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Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 82-77
23-15 18-36 20-12 21-14
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#5
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game80.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 7· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
95-81
95
81
+14
96avg 86
A17/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
90-67
90
67
+23
90avg 86
A19/10
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
75-92
75
92
-17
66avg 86
A24/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
83avg 86
H26/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-85
99
85
+14
93avg 86
H28/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-92
84
92
-8
71avg 86
A31/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
68-86
68
86
-18
48avg 86
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
81avg 86
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
103avg 86
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 86
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
21-21
26-10
26-29
28-15
21-21
18-19
23-12
15-19
20-29
18-21
22-23
20-21
32-18
23-17
16-14
24-25
23-24
21-17
31-19
20-27
21-23
17-18
26-24
12-20
20-26
8-21
28-19
22-22
26-21
19-13
22-16
27-28
25-15
20-29
29-23
22-16
30-22
21-21
14-18
169.6Avg total
87.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.876.4166.2+13.480%
Season at home (2)92.076.5168.5+15.5100%
Season away (3)88.376.3164.7+12.067%
Last 10 (10)87.981.7169.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)85.884.4170.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)83.085.4168.4-2.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.677.5169.2+14.192%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 70
H11/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
59-80
59
80
-21
49avg 70
A14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
95avg 70
A18/10
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
62avg 70
H21/10
Eurocup
Panionios
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
82avg 70
A25/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 70
A28/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
60avg 70
H01/11
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 70
H05/11
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
78-61
78
61
+17
82avg 70
H08/11
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 70
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-18
18-20
7-15
18-20
17-24
16-19
8-17
18-19
19-27
16-20
30-17
18-27
25-17
21-22
15-20
20-13
18-21
25-20
27-19
21-23
27-27
20-31
8-22
13-14
20-27
23-19
17-18
21-6
29-24
17-14
18-34
14-14
25-19
23-14
16-14
23-16
16-22
20-19
17-29
161.0Avg total
78.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.080.7161.7+0.333%
Season at home (3)72.070.7142.7+1.333%
Season away (3)90.090.7180.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)78.482.6161.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)77.681.2158.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.388.0166.3-9.722%
vs Similar (14)80.079.5159.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (7)85.180.0165.1+5.157%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/10
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H26/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A31/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A11/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/11
Euroleague
88.5Avg total
45.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.585.2+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.540.687.1+5.975%-
Last 30 away (18)41.942.184.0-0.156%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.488.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.089.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (16)41.142.283.3-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.740.587.2+6.285%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/10
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/10
Eurocup
Panionios
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A25/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A28/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/11
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H05/11
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/11
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
Eurocup
80.0Avg total
40.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.479.7+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.138.778.8+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.540.380.8+0.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.880.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.145.788.8-2.622%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.475.3+0.457%-
vs Weaker (7)41.635.477.0+6.186%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.4
54.7%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.217.4
78.4%
74.4%17.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.7
51.5%
54.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.0
30.9%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws26.620.2
75.9%
74.4%20.2
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWWLWW
Aris
LWWLLWLLLL
#2
League position
#5
+6.5
Net rating
-5.3
117.5
Offensive rating
103.6
110.9
Defensive rating
108.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
49.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
20.3%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.46
32.7%
3-point %
30.9%
61.5%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 103.6Defence110.9 · 108.9Shooting52.4% · 49.2%3-point %32.7% · 30.9%Ball care14.6% · 20.3%Off. rebounds34.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Panathinaikos wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
17/03/25Aris v Panathinaikos73-83
22/12/24Panathinaikos v Aris126-74
28/09/24Panathinaikos v Aris81-68
02/06/24Aris v Panathinaikos65-80
31/05/24Panathinaikos v Aris89-71
13/05/24Aris v Panathinaikos68-80
17/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris76-65
05/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris70-73
12/11/23Aris v Panathinaikos65-75
15/01/23Panathinaikos v Aris96-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25AReal Madrid87-77
11/11/25AParis101-95
08/11/25APeristeri89-72
05/11/25ACrvena zvezda68-86
31/10/25AMonaco84-92
28/10/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-85
26/10/25HPromitheas91-70
24/10/25AVirtus Bologna75-92
19/10/25AKolossos Rhodes90-67
17/10/25AAnadolu Efes95-81
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25HBahcesehir Kol.76-86
08/11/25HMykonos78-61
05/11/25HSlask Wroclaw85-78
01/11/25HPAOK73-78
28/10/25AHapoel Jerusalem76-103
25/10/25APanionios90-73
21/10/25HManresa79-86
18/10/25AMaroussi103-108 OT
14/10/25ACedevita Olimpija59-80
11/10/25HKolossos Rhodes65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game89.892.088.3
Allowed / game76.476.576.3
Point differential+13.4+15.5+12.0
Avg total166.2168.5164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game81.072.090.0
Allowed / game80.770.790.7
Point differential+0.3+1.3-0.7
Avg total161.7142.7180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos770100%93.675.9+17.7
2 PAOK65183%80.878.3+2.5
3 Panathinaikos54180%89.876.4+13.4
4 AEK Athens75271%83.474.3+9.1
5 Peristeri63350%79.079.0+0.0
6 Mykonos63350%75.380.5-5.2
7 AS Karditsas63350%76.782.3-5.7
8 Promitheas73443%79.982.1-2.3
9 Aris62433%81.080.7+0.3
10 Iraklis62433%79.883.2-3.3
11 Maroussi62433%87.792.7-5.0
12 Kolossos Rhodes72529%75.481.1-5.7
13 Panionios7070%72.386.7-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2318202182
Aris1536121477
← all games of the day
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