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Arizona vs UCF Knights Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#115
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#75
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Arizona v UCF Knights
06 Jan 2027
ARIZ v UCF
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
ARIZ81
UCF 59
11 Jan 2025
ARIZ88
UCF 80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H14/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H20/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H23/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H27/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H29/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
73-91
73
91
-18
H05/04
NCAA
UCLA
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#239
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H06/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#157
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
35-38
53-29
39-29
33-24
45-42
54-43
55-45
31-38
48-26
32-48
41-43
29-43
46-41
59-41
45-43
46-22
44-37
36-32
44-37
159.6Avg total
85.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.274.0161.2+13.275%
Season at home (2)97.071.5168.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)77.576.5154.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)85.973.7159.6+12.280%
Last 5 (5)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar (6)76.772.8149.5+3.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.070.4157.4+16.591%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
H04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A12/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A20/03
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#304
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H03/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-56
44-31
40-45
54-49
23-32
39-45
26-27
32-31
30-46
29-35
27-35
44-40
36-38
46-44
39-42
48-33
32-34
44-35
36-27
48-43
159.6Avg total
79.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.877.2163.0+8.5100%
Season at home (4)85.877.2163.0+8.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.180.5159.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.876.8159.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.479.7153.1-6.343%
vs Similar (15)80.579.5160.1+1.053%
vs Weaker (8)82.473.2155.6+9.1100%
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: +4.2+4.2
ArizonaUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H20/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H27/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H29/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H05/04
NCAA
UCLA
#3
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#239
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H11/11
NCAA
Auburn
#157
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A14/11
NCAA
77.3Avg total
41.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.034.075.0+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.632.774.3+8.974%-
Last 30 away (11)40.036.476.4+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.677.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.043.072.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.035.872.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.633.275.7+9.474%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H01/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/03
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#304
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Yale
#322
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#257
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H14/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
33.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.536.773.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.236.474.5+1.847%-
Last 30 away (11)33.537.370.8-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)33.138.271.3-5.110%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.269.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.937.071.9-2.143%-
vs Similar (15)36.337.774.0-1.540%-
vs Weaker (8)38.234.572.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arizona wins
0
UCF Knights wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26Arizona v UCF Knights81-59
17/01/26UCF Knights v Arizona77-84
12/01/25Arizona v UCF Knights88-80
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAuburn80-69
11/11/26HNorthern Arizona90-59
06/11/26HCal Poly104-84
03/11/26AUCLA75-84
05/04/26HMichigan73-91
29/03/26HPurdue79-64
27/03/26HArkansas109-88
23/03/26HUtah State78-66
20/03/26HLIU Sharks92-58
14/03/26HHouston79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGeorgia Southern84-70
11/11/26HSouth Alabama76-69
07/11/26HYale87-75
03/11/26HFlorida Gulf Coast96-95 OT
20/03/26AUCLA71-75
12/03/26AArizona59-81
11/03/26HCincinnati66-65 OT
07/03/26AWest Virginia62-77
04/03/26HOklahoma State104-111 OT
01/03/26HBaylor86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.297.077.5
Allowed / game74.071.576.5
Point differential+13.2+25.5+1.0
Avg total161.2168.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.885.8-
Allowed / game77.277.2-
Point differential+8.5+8.5-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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