (5)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.935.376.2+5.645%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/01
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H06/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A19/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/04
Basket League
82.4Avg total
41.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.575.7-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.873.9+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.339.977.2-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.682.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.283.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.440.379.8-0.950%-
vs Similar (17)36.538.174.6-1.541%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.7
53.0%
51.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.1
36.4%
34.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.113.8
80.7%
72.2%13.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.1
50.7%
51.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.5
37.7%
34.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws29.221.3
72.9%
72.2%21.3
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWLWWLWWW
Larisa
LWWWWWLLWW
#2
League position
#6
+7.2
Net rating
+2.5
111.5
Offensive rating
109.0
104.3
Defensive rating
106.5
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
22.6%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.51
36.4%
3-point %
37.7%
63.7%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 109.0Defence104.3 · 106.5Shooting53.6% · 52.7%3-point %36.4% · 37.7%Ball care15.6% · 22.6%Off. rebounds25.6% · 35.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.51Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Larisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
0
Larisa wins
DateGameScore
06/02/22Larisa v Panathinaikos86-90
24/01/21Larisa v Panathinaikos89-98
25/10/20Panathinaikos v Larisa69-60
29/02/20Panathinaikos v Larisa121-78
03/11/19Larisa v Panathinaikos68-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/22ALavrio91-82
11/04/22HOlympiacos62-68
08/04/22AFenerbahce62-59
06/04/22AAlba Berlin78-87
03/04/22AAEK Athens83-69
31/03/22HReal Madrid87-86
29/03/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv83-95
26/03/22HPAOK77-67
22/03/22HBayern80-67
20/03/22AKolossos Rhodes88-64
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/22AOlympiacos84-93
09/04/22HPAOK74-70
03/04/22APeristeri77-71
19/03/22AIraklis90-85
06/03/22ALavrio91-77
12/02/22HAEK Athens82-65
06/02/22HPanathinaikos86-90
29/01/22AKolossos Rhodes75-93
22/01/22AIonikos89-84
15/01/22HAris84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game83.585.082.0
Allowed / game69.269.069.3
Point differential+14.3+16.0+12.7
Avg total152.7154.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%90%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game77.273.480.5
Allowed / game80.978.683.1
Point differential-3.8-5.1-2.6
Avg total158.1152.0163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2120195%92.972.5+20.3
2 Panathinaikos2018290%83.569.2+14.3
3 Kolossos Rhodes2113862%75.273.7+1.5
4 Promitheas1911858%78.377.6+0.7
5 AEK Athens21111052%76.080.1-4.1
6 Larisa1991047%77.280.9-3.8
7 Aris2191243%76.277.8-1.6
8 PAOK1981142%75.576.6-1.1
9 Peristeri2081240%74.477.2-2.8
10 Apollon Patras2071335%73.279.2-6.0
11 Lavrio2171433%73.179.6-6.5
12 Iraklis1951426%76.280.6-4.4
13 Ionikos1941521%75.683.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1732242598
Larisa2015151767
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