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Larisa vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-88
21-23 26-19 21-24 16-22
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Aris 🏆
Greece
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game79.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 5
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Larisa v Aris
15 Jan 2022
LAR84
ARI81
18 Sep 2021
LAR68
ARI67
16 Dec 2020
LAR84
ARI88
13 Oct 2019
LAR92
ARI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H01/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
78-121
78
121
-43
A29/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H07/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#20
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H26/09
Greek Cup
PAOK
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A07/10
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A09/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
76-97
76
97
-21
H12/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
21-20
22-20
21-20
17-35
14-26
21-30
26-30
26-21
17-22
25-17
27-30
34-14
24-23
19-16
15-17
24-21
19-30
15-22
13-20
11-13
19-18
14-20
16-18
15-26
20-19
21-18
12-24
15-27
25-18
11-21
13-24
20-26
26-23
18-27
29-15
22-24
19-31
17-20
18-22
165.9Avg total
77.9Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.286.8159.0-14.620%
Season at home (1)76.097.0173.0-21.00%
Season away (4)71.284.2155.5-13.025%
Last 10 (10)77.988.0165.9-10.140%
Last 5 (5)72.286.8159.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.786.6160.4-12.932%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.780.5161.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#10
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A26/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H15/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A29/02
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H07/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A26/09
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A24/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H10/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H05/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A13/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
22-20
14-19
15-19
23-29
19-18
20-27
19-14
17-17
26-20
18-15
25-38
24-11
18-10
21-31
25-25
19-19
18-19
17-25
19-22
19-17
21-20
9-19
21-17
24-22
16-22
21-22
20-9
29-17
17-25
26-26
22-15
18-22
14-31
19-15
20-24
24-27
11-20
11-16
18-12
158.3Avg total
77.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.079.6155.6-3.640%
Season at home (2)87.579.0166.5+8.5100%
Season away (3)68.380.0148.3-11.70%
Last 10 (10)77.381.0158.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)76.079.6155.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.784.0160.7-7.336%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.179.9156.1-3.827%
vs Weaker (3)81.773.0154.7+8.733%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
LarisaAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A29/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H07/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#20
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H26/09
Greek Cup
PAOK
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/10
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A25/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A31/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A09/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H12/12
Basket League
85.5Avg total
40.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.742.580.2-4.826%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.942.783.6-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)35.142.477.5-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.985.5-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.083.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.243.779.8-7.516%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.740.780.3-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)35.037.072.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H15/02
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A29/02
Basket League
Ifaistos Limnou
#5
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H07/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H10/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H05/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A09/12
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/12
Basket League
79.3Avg total
39.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.476.7-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.075.1+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)36.741.378.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.079.3-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.683.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.640.577.1-3.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.237.675.8+0.660%-
vs Weaker (3)45.334.780.0+10.767%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.014.4
41.1%
51.8%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.2
37.4%
35.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.615.0
76.5%
74.2%15.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.6
48.6%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.6
30.8%
35.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.819.8
76.7%
74.2%19.8
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LWLLLLWWLW
Aris
LLWWLLWLLL
#11
League position
#9
-20.9
Net rating
-5.8
97.1
Offensive rating
98.8
118.1
Defensive rating
104.6
47.3%
Effective FG%
47.7%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
22.9%
Turnover %
21.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.45
37.4%
3-point %
30.8%
54.2%
Assist %
51.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 98.8Defence118.1 · 104.6Shooting47.3% · 47.7%3-point %37.4% · 30.8%Ball care22.9% · 21.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Larisa   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Larisa wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
18/01/20Aris v Larisa90-72
13/10/19Larisa v Aris92-78
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20HIonikos76-97
09/12/20APAOK93-91
05/12/20AKolossos Rhodes64-90
31/10/20AAEK Athens68-87
25/10/20APanathinaikos60-69
07/10/20APAOK71-93
26/09/20HHarilaos Trikoupis92-70
07/03/20HKolossos Rhodes95-90
29/02/20APanathinaikos78-121
01/02/20HIonikos82-72
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20APAOK64-75
09/12/20ALavrio71-92
05/12/20HPromitheas94-83
10/11/20HIraklis81-75
24/10/20AHarilaos Trikoupis70-73
26/09/20AIonikos73-85
07/03/20HIfaistos Limnou88-77
29/02/20AKolossos Rhodes86-90
15/02/20HPanathinaikos81-88
26/01/20AIonikos65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game72.276.071.2
Allowed / game86.897.084.2
Point differential-14.6-21.0-13.0
Avg total159.0173.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game76.087.568.3
Allowed / game79.679.080.0
Point differential-3.6+8.5-11.7
Avg total155.6166.5148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos550100%82.060.8+21.2
2 AEK Athens660100%80.870.0+10.8
3 Promitheas32167%78.380.3-2.0
4 Iraklis74357%72.470.3+2.1
5 Peristeri74357%73.174.1-1.0
6 Lavrio63350%77.577.0+0.5
7 Harilaos Trikoupis73443%72.175.9-3.7
8 Aris52340%76.079.6-3.6
9 Kolossos Rhodes72529%73.373.1+0.1
10 PAOK72529%76.780.1-3.4
11 Ionikos72529%73.979.0-5.1
12 Larisa51420%72.286.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa2126211684
Aris2319242288
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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