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Aris vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-86
33-22 23-21 14-20 20-23
Position#13
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game86.1
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record4-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game86.8
EuropeEurocupRound 10· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2025
Meetings · Aris v Venezia
10 Dec 2025
ARI90
VEN86
04 Dec 2024
ARI74
VEN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
82avg 72
A25/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 72
A28/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
60avg 72
H01/11
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 72
H05/11
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
78-61
78
61
+17
82avg 72
H08/11
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 72
H11/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
74avg 72
A16/11
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 72
A18/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
96avg 72
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
88-98
88
98
-10
75avg 72
H04/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
18-21
25-20
27-19
21-23
27-27
20-31
8-22
13-14
20-27
23-19
17-18
21-6
29-24
17-14
18-34
14-14
25-19
23-14
16-14
23-16
16-22
20-19
17-29
15-23
36-18
12-20
14-21
21-28
29-18
23-18
20-23
22-22
25-15
26-18
23-25
21-17
20-21
17-22
30-38
165.8Avg total
83.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.186.1168.2-4.044%
Season at home (5)85.284.8170.0+0.440%
Season away (4)78.287.8166.0-9.550%
Last 10 (10)83.282.6165.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)86.086.6172.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.688.3167.9-8.720%
vs Similar (12)81.680.3161.9+1.258%
vs Weaker (8)86.580.0166.5+6.562%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 81
H02/11
Lega A
Hamburg
#20
W
90-55
90
55
+35
88avg 81
H05/11
Eurocup
Udine
#13
W
94-87
94
87
+7
90avg 81
A07/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
84avg 81
H09/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-93
65
93
-28
52avg 81
A12/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 81
A16/11
Lega A
Manresa
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
94avg 81
H19/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
98-90
98
90
+8
99avg 81
A23/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 81
A04/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 81
H07/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
21-16
19-18
21-18
22-18
25-7
20-13
23-17
23-17
13-23
26-22
32-25
12-15
25-20
31-24
21-17
13-19
24-23
14-27
14-24
12-28
34-19
22-10
21-22
27-29
27-16
18-24
25-24
22-22
30-25
22-17
24-26
12-21
14-26
18-20
22-31
36-26
25-25
23-14
17-30
171.6Avg total
87.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.386.8172.1-1.444%
Season at home (4)89.275.5164.8+13.875%
Season away (5)82.295.8178.0-13.620%
Last 10 (10)87.584.1171.6+3.480%
Last 5 (5)90.291.0181.2-0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.890.6172.3-8.822%
vs Similar (8)94.291.9186.1+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.578.1167.5+11.477%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
ArisVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A28/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/11
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H05/11
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/11
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A16/11
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A18/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H04/12
Eurocup
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.681.1+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.337.277.6+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)42.942.385.2+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.085.6+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.843.787.5+0.140%-
vs Similar (12)39.238.878.0+0.358%-
vs Weaker (8)42.235.677.9+6.688%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/11
Lega A
Hamburg
#20
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H05/11
Eurocup
Udine
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/11
Lega A
Manresa
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H19/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A04/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H07/12
Lega A
86.0Avg total
44.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.386.1+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.838.884.6+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)42.045.487.4-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.495.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.043.183.1-3.122%-
vs Similar (8)48.046.594.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.839.282.9+4.662%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.5
51.8%
54.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
34.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.618.9
80.1%
75.2%18.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.6
55.4%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.5
32.6%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
75.2%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWWLLWWLLW
Venezia
WLWWWLWWWW
#13
League position
#9
+1.3
Net rating
+4.6
109.1
Offensive rating
111.0
107.8
Defensive rating
106.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
32.6%
61.1%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 111.0Defence107.8 · 106.4Shooting52.7% · 52.8%3-point %35.8% · 32.6%Ball care19.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Aris   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aris wins
2
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
30/09/25Venezia v Aris81-85
04/12/24Aris v Venezia74-81
25/09/24Venezia v Aris95-75
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HCluj-Napoca88-98
22/11/25HPromitheas96-80
18/11/25ANeptunas93-87
16/11/25APanathinaikos77-82
11/11/25HBahcesehir Kol.76-86
08/11/25HMykonos78-61
05/11/25HSlask Wroclaw85-78
01/11/25HPAOK73-78
28/10/25AHapoel Jerusalem76-103
25/10/25APanionios90-73
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HCantu101-95
04/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem66-98
23/11/25ATortona98-90
19/11/25HManresa97-93
16/11/25AReggiana89-79
12/11/25ACedevita Olimpija65-93
09/11/25HSassari89-76
07/11/25AUdine94-87
05/11/25HHamburg90-55
02/11/25HVarese86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game82.185.278.2
Allowed / game86.184.887.8
Point differential-4.0+0.4-9.5
Avg total168.2170.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game85.389.282.2
Allowed / game86.875.595.8
Point differential-1.4+13.8-13.6
Avg total172.1164.8178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem108280%95.283.6+11.6
2 Besiktas108280%92.682.2+10.4
3 JL Bourg108280%80.071.7+8.3
4 Cedevita Olimpija97278%89.977.4+12.4
5 Bahcesehir Kol.107370%89.882.9+6.9
6 Turk Telekom96367%87.476.7+10.8
7 Buducnost96367%87.078.7+8.3
8 Cluj-Napoca105550%94.492.4+2.0
9 Neptunas105550%93.093.2-0.2
10 Trento105550%82.386.5-4.2
11 Manresa94544%84.785.7-1.0
12 Venezia94544%85.386.8-1.4
13 London Lions94544%76.678.2-1.7
14 Aris94544%82.186.1-4.0
15 Ulm94544%87.095.1-8.1
16 Chemnitz104640%81.081.3-0.3
17 Slask Wroclaw104640%84.291.0-6.8
18 Lietkabelis102820%77.587.2-9.7
19 Panionios101910%75.388.2-12.9
20 Hamburg100100%76.795.6-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris3323142090
Venezia2221202386
← all games of the day
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