PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aris vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2010
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 64-71
13-21 21-16 14-16 16-18
Position#10
Record8-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#1
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Quarter-finals
European cup2009
Meetings · Aris v Valencia
06 Nov 2024
ARI59
VAL63
24 Mar 2010
ARI64
VAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A09/02
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
56-90
56
90
-34
A14/02
Basket League
Ilisiakos
#14
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H17/02
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H23/02
Eurocup
Trikala
#15
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A27/02
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H02/03
Eurocup
Panionios
#11
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H06/03
Basket League
Le Mans
#28
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A09/03
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A17/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H20/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
19-14
12-13
18-17
17-25
15-18
13-19
11-28
23-23
29-21
23-13
22-26
20-17
16-21
16-11
28-18
16-17
17-12
20-15
20-29
28-16
19-16
22-11
15-11
24-21
20-21
30-17
21-19
24-22
13-15
22-23
16-19
13-11
17-20
18-20
15-18
18-20
17-13
23-18
21-25
152.3Avg total
77.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.271.4149.7+6.867%
Season at home (6)79.067.3146.3+11.783%
Season away (6)77.575.5153.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)77.974.4152.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)79.271.2150.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.276.5143.8-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.569.1142.6+4.462%
vs Weaker (10)80.972.5153.4+8.470%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A14/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#5
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H20/02
Spanish Cup
Galatasaray
#32
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H23/02
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#16
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H27/02
ACB
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#11
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A02/03
Eurocup
Manresa
#12
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A06/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#4
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H09/03
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#3
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H13/03
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#15
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A21/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
16-14
14-20
21-19
20-20
15-12
20-21
20-20
13-22
19-13
17-20
15-17
26-20
17-29
21-17
19-17
28-13
23-13
17-26
16-19
20-21
23-12
11-20
15-11
15-17
21-27
22-24
26-14
24-19
22-15
27-21
18-26
14-15
21-13
17-27
15-23
19-20
25-16
18-20
21-20
154.3Avg total
78.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.972.5147.4+2.479%
Season at home (7)82.474.3156.7+8.186%
Season away (7)67.470.7138.1-3.371%
Last 10 (10)78.276.1154.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)78.876.2155.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.871.0135.8-6.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.176.0152.1+0.160%
vs Weaker (14)78.274.7152.9+3.586%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
ArisValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/02
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/02
Basket League
Ilisiakos
#14
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H17/02
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H23/02
Eurocup
Trikala
#15
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A27/02
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H02/03
Eurocup
Panionios
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/03
Basket League
Le Mans
#28
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A09/03
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A17/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/03
Basket League
74.1Avg total
38.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.974.0+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.834.672.4+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.275.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.074.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.039.075.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.636.173.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker (10)39.834.374.1+5.590%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A14/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H20/02
Spanish Cup
Galatasaray
#32
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/02
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#16
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H27/02
ACB
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A02/03
Eurocup
Manresa
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A06/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/03
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H13/03
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/03
ACB
74.4Avg total
39.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.673.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.435.075.4+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)36.734.370.9+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)39.734.774.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.075.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.631.061.6-0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.033.273.2+6.880%-
vs Weaker (14)40.637.177.7+3.450%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Valencia wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/10HAEK Athens79-76
17/03/10APeristeri63-69
09/03/10ALe Mans75-79
06/03/10HPanionios95-78
02/03/10HJoventut Badalona84-54
27/02/10ATrikala85-87 OT
23/02/10HAlba Berlin80-67
17/02/10HIlisiakos97-83
14/02/10APanathinaikos56-90
09/02/10AAlba Berlin65-61
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/10AGipuzkoa83-76
13/03/10HReal Madrid67-78
09/03/10HUnics Kazan91-81
06/03/10AManresa84-82
02/03/10AHapoel M. Jerusalem69-64
27/02/10HFuenlabrada84-71
23/02/10HGalatasaray98-95 OT
20/02/10HBarcelona64-72
18/02/10HEstudiantes75-73
14/02/10ABaskonia67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2009
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game78.279.077.5
Allowed / game71.467.375.5
Point differential+6.8+11.7+2.0
Avg total149.7146.3153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2009
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game74.982.467.4
Allowed / game72.574.370.7
Point differential+2.4+8.1-3.3
Avg total147.4156.7138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %14%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1512380%77.968.6+9.3
2 Valencia1411379%74.972.5+2.4
3 Alba Berlin129375%73.572.3+1.2
4 Aris128467%78.271.4+6.8
5 Unics Kazan128467%81.275.4+5.8
6 Crvena zvezda128467%78.273.2+5.0
7 Biella64267%76.772.8+3.8
8 Gran Canaria128467%72.170.6+1.5
9 Joventut Badalona128467%74.474.0+0.4
10 Panellinios149564%77.673.6+4.1
11 Hapoel M. Jerusalem148657%84.280.6+3.6
12 Nymburk137654%74.170.0+4.1
13 Zadar63350%83.381.0+2.3
14 Bamberg147750%73.971.6+2.3
15 Treviso126650%78.777.9+0.8
16 Cholet63350%73.773.0+0.7
17 Nancy63350%74.274.0+0.2
18 Apoel BC21150%69.570.0-0.5
19 Buducnost21150%64.064.5-0.5
20 Spartak St. Petersburg63350%76.077.0-1.0
21 Belfius Mons21150%69.571.0-1.5
22 Donetsk21150%75.076.5-1.5
23 Roanne21150%81.084.5-3.5
24 VEF Riga21150%79.084.0-5.0
25 Wels21150%77.584.5-7.0
26 Zenit Petersburg63350%71.778.8-7.2
27 Amsterdam21150%56.070.5-14.5
28 Le Mans125742%75.274.3+0.8
29 Turk Telekom125742%79.479.2+0.2
30 Teramo83538%77.577.6-0.1
31 Azovmash Mariupol62433%82.784.0-1.3
32 Galatasaray123925%87.690.6-3.0
33 Besiktas82625%83.591.6-8.1
34 Vrsac61517%79.580.0-0.5
35 Bonn61517%74.378.7-4.3
36 Turow Zgorzelec61517%74.082.7-8.7
37 Siauliai61517%82.394.3-12.0
38 Dynamo Moscow81712%71.476.4-5.0
39 Spirou Charleroi6060%64.080.5-16.5
40 Ventspils6060%57.784.3-26.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1321141664
Valencia2116161871
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.