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Arkansas State vs UAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 87-68
46-38 41-30
Position#186
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#77
Record4-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
25-33
41-56
35-49
31-34
44-47
48-34
52-52
39-49
35-39
28-27
29-44
51-17
24-41
38-35
33-40
31-27
35-50
28-49
37-40
151.1Avg total
71.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.281.1154.3-7.922%
Season at home (2)85.580.5166.0+5.050%
Season away (7)69.781.3151.0-11.614%
Last 10 (10)71.879.3151.1-7.520%
Last 5 (5)66.874.0140.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.274.3135.6-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.472.8142.1-3.443%
vs Weaker (4)75.872.5148.2+3.250%
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#3
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
H29/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A31/03
NIT
Bradley
#71
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
H07/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H17/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
60-81
60
81
-21
H29/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-37
0-0
33-37
0-0
27-37
0-0
34-31
0-0
24-40
0-0
40-24
0-0
42-39
0-0
34-38
0-0
24-30
0-0
42-33
0-0
41-42
0-0
39-35
0-0
29-28
0-0
29-29
0-0
52-44
0-0
40-42
0-0
31-30
0-0
29-51
0-0
46-46
0-0
36-39
148.7Avg total
73.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.174.9148.0-1.850%
Season at home (7)75.377.4152.7-2.143%
Season away (1)58.057.0115.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.475.3148.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.477.2151.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.577.0142.5-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.075.8149.8-1.845%
vs Weaker (16)77.466.5143.9+10.994%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -8.6-8.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -8.6-8.62nd half: -0.3-0.3
Arkansas StateUAB
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A05/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.233.965.1-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.935.567.4-3.625%-
Last 30 away (18)30.732.963.6-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.872.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.066.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.635.463.0-7.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.434.365.6-2.929%-
vs Weaker (4)41.228.269.5+13.0100%-
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#3
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H29/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/03
NIT
Bradley
#71
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H07/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H12/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/12
NCAA
73.0Avg total
35.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.068.4+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.933.972.9+5.065%-
Last 30 away (13)30.831.862.6-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.373.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.077.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.535.062.5-7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.537.072.5-1.545%-
vs Weaker (16)36.029.765.7+6.356%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
UAB wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23AAlabama65-89
02/12/23AUALR66-77
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
18/11/23AIowa74-88
15/11/23HAlcorn State100-86
11/11/23ABowling Green75-81
07/11/23AWisconsin76-105
02/03/23ATroy59-63
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HSouthern Miss82-85
29/11/23HMcNeese State60-81
25/11/23HFurman92-86
22/11/23AMiddle Tenn. St.58-57
17/11/23HAlcorn State80-77
12/11/23HMaryland66-63
11/11/23HClemson76-77
07/11/23HBradley71-73 OT
31/03/23ANorth Texas61-68
29/03/23HUtah Valley State88-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games927
Win %22%50%14%
Points / game73.285.569.7
Allowed / game81.180.581.3
Point differential-7.9+5.0-11.6
Avg total154.3166.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UAB
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %50%43%100%
Points / game73.175.358.0
Allowed / game74.977.457.0
Point differential-1.8-2.1+1.0
Avg total148.0152.7115.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %12%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison880100%95.476.0+19.4
2 Appalachian State97278%79.961.3+18.6
3 Louisiana Monroe74357%73.171.1+2.0
4 Louisiana Lafayette95456%79.172.4+6.7
5 Southern Miss95456%70.967.2+3.7
6 South Alabama105550%71.975.4-3.5
7 Troy94544%83.170.7+12.4
8 Georgia State94544%76.974.4+2.4
9 Old Dominion83538%69.573.2-3.8
10 Texas State83538%64.170.9-6.8
11 Coastal Carolina93633%80.478.3+2.1
12 Marshall82625%73.881.4-7.6
13 Arkansas State92722%73.281.1-7.9
14 Georgia Southern9090%68.082.3-14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic97278%84.470.6+13.9
2 Wichita State97278%79.370.1+9.2
3 Tulane86275%86.979.2+7.6
4 Memphis86275%79.574.0+5.5
5 Tulsa75271%79.669.4+10.1
6 North Texas85362%69.958.2+11.6
7 Temple85362%78.972.5+6.4
8 East Carolina106460%75.070.4+4.6
9 Charlotte95456%66.963.9+3.0
10 UAB84450%73.174.9-1.8
11 UTSA Roadrunners84450%78.182.4-4.2
12 South Florida73443%71.367.9+3.4
13 Rice93633%72.879.0-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State464187
UAB383068
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