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AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-99
32-25 20-21 24-22 26-31
Position#4
Record17-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#5
Record15-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.3
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2025-26Neutral venue
Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris
03 Apr 2027
AAT v ARI
upcoming
25 May 2026
AAT102
ARI99
14 May 2026
AAT87
ARI81
27 Dec 2025
AAT82
ARI76
28 Dec 2024
AAT102
ARI89
20 Jan 2024
AAT91
ARI93
29 Oct 2022
AAT63
ARI76
23 Oct 2021
AAT64
ARI63
20 Dec 2020
AAT84
ARI67
13 Dec 2019
AAT92
ARI79
30 Mar 2019
AAT81
ARI73
03 Feb 2018
AAT73
ARI64
03 Jun 2017
AAT71
ARI60
28 May 2017
AAT90
ARI74
07 Jan 2017
AAT81
ARI61
16 May 2015
AAT92
ARI54
29 Mar 2015
AAT93
ARI77
08 Jan 2011
AAT65
ARI74
19 Dec 2009
AAT77
ARI76
08 Mar 2009
AAT65
ARI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 80
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 80
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 80
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 80
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 80
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 80
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 80
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
71avg 80
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 80
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
80avg 80
A17/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-23
30-14
23-23
21-22
18-22
18-24
21-14
13-27
18-26
24-19
11-16
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
159.0Avg total
79.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.679.8163.5+3.865%
Season at home (13)84.479.5163.8+4.969%
Season away (13)82.880.2163.1+2.662%
Last 10 (10)79.080.0159.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)83.284.4167.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.890.8166.5-15.025%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.081.1162.1-0.158%
vs Weaker (14)87.776.9164.6+10.893%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
97avg 77
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-55
78
55
+23
78avg 77
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 77
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 77
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 77
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 77
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 77
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
79avg 77
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
70avg 77
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 77
H17/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
24-27
23-15
30-18
20-17
25-12
19-7
14-19
29-36
17-18
26-12
24-26
22-21
22-18
24-18
14-21
19-29
25-20
15-21
18-18
23-15
17-25
18-31
23-21
18-21
21-24
22-18
14-15
19-15
12-16
20-18
24-16
17-17
23-29
14-20
27-21
25-23
27-26
19-19
19-13
162.9Avg total
83.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.081.3165.3+2.858%
Season at home (13)83.476.1159.5+7.377%
Season away (13)84.786.5171.2-1.838%
Last 10 (10)83.779.2162.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)80.480.6161.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.295.6180.8-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.080.1162.1+1.956%
vs Weaker (11)90.781.0171.7+9.7100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
AEK AthensAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/05
Basket League
78.7Avg total
39.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.583.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.642.983.6-2.338%-
Last 30 away (14)43.739.983.6+3.864%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.778.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.879.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.246.886.0-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.241.680.8-2.342%-
vs Weaker (14)45.340.085.3+5.364%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Basket League
Panionios
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H25/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/05
Basket League
85.5Avg total
43.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.186.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.839.782.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.846.590.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.585.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.345.586.8-4.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.742.284.9+0.456%-
vs Weaker (11)45.641.587.2+4.164%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.8
55.0%
54.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.9
34.5%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.817.4
73.1%
74.4%17.4
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
54.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.2
36.7%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
74.4%15.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLWLWWLLW
Aris
WLWLLLWWWW
#4
League position
#5
-1.6
Net rating
+5.5
95.1
Offensive rating
96.8
96.7
Defensive rating
91.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
36.7%
63.7%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 96.8Defence96.7 · 91.4Shooting53.7% · 52.8%3-point %34.5% · 36.7%Ball care15.8% · 15.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Athens wins
6
Aris wins
DateGameScore
17/05/26Aris v AEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AEK Athens v Aris87-81
04/04/26Aris v AEK Athens82-78
27/12/25AEK Athens v Aris82-76
28/12/24AEK Athens v Aris102-89
05/10/24Aris v AEK Athens59-70
20/01/24AEK Athens v Aris91-93
29/10/23Aris v AEK Athens75-64
04/02/23Aris v AEK Athens74-64
29/10/22AEK Athens v Aris63-76
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26AAris81-90
14/05/26HAris87-81
09/05/26HRytas86-92 OT
07/05/26AUnicaja78-65
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94
19/04/26APanionios71-57
15/04/26HJoventut Badalona72-67
07/04/26AJoventut Badalona66-88
04/04/26AAris78-82
01/04/26HJoventut Badalona87-84
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26HAEK Athens90-81
14/05/26AAEK Athens81-87
25/04/26HPanionios75-65
22/04/26APeristeri75-78
19/04/26AOlympiacos81-92
15/04/26APAOK77-88
04/04/26HAEK Athens82-78
28/03/26AKolossos Rhodes96-92
21/03/26HAS Karditsas78-55
07/03/26HMaroussi102-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL65%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%69%62%
Points / game83.684.482.8
Allowed / game79.879.580.2
Point differential+3.8+4.9+2.6
Avg total163.5163.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%77%38%
Points / game84.083.484.7
Allowed / game81.376.186.5
Point differential+2.8+7.3-1.8
Avg total165.3159.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos26260100%98.078.4+19.6
2 Panathinaikos2621581%91.377.5+13.8
3 PAOK2619773%84.180.4+3.7
4 AEK Athens2617965%83.679.8+3.8
5 Aris26151158%84.081.3+2.8
6 Peristeri26141254%78.779.6-1.0
7 Mykonos2691735%79.787.9-8.2
8 Iraklis2481633%80.084.6-4.6
9 Promitheas2481633%84.090.2-6.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes2681831%81.287.3-6.1
11 AS Karditsas2471729%79.084.8-5.7
12 Maroussi2461825%85.892.1-6.3
13 Panionios2461825%77.585.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens32202426102
Aris2521223199
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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