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UCF Knights vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-87
0-0 42-56 0-0 44-31
Position#92
Record20-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.4
UCF Knights
USA
vs
Baylor 🏆
USA
Position#200
Record14-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UCF Knights v Baylor
13 Jan 2027
UCF v BAYL
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
UCF 86
BAYL87
31 Jan 2024
UCF 69
BAYL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H14/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-44
0-0
31-43
0-0
49-47
0-0
46-39
0-0
35-39
0-0
44-37
0-0
44-40
0-0
44-40
0-0
19-33
0-0
36-46
0-0
28-40
0-0
44-52
0-0
29-28
0-0
38-46
0-0
42-28
0-0
40-43
0-0
41-36
0-0
32-35
0-0
52-28
0-0
45-56
156.5Avg total
76.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.077.4159.4+4.674%
Season at home (18)84.575.4159.9+9.183%
Season away (9)77.081.4158.4-4.456%
Last 10 (10)76.580.0156.5-3.560%
Last 5 (5)78.278.4156.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.582.2161.7-2.645%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.777.9161.6+5.879%
vs Weaker (5)82.667.4150.0+15.2100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-38
0-0
52-59
0-0
28-35
0-0
29-32
0-0
38-30
0-0
25-23
0-0
45-21
0-0
41-46
0-0
33-37
0-0
36-35
0-0
41-41
0-0
53-58
0-0
34-34
0-0
37-48
0-0
34-41
0-0
40-49
0-0
32-40
0-0
41-28
0-0
41-34
0-0
39-53
153.9Avg total
75.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.576.7159.2+5.850%
Season at home (19)87.777.8165.6+9.958%
Season away (9)71.674.3145.9-2.833%
Last 10 (10)75.778.2153.9-2.530%
Last 5 (5)78.485.2163.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.879.5146.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.877.9158.6+2.950%
vs Weaker (10)92.074.2166.2+17.880%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
UCF KnightsBaylor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H14/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A25/02
NCAA
72.8Avg total
36.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.975.0+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.236.376.5+3.867%-
Last 30 away (12)35.037.872.8-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.372.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.070.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.437.672.0-3.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.638.578.1+1.157%-
vs Weaker (5)42.231.073.2+11.280%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
36.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.375.9+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.935.977.9+6.058%-
Last 30 away (11)35.536.972.5-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.171.5+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.074.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.335.066.3-3.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.436.674.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (10)47.736.684.3+11.170%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UCF Knights wins
2
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Baylor v UCF Knights91-76
01/02/24UCF Knights v Baylor69-77
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26ABrigham Young97-84
22/02/26AUtah Utes73-71
18/02/26HTCU82-71
14/02/26HWest Virginia67-74
08/02/26ACincinnati72-92
05/02/26AHouston55-79
31/01/26HTexas Tech88-80
28/01/26HArizona State79-76
24/01/26AColorado95-86
21/01/26AIowa State57-87
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HArizona80-87
21/02/26HArizona State73-68
18/02/26AKansas State74-90
14/02/26HLouisville71-82
11/02/26HBrigham Young94-99
07/02/26AIowa State69-72
05/02/26HColorado86-67
31/01/26AWest Virginia63-53
28/01/26ACincinnati57-67
24/01/26HTCU90-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW74%
HomeLWWLW83%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %74%83%56%
Points / game82.084.577.0
Allowed / game77.475.481.4
Point differential+4.6+9.1-4.4
Avg total159.4159.9158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWLLWL58%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %50%58%33%
Points / game82.587.771.6
Allowed / game76.777.874.3
Point differential+5.8+9.9-2.8
Avg total159.2165.6145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2927293%87.168.6+18.4
2 Houston2924583%77.562.3+15.2
3 Iowa State2923679%81.966.1+15.9
4 Texas Tech2922776%82.072.2+9.8
5 UCF Knights2720774%82.077.4+4.6
6 Kansas2921872%76.168.7+7.4
7 Brigham Young2920969%85.075.3+9.7
8 TCU29191066%78.371.9+6.4
9 West Virginia29171259%69.964.7+5.1
10 Oklahoma State29171259%83.381.8+1.5
11 Cincinnati29161355%73.267.5+5.7
12 Colorado29161355%79.578.7+0.8
13 Arizona State29151452%77.978.2-0.3
14 Baylor28141450%82.576.7+5.8
15 Kansas State29111838%79.580.9-1.4
16 Utah Utes29101934%74.578.1-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UCF Knights04204486
Baylor05603187
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