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Arkansas State vs Alcorn State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-86
48-34 52-52
Position#186
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#268
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
32-33
24-30
29-38
27-30
35-37
35-38
40-32
29-41
45-44
26-29
38-32
34-30
52-39
34-30
25-33
41-56
35-49
31-34
44-47
142.1Avg total
68.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.593.0168.5-17.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)75.593.0168.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)68.673.5142.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)72.075.8147.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)60.973.0133.9-12.10%
vs Similar (15)67.570.8138.3-3.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)71.860.0131.8+11.875%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#352
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A18/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A03/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H09/03
NCAA
North Texas
#1
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A16/03
NIT
Arkansas
#224
L
59-93
59
93
-34
A07/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-33
0-0
39-31
0-0
42-25
0-0
33-35
0-0
34-38
0-0
37-37
0-0
44-33
0-0
45-48
0-0
34-27
0-0
36-33
0-0
26-29
0-0
37-29
0-0
30-27
0-0
32-39
0-0
26-30
0-0
27-39
0-0
22-46
0-0
37-47
0-0
31-29
0-0
39-33
136.7Avg total
67.9Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.577.5142.0-13.050%
Season at home (1)70.062.0132.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)59.093.0152.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)67.968.8136.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)61.469.6131.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)60.079.0139.0-19.025%
vs Similar (14)70.670.8141.4-0.257%
vs Weaker (7)74.165.6139.7+8.6100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -0.9-0.9
Arkansas StateAlcorn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
31.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.732.762.4-3.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.232.562.7-2.327%-
Last 30 away (15)29.132.962.1-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)31.135.166.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.869.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.534.261.7-6.69%-
vs Similar (15)30.133.363.4-3.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)34.026.260.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#352
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A03/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H09/03
NCAA
North Texas
#1
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A16/03
NIT
Arkansas
#224
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H09/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.763.7-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.029.463.4+4.682%-
Last 30 away (19)29.334.663.9-5.326%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.763.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)27.032.259.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.638.966.5-11.212%-
vs Similar (14)32.930.563.4+2.464%-
vs Weaker (7)31.930.462.3+1.457%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
Alcorn State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ABowling Green75-81
07/11/23AWisconsin76-105
02/03/23ATroy59-63
28/02/23ACoastal Carolina86-69
25/02/23ALouisiana Monroe64-61
23/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette74-85
18/02/23HGeorgia State75-70
17/02/23HTroy62-67
11/02/23AGeorgia Southern53-68
10/02/23ATexas State62-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HXavier70-62
07/11/23AArkansas59-93
16/03/23ANorth Texas53-69
09/03/23HTexas Southern62-66
04/03/23AArkansas-Pine Bluff63-58
03/03/23AMiss. Valley St.70-60
28/02/23HTexas Southern89-81
25/02/23HPrairie View A&M71-75
18/02/23AJackson State75-60
14/02/23AFlorida A&M67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.5-75.5
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-17.5--17.5
Avg total168.5-168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alcorn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game64.570.059.0
Allowed / game77.562.093.0
Point differential-13.0+8.0-34.0
Avg total142.0132.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison330100%99.790.0+9.7
2 Coastal Carolina110100%88.086.0+2.0
3 Appalachian State21150%82.570.0+12.5
4 Marshall21150%75.569.5+6.0
5 Georgia State21150%82.079.5+2.5
6 South Alabama21150%72.069.5+2.5
7 Texas State21150%70.568.0+2.5
8 Southern Miss21150%59.057.0+2.0
9 Louisiana Lafayette21150%75.074.5+0.5
10 Louisiana Monroe21150%52.574.0-21.5
11 Troy31233%80.772.0+8.7
12 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
13 Georgia Southern3030%63.379.7-16.3
14 Arkansas State2020%75.593.0-17.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff43175%98.081.2+16.8
2 Grambling St.32167%86.078.3+7.7
3 Bethune-Cookman21150%86.563.0+23.5
4 Alabama A&M Bulldogs21150%89.071.0+18.0
5 Alcorn State21150%64.577.5-13.0
6 Alabama State31233%80.372.7+7.7
7 Prairie View A&M31233%71.373.3-2.0
8 Southern Univ.31233%73.092.0-19.0
9 Jackson State3030%68.087.0-19.0
10 Texas Southern2020%53.577.5-24.0
11 Florida A&M3030%58.791.7-33.0
12 Miss. Valley St.3030%52.091.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State4852100
Alcorn State345286
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