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AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-81
17-17 29-23 20-14 21-27
Position#4
Record16-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.0
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2025-26Neutral venue
Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris
03 Apr 2027
AAT v ARI
upcoming
25 May 2026
AAT102
ARI99
14 May 2026
AAT87
ARI81
27 Dec 2025
AAT82
ARI76
28 Dec 2024
AAT102
ARI89
20 Jan 2024
AAT91
ARI93
29 Oct 2022
AAT63
ARI76
23 Oct 2021
AAT64
ARI63
20 Dec 2020
AAT84
ARI67
13 Dec 2019
AAT92
ARI79
30 Mar 2019
AAT81
ARI73
03 Feb 2018
AAT73
ARI64
03 Jun 2017
AAT71
ARI60
28 May 2017
AAT90
ARI74
07 Jan 2017
AAT81
ARI61
16 May 2015
AAT92
ARI54
29 Mar 2015
AAT93
ARI77
08 Jan 2011
AAT65
ARI74
19 Dec 2009
AAT77
ARI76
08 Mar 2009
AAT65
ARI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#8
W
100-87
100
87
+13
101avg 79
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 79
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 79
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 79
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 79
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 79
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 79
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 79
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 79
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
71avg 79
H09/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
24-29
25-17
21-15
14-16
14-19
10-26
26-13
16-24
18-23
30-14
23-23
21-22
18-22
18-24
21-14
13-27
18-26
24-19
11-16
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
157.6Avg total
78.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.679.4163.0+4.267%
Season at home (12)84.279.3163.5+4.867%
Season away (12)83.079.4162.4+3.667%
Last 10 (10)78.679.0157.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.275.0153.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.292.6171.8-13.420%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.480.2160.6+0.260%
vs Weaker (15)88.577.7166.1+10.893%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
91avg 78
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 78
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
97avg 78
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-55
78
55
+23
78avg 78
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 78
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 78
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 78
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 78
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 78
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
79avg 78
H25/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
22-24
22-28
27-28
24-25
19-18
25-16
15-15
25-16
24-27
23-15
30-18
20-17
25-12
19-7
14-19
29-36
17-18
26-12
24-26
22-21
22-18
24-18
14-21
19-29
25-20
15-21
18-18
23-15
17-25
18-31
23-21
18-21
21-24
22-18
14-15
19-15
12-16
20-18
24-16
165.0Avg total
84.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.981.0165.0+2.958%
Season at home (12)82.875.7158.5+7.275%
Season away (12)85.086.4171.4-1.442%
Last 10 (10)84.180.9165.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.893.7177.4-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.079.0160.0+2.057%
vs Weaker (11)90.781.0171.7+9.7100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
AEK AthensAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H09/05
Champions League
77.2Avg total
37.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.783.5+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.843.484.2-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)42.839.982.6+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.577.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.270.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.647.686.2-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.640.778.3-3.140%-
vs Weaker (15)45.540.586.0+5.167%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H25/04
Basket League
85.2Avg total
42.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.585.8+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.980.9+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)44.546.190.7-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.885.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.944.586.4-2.642%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.740.782.4+1.057%-
vs Weaker (11)45.641.587.2+4.164%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.1
52.6%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.6
33.9%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.717.6
71.3%
74.4%17.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.1
52.2%
54.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.0
37.7%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.6
69.2%
74.4%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLWWLLWLW
Aris
WLLLWWWWWL
#4
League position
#5
-0.5
Net rating
+3.5
94.6
Offensive rating
95.9
95.1
Defensive rating
92.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.9%
3-point %
37.7%
56.6%
Assist %
70.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 95.9Defence95.1 · 92.4Shooting52.0% · 54.1%3-point %33.9% · 37.7%Ball care15.0% · 16.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Athens wins
6
Aris wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Aris v AEK Athens82-78
27/12/25AEK Athens v Aris82-76
28/12/24AEK Athens v Aris102-89
05/10/24Aris v AEK Athens59-70
20/01/24AEK Athens v Aris91-93
29/10/23Aris v AEK Athens75-64
04/02/23Aris v AEK Athens74-64
29/10/22AEK Athens v Aris63-76
13/03/22Aris v AEK Athens91-73
23/10/21AEK Athens v Aris64-63
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HRytas86-92 OT
07/05/26AUnicaja78-65
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94
19/04/26APanionios71-57
15/04/26HJoventut Badalona72-67
07/04/26AJoventut Badalona66-88
04/04/26AAris78-82
01/04/26HJoventut Badalona87-84
28/03/26HPeristeri64-74
22/03/26HIraklis100-87
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HPanionios75-65
22/04/26APeristeri75-78
19/04/26AOlympiacos81-92
15/04/26APAOK77-88
04/04/26HAEK Athens82-78
28/03/26AKolossos Rhodes96-92
21/03/26HAS Karditsas78-55
07/03/26HMaroussi102-76
14/02/26AMykonos83-74
11/02/26ACluj-Napoca92-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.684.283.0
Allowed / game79.479.379.4
Point differential+4.2+4.8+3.6
Avg total163.0163.5162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game83.982.885.0
Allowed / game81.075.786.4
Point differential+2.9+7.2-1.4
Avg total165.0158.5171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %12%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos25250100%98.179.2+18.8
2 Panathinaikos2419579%91.177.7+13.4
3 PAOK2619773%84.180.4+3.7
4 AEK Athens2416867%83.679.4+4.2
5 Aris24141058%83.981.0+2.9
6 Peristeri26141254%78.779.6-1.0
7 Mykonos2491538%80.087.4-7.3
8 Iraklis2481633%80.084.6-4.6
9 Promitheas2481633%84.090.2-6.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes2581732%82.286.9-4.8
11 AS Karditsas2471729%79.084.8-5.7
12 Maroussi2461825%85.892.1-6.3
13 Panionios2461825%77.585.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1729202187
Aris1723142781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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