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Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 82-78
22-21 22-18 24-18 14-21
Position#5
Record12-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game81.3
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#4
Record15-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game79.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 24· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Aris v AEK Athens
10 Oct 2026
ARI88
AAT58
17 May 2026
ARI90
AAT81
04 Apr 2026
ARI82
AAT78
05 Oct 2024
ARI59
AAT70
29 Oct 2023
ARI75
AAT64
04 Feb 2023
ARI74
AAT64
13 Mar 2022
ARI91
AAT73
27 Mar 2021
ARI68
AAT73
04 Apr 2020
ARI v AAT
upcoming
08 Dec 2018
ARI77
AAT81
14 Oct 2017
ARI64
AAT62
31 May 2017
ARI85
AAT91
13 Apr 2017
ARI81
AAT77
14 Jan 2017
ARI77
AAT76
07 Oct 2015
ARI64
AAT61
19 May 2015
ARI79
AAT68
13 May 2015
ARI71
AAT69
06 Dec 2014
ARI86
AAT75
13 Apr 2011
ARI78
AAT74
20 Mar 2010
ARI79
AAT76
29 Nov 2008
ARI77
AAT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
113-107 OT
113
107
+6
104avg 79
A20/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
101avg 79
A24/01
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 79
A28/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
95avg 79
H01/02
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
83-64
83
64
+19
78avg 79
H04/02
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
91avg 79
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 79
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
97avg 79
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-55
78
55
+23
78avg 79
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 79
A28/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
24-21
17-18
29-25
33-29
18-18
23-25
23-19
19-20
22-17
15-25
22-23
20-19
21-14
24-31
21-21
19-13
25-8
18-22
21-31
22-24
22-28
27-28
24-25
19-18
25-16
15-15
25-16
24-27
23-15
30-18
20-17
25-12
19-7
14-19
29-36
17-18
26-12
24-26
178.3Avg total
93.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.581.3166.7+4.263%
Season at home (10)83.776.5160.2+7.270%
Season away (9)87.486.6174.0+0.956%
Last 10 (10)93.185.2178.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)90.281.6171.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.394.6177.9-11.217%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.277.4158.6+3.860%
vs Weaker (13)90.579.8170.3+10.6100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 80
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
90-62
90
62
+28
90avg 80
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 80
A14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
102-85
102
85
+17
96avg 80
H07/03
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 80
H11/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
68avg 80
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
90avg 80
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
W
100-87
100
87
+13
101avg 80
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 80
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 80
H01/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
14-26
17-18
29-15
26-19
27-9
18-19
19-15
14-21
23-14
25-20
26-16
24-21
28-17
25-19
25-28
19-18
30-33
23-17
24-20
31-18
21-37
15-24
11-24
28-19
24-27
12-16
15-17
30-26
24-29
25-17
21-15
14-16
14-19
10-26
26-13
16-24
18-23
30-14
23-23
169.7Avg total
88.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.479.6164.0+4.871%
Season at home (11)84.278.0162.2+6.273%
Season away (10)84.781.4166.1+3.370%
Last 10 (10)88.181.6169.7+6.580%
Last 5 (5)84.487.2171.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.0101.3179.3-23.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.578.8159.2+1.862%
vs Weaker (19)88.676.1164.7+12.595%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
ArisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A24/01
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A28/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/02
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/02
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A28/03
Basket League
90.3Avg total
46.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.085.6+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.680.9+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.145.990.9-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)46.044.390.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.890.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.645.387.9-2.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.638.678.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker (13)46.040.286.2+5.877%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H07/03
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H11/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/04
Champions League
87.9Avg total
44.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.484.1+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.942.383.2-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)44.640.485.0+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.187.9+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.691.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.757.095.7-18.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.839.978.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker (19)44.939.684.5+5.468%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.1
56.9%
54.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.8
37.4%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws27.420.0
73.0%
74.4%20.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.7
54.0%
54.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.0
39.8%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.5
76.1%
74.4%18.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWWWLWWLWW
AEK Athens
WLWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#4
+8.4
Net rating
+6.6
101.9
Offensive rating
103.9
93.5
Defensive rating
97.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.4%
3-point %
39.8%
68.9%
Assist %
60.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 103.9Defence93.5 · 97.3Shooting56.5% · 56.2%3-point %37.4% · 39.8%Ball care16.5% · 14.6%Free throws0.43 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Aris   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aris wins
5
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25AEK Athens v Aris82-76
28/12/24AEK Athens v Aris102-89
05/10/24Aris v AEK Athens59-70
20/01/24AEK Athens v Aris91-93
29/10/23Aris v AEK Athens75-64
04/02/23Aris v AEK Athens74-64
29/10/22AEK Athens v Aris63-76
13/03/22Aris v AEK Athens91-73
23/10/21AEK Athens v Aris64-63
27/03/21Aris v AEK Athens68-73
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26AKolossos Rhodes96-92
21/03/26HAS Karditsas78-55
07/03/26HMaroussi102-76
14/02/26AMykonos83-74
11/02/26ACluj-Napoca92-111
04/02/26HNeptunas83-64
01/02/26HPanathinaikos102-95 OT
28/01/26ABahcesehir Kol.79-81
24/01/26APromitheas103-97
20/01/26ASlask Wroclaw113-107 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HJoventut Badalona87-84
28/03/26HPeristeri64-74
22/03/26HIraklis100-87
18/03/26AAlba Berlin93-88 OT
15/03/26APanathinaikos78-103
11/03/26HTofas96-88
07/03/26HPromitheas102-85
14/02/26APAOK88-71
10/02/26AAS Karditsas90-62
07/02/26HMaroussi83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%70%56%
Points / game85.583.787.4
Allowed / game81.376.586.6
Point differential+4.2+7.2+0.9
Avg total166.7160.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %16%20%11%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game84.484.284.7
Allowed / game79.678.081.4
Point differential+4.8+6.2+3.3
Avg total164.0162.2166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos21210100%97.178.9+18.2
2 Panathinaikos2217577%90.678.4+12.2
3 AEK Athens2115671%84.479.6+4.8
4 PAOK2013765%83.080.8+2.2
5 Aris1912763%85.581.3+4.2
6 Peristeri2112957%78.178.7-0.5
7 Iraklis2181338%80.383.5-3.2
8 Mykonos2181338%79.585.9-6.3
9 Kolossos Rhodes2171433%81.584.8-3.3
10 Promitheas2171433%84.689.9-5.3
11 AS Karditsas2161529%77.784.3-6.6
12 Panionios2151624%77.987.2-9.3
13 Maroussi2251723%84.991.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2222241482
AEK Athens2118182178
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