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Arizona vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:49
Final 73-91
32-48 41-43
Position#7
Record36-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game68.8
Arizona
USA
vs
Michigan 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record35-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAANCAA - Semi-finals· Lucas Oil Stadium
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H28/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H03/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A08/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H12/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H14/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H20/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H23/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H27/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H29/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
45-33
37-25
36-32
36-38
53-41
46-30
35-29
37-43
45-37
44-36
35-38
53-29
39-29
33-24
45-42
54-43
55-45
31-38
48-26
153.2Avg total
84.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)86.568.8155.3+17.795%
Season at home (26)87.866.0153.8+21.896%
Season away (12)83.674.9158.5+8.792%
Last 10 (10)84.668.6153.2+16.0100%
Last 5 (5)87.470.0157.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.869.2146.0+7.5100%
vs Weaker (26)87.469.3156.7+18.192%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A28/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H29/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
46-39
30-30
41-38
42-41
48-39
39-35
32-32
28-28
40-37
38-38
34-42
50-46
51-34
48-39
47-33
47-49
43-28
48-26
47-36
155.8Avg total
83.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)87.769.6157.3+18.192%
Season at home (25)90.668.7159.3+21.992%
Season away (13)82.271.2153.4+10.992%
Last 10 (10)83.772.1155.8+11.690%
Last 5 (5)90.674.2164.8+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.770.0150.7+10.767%
vs Weaker (27)86.470.4156.9+16.093%
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +7.1+7.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +7.1+7.1
ArizonaMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H20/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H27/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H29/03
NCAA
74.4Avg total
41.0Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.533.575.0+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.631.973.5+9.780%-
Last 30 away (10)41.436.678.0+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)41.033.474.4+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.034.077.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.533.872.2+4.875%-
vs Weaker (26)42.033.475.4+8.673%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H14/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H15/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H29/03
NCAA
77.1Avg total
40.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.634.677.2+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.434.478.8+9.979%-
Last 30 away (11)39.534.974.4+4.555%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.377.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.239.685.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.735.074.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (27)42.934.677.4+8.370%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arizona wins
0
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
22/11/21Michigan v Arizona62-80
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HPurdue79-64
27/03/26HArkansas109-88
23/03/26HUtah State78-66
20/03/26HLIU Sharks92-58
14/03/26HHouston79-74
13/03/26HIowa State82-80
12/03/26HUCF Knights81-59
08/03/26AColorado89-79
03/03/26HIowa State73-57
28/02/26HKansas84-61
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HTennessee95-62
27/03/26HAlabama90-77
21/03/26HSt. Louis Billikens95-72
19/03/26HHoward101-80
15/03/26HPurdue72-80
14/03/26HWisconsin68-65
13/03/26HOhio State71-67
08/03/26HMichigan State90-80
06/03/26AIowa71-68
28/02/26AIllinois84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW96%
AwayWLWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382612
Win %95%96%92%
Points / game86.587.883.6
Allowed / game68.866.074.9
Point differential+17.7+21.8+8.7
Avg total155.3153.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%77%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%4%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382513
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game87.790.682.2
Allowed / game69.668.771.2
Point differential+18.1+21.9+10.9
Avg total157.3159.3153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%76%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3836295%86.568.8+17.7
2 Houston3730781%76.962.3+14.5
3 Iowa State3728976%81.566.1+15.5
4 Kansas35241169%75.169.1+6.1
5 Texas Tech34231168%80.373.1+7.2
6 Brigham Young35231266%83.575.4+8.1
7 TCU35231266%77.472.1+5.3
8 UCF Knights33211264%80.778.4+2.3
9 Oklahoma State33191458%84.382.9+1.4
10 West Virginia32181456%69.264.8+4.4
11 Cincinnati33181555%73.167.6+5.5
12 Colorado32171553%80.079.4+0.5
13 Arizona State33171652%76.378.3-2.0
14 Baylor32161650%82.677.2+5.4
15 Kansas State32122038%79.681.8-2.3
16 Utah Utes32102231%74.379.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3835392%87.769.6+18.1
2 Nebraska3528780%77.066.1+10.8
3 Michigan State3527877%78.868.3+10.5
4 Purdue3930977%81.670.5+11.1
5 Illinois3728976%83.268.8+14.5
6 Wisconsin35241169%83.076.1+6.9
7 UCLA36241267%77.171.1+6.0
8 Iowa37241365%74.566.3+8.3
9 Ohio State34211362%79.372.6+6.7
10 Indiana32181456%78.272.2+6.0
11 USC32181456%78.677.9+0.7
12 Washington33161748%77.173.6+3.5
13 Minnesota32151747%70.068.5+1.5
14 Northwestern34151944%73.172.0+1.2
15 Rutgers33141942%70.675.1-4.5
16 Oregon32122038%70.873.9-3.1
17 Penn State32122038%73.779.3-5.7
18 Maryland33122136%69.776.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona324173
Michigan484391
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