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Aris vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-63
19-19 14-16 11-17 15-11
Position#19
Record2-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEurocupRound 7· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2024
Meetings · Aris v Valencia
06 Nov 2024
ARI59
VAL63
24 Mar 2010
ARI64
VAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
52avg 66
H02/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
50avg 66
H05/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 66
A08/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
61avg 66
A13/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 66
H16/10
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
W
86-75
86
75
+11
87avg 66
H19/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 66
H23/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 66
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
W
91-88
91
88
+3
83avg 66
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
64avg 66
H02/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
13-15
21-11
16-21
17-14
12-12
12-18
18-26
19-16
23-16
28-23
22-19
12-35
19-22
18-19
23-26
17-23
22-9
12-16
17-30
23-11
20-26
19-16
24-22
24-23
24-14
13-17
14-28
15-23
13-20
30-24
27-17
21-22
20-20
15-16
35-30
10-16
28-19
10-18
29-18
156.0Avg total
76.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.380.8158.2-3.533%
Season at home (3)68.776.0144.7-7.30%
Season away (3)86.085.7171.7+0.367%
Last 10 (10)76.879.2156.0-2.450%
Last 5 (5)82.880.0162.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)71.881.0152.8-9.225%
vs Similar (5)71.476.6148.0-5.240%
vs Weaker (1)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
80-64
80
64
+16
72avg 75
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 75
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
105-78
105
78
+27
106avg 75
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
67avg 75
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 75
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 75
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
105-83
105
83
+22
99avg 75
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 75
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
102avg 75
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
W
103-98
103
98
+5
94avg 75
A27/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-15
14-15
21-20
16-22
18-27
17-12
22-16
30-29
22-15
30-21
23-13
15-13
19-11
28-19
22-17
19-24
25-28
26-23
35-21
23-16
13-25
37-15
14-19
24-22
28-16
25-16
28-29
25-20
23-14
14-32
27-22
27-17
31-15
23-20
20-35
26-27
23-27
28-21
26-23
173.8Avg total
93.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)99.281.6180.8+17.6100%
Season at home (2)105.080.5185.5+24.5100%
Season away (3)95.382.3177.7+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.280.6173.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)97.086.2183.2+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.296.2182.5-10.025%
vs Similar (12)81.885.8167.5-4.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.080.7172.7+11.386%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
ArisValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H02/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#3
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H05/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A13/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H16/10
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H19/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/11
Basket League
74.2Avg total
36.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.438.573.9-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.835.271.1+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)35.141.176.1-6.018%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.774.2-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.138.273.3-3.233%-
vs Similar (5)36.440.076.4-3.640%-
vs Weaker (1)38.038.076.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A25/09
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/10
ACB
84.9Avg total
45.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.0+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.338.583.8+6.877%-
Last 30 away (17)41.143.084.1-1.935%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.784.9+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.888.4+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.048.087.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.840.283.0+2.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.139.984.0+4.364%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.0
57.1%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
34.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.011.3
70.6%
76.0%11.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.2
53.9%
53.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.9
34.3%
34.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWWLWLLWLL
Valencia
WWWWWWWWLW
#19
League position
#1
-2.8
Net rating
+15.2
105.1
Offensive rating
119.2
107.9
Defensive rating
104.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
21.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
40.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
34.3%
52.3%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 119.2Defence107.9 · 104.0Shooting54.5% · 52.7%3-point %34.1% · 34.3%Ball care21.8% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 40.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Aris   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
31/03/10Valencia v Aris85-67
24/03/10Aris v Valencia64-71
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HPeristeri77-71
30/10/24AJL Bourg91-88
26/10/24AKolossos Rhodes85-84
23/10/24HCedevita Olimpija75-82
19/10/24HPromitheas86-75
16/10/24HHapoel Jerusalem68-78
13/10/24AOlympiacos72-102
08/10/24ALietkabelis92-74
05/10/24HAEK Athens59-70
02/10/24HTurk Telekom63-68
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24ABilbao103-98
23/10/24ATurk Telekom101-87
20/10/24HMoraBanc Andorra89-88
17/10/24HVenezia105-83
13/10/24ABreogan87-75
09/10/24ACluj-Napoca105-96
05/10/24HJoventut Badalona84-60
02/10/24HHamburg105-78
28/09/24AManresa73-77
25/09/24AHapoel Jerusalem80-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%0%67%
Points / game77.368.786.0
Allowed / game80.876.085.7
Point differential-3.5-7.3+0.3
Avg total158.2144.7171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.2105.095.3
Allowed / game81.680.582.3
Point differential+17.6+24.5+13.0
Avg total180.8185.5177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia550100%99.281.6+17.6
2 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%85.970.7+15.1
3 Gran Canaria65183%84.777.2+7.5
4 JL Bourg75271%85.377.1+8.1
5 Hapoel Jerusalem64267%82.076.7+5.3
6 Ulm64267%85.594.3-8.8
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv74357%84.479.4+5.0
8 Besiktas74357%87.783.7+4.0
9 Turk Telekom74357%77.776.6+1.1
10 Cedevita Olimpija74357%82.082.4-0.4
11 BC Wolves63350%84.582.7+1.8
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%86.485.6+0.9
13 Trento73443%78.185.6-7.4
14 Aris62433%77.380.8-3.5
15 Lietkabelis62433%76.880.3-3.5
16 Venezia62433%80.784.8-4.2
17 Buducnost62433%81.085.7-4.7
18 Joventut Badalona72529%77.081.1-4.1
19 Hamburg71614%74.992.1-17.3
20 Trefl Sopot7070%80.789.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1914111559
Valencia1916171163
← all games of the day
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