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Arkansas State vs Marshall Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-87 (OT)
23-31 48-40 7-16
Position#278
Record9-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#38
Record16-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas State v Marshall
31 Jan 2026
ARKA61
MARS70
08 Mar 2025
ARKA77
MARS74
21 Jan 2023
ARKA78
MARS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marshall winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-26
44-35
27-31
45-34
31-39
46-36
29-16
31-41
36-47
36-37
18-29
27-34
27-31
27-35
24-28
34-33
33-33
24-41
30-43
41-37
132.0Avg total
63.4Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)65.766.0131.7-0.445%
Season at home (13)70.865.2135.9+5.662%
Season away (7)56.167.7123.9-11.614%
Last 10 (10)63.468.6132.0-5.240%
Last 5 (5)57.068.8125.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)61.771.6133.3-9.920%
vs Similar (11)64.367.5131.8-3.345%
vs Weaker (8)70.960.5131.4+10.475%
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
100-85
100
85
+15
H17/12
NCAA
Glenville State
#451
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H20/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H13/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
34-41
45-44
55-41
51-38
48-35
35-28
44-25
29-40
37-32
36-48
40-33
38-31
43-35
37-29
52-38
34-37
39-28
33-33
48-40
152.1Avg total
81.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.669.0150.6+12.680%
Season at home (13)83.166.8149.8+16.392%
Season away (7)78.973.1152.0+5.757%
Last 10 (10)81.171.0152.1+10.170%
Last 5 (5)80.070.4150.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.278.8151.0-6.620%
vs Similar (9)76.272.4148.7+3.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.167.4148.5+13.787%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +9.2+9.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +9.2+9.2
Arkansas StateMarshall
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
29-16
29
16
+13
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/01
NCAA
60.2Avg total
27.9Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.832.062.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.731.864.4+0.939%-
Last 30 away (12)27.932.360.2-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)27.932.360.2-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)26.432.859.2-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)28.236.064.2-7.80%-
vs Similar (11)29.731.260.9-1.536%-
vs Weaker (8)34.228.662.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Marshall) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarshallLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#100
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Glenville State
#451
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A20/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
37.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.570.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.934.272.1+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)35.632.568.1+3.254%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.273.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.836.267.0-5.440%-
vs Similar (9)35.035.270.2-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.131.270.3+7.967%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
1
Marshall wins
DateGameScore
27/11/20Marshall v Arkansas State70-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette71-80
14/01/23HSouthern Miss57-74
13/01/23HTexas State58-61
07/01/23ATroy54-66
06/01/23ASouth Alabama45-63
31/12/22HLouisiana Monroe72-84
30/12/22AOld Dominion60-57
22/12/22HUALR77-75
20/12/22HAlabama State72-65
15/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
Marshalllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23ATexas State81-73
15/01/23HOld Dominion73-65
13/01/23HSouthern Miss89-67
07/01/23HCoastal Carolina81-66
06/01/23AGeorgia Southern76-81
31/12/22HJames Madison66-72
30/12/22HAppalachian State79-53
20/12/22HGlenville State99-73
17/12/22HToledo100-85
14/12/22ANC Greensboro67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWLLLL62%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %45%62%14%
Points / game65.770.856.1
Allowed / game66.065.267.7
Point differential-0.4+5.6-11.6
Avg total131.7135.9123.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marshall
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %80%92%57%
Points / game81.683.178.9
Allowed / game69.066.873.1
Point differential+12.6+16.3+5.7
Avg total150.6149.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%85%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall2016480%81.669.0+12.6
2 Southern Miss2016480%75.563.6+11.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette1915479%81.171.8+9.3
4 James Madison2013765%85.266.7+18.5
5 Troy2012860%74.565.3+9.2
6 Old Dominion1911858%68.566.2+2.3
7 Georgia Southern2011955%68.765.9+2.8
8 Coastal Carolina1910953%76.171.6+4.4
9 Appalachian State20101050%73.565.5+8.1
10 Texas State20101050%65.265.1+0.1
11 Georgia State1991047%67.664.6+3.1
12 Louisiana Monroe2091145%70.368.5+1.8
13 Arkansas State2091145%65.766.0-0.4
14 South Alabama2081240%69.368.0+1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Arkansas State2348778
Marshall31401687
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