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PAOK vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-77
29-19 20-25 21-15 18-18
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.2
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game81.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 21
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · PAOK v Aris
21 Nov 2026
PAK v ARI
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
PAK88
ARI77
01 Mar 2025
PAK75
ARI63
15 Feb 2024
PAK74
ARI76
18 Nov 2023
PAK82
ARI76
15 Oct 2022
PAK88
ARI66
11 Dec 2021
PAK96
ARI64
13 Dec 2020
PAK75
ARI64
05 Jan 2020
PAK101
ARI84
25 Nov 2018
PAK95
ARI79
11 Nov 2017
PAK63
ARI57
03 May 2017
PAK75
ARI84
04 Feb 2017
PAK62
ARI58
13 Jun 2015
PAK62
ARI51
07 Jun 2015
PAK67
ARI60
07 Feb 2015
PAK77
ARI78
25 Jan 2014
PAK56
ARI49
09 Oct 2013
PAK63
ARI71
16 Mar 2013
PAK84
ARI72
28 Dec 2011
PAK92
ARI87
08 Jun 2011
PAK63
ARI56
01 Jun 2011
PAK59
ARI67
26 May 2011
PAK76
ARI74
05 Feb 2011
PAK79
ARI74
31 Oct 2009
PAK83
ARI48
19 Feb 2009
PAK50
ARI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
L
71-88
71
88
-17
57avg 78
H14/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-100
73
100
-27
64avg 78
A08/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
101-77
101
77
+24
95avg 78
H11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 78
A18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 78
A21/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
100-87
100
87
+13
100avg 78
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
100-70
100
70
+30
96avg 78
H28/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 78
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 78
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 78
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
14-23
20-25
16-26
11-25
22-16
15-28
25-31
25-18
26-18
29-20
21-21
12-21
19-25
29-20
20-22
12-20
27-12
13-26
18-17
26-18
25-26
23-24
26-19
30-15
30-17
20-15
20-23
19-17
15-26
21-12
24-18
18-26
22-20
24-24
29-20
19-20
21-27
20-16
25-26
168.9Avg total
85.2Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.581.2164.7+2.367%
Season at home (10)87.381.4168.7+5.970%
Season away (11)80.081.0161.0-1.064%
Last 10 (10)85.283.7168.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)91.481.8173.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.187.3165.4-9.114%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.882.5166.2+1.262%
vs Weaker (15)89.376.5165.8+12.993%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
101avg 78
A24/01
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 78
A28/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
95avg 78
H01/02
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
83-64
83
64
+19
78avg 78
H04/02
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
91avg 78
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 78
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
97avg 78
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-55
78
55
+23
78avg 78
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 78
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 78
H04/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
33-29
18-18
23-25
23-19
19-20
22-17
15-25
22-23
20-19
21-14
24-31
21-21
19-13
25-8
18-22
21-31
22-24
22-28
27-28
24-25
19-18
25-16
15-15
25-16
24-27
23-15
30-18
20-17
25-12
19-7
14-19
29-36
17-18
26-12
24-26
22-21
22-18
24-18
14-21
172.3Avg total
90.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.381.1166.4+4.265%
Season at home (11)83.576.6160.2+6.973%
Season away (9)87.486.6174.0+0.956%
Last 10 (10)90.082.3172.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)88.275.0163.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.394.6177.9-11.217%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.377.5158.8+3.867%
vs Weaker (12)90.580.4170.9+10.1100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
PAOKAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A21/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H28/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
81.8Avg total
41.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.782.0+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.140.186.3+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.277.7-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.481.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.487.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.744.782.4-7.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.638.480.0+3.262%-
vs Weaker (15)44.838.082.8+6.860%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A24/01
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/02
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/02
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/04
Basket League
88.8Avg total
45.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.285.9+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.438.681.0+3.771%-
Last 30 away (13)45.646.892.4-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.288.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.645.387.9-2.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.338.779.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker (12)46.740.887.4+5.975%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.1
52.8%
54.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.2
33.9%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.4
73.7%
74.4%17.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.8
56.7%
54.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.8
38.4%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.817.5
70.6%
74.4%17.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWWWWLLWLL
Aris
WWWWWLWWLW
#3
League position
#5
+1.9
Net rating
+8.4
97.5
Offensive rating
101.2
95.6
Defensive rating
92.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.9%
3-point %
38.4%
58.0%
Assist %
69.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 101.2Defence95.6 · 92.8Shooting52.0% · 57.1%3-point %33.9% · 38.4%Ball care14.1% · 16.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ PAOK   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
PAOK wins
5
Aris wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Aris v PAOK73-78
01/03/25PAOK v Aris75-63
01/12/24Aris v PAOK88-82
15/02/24PAOK v Aris74-76
11/02/24Aris v PAOK77-63
18/11/23PAOK v Aris82-76
22/01/23Aris v PAOK77-70
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
11/12/21PAOK v Aris96-64
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26AMurcia85-89
04/04/26HAS Karditsas93-90
01/04/26HMurcia79-73
28/03/26HPromitheas100-70
25/03/26HMykonos100-87
21/03/26APeristeri70-75
18/03/26APeristeri80-88
11/03/26HPeristeri101-77
08/03/26AOlympiacos73-100
14/02/26HAEK Athens71-88
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HAEK Athens82-78
28/03/26AKolossos Rhodes96-92
21/03/26HAS Karditsas78-55
07/03/26HMaroussi102-76
14/02/26AMykonos83-74
11/02/26ACluj-Napoca92-111
04/02/26HNeptunas83-64
01/02/26HPanathinaikos102-95 OT
28/01/26ABahcesehir Kol.79-81
24/01/26APromitheas103-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%70%64%
Points / game83.587.380.0
Allowed / game81.281.481.0
Point differential+2.3+5.9-1.0
Avg total164.7168.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%73%56%
Points / game85.383.587.4
Allowed / game81.176.686.6
Point differential+4.2+6.9+0.9
Avg total166.4160.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %15%18%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos22220100%97.779.1+18.6
2 Panathinaikos2318578%90.877.7+13.1
3 AEK Athens2215768%84.179.7+4.4
4 PAOK2114767%83.581.2+2.3
5 Aris2013765%85.381.1+4.2
6 Peristeri2213959%78.578.9-0.3
7 Iraklis2281436%80.184.4-4.3
8 Mykonos2281436%79.786.9-7.2
9 Kolossos Rhodes2271532%81.584.9-3.4
10 Promitheas2271532%83.690.2-6.5
11 AS Karditsas2261627%78.384.7-6.5
12 Panionios2261627%79.086.7-7.7
13 Maroussi2251723%84.991.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2920211888
Aris1925151877
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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