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Alabama vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-65
0-0 49-28 0-0 40-37
Position#67
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game76.3
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#186
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alabama v Arkansas State
06 Nov 2026
ALAB v ARKA
upcoming
08 Nov 2024
ALAB88
ARKA79
04 Dec 2023
ALAB89
ARKA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H16/03
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H19/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H24/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H07/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H11/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
102-46
102
46
+56
H15/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H18/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
W
99-91
99
91
+8
A25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
54-34
0-0
42-41
0-0
28-23
0-0
45-28
0-0
23-28
0-0
41-43
0-0
55-35
0-0
50-38
0-0
48-37
0-0
54-43
0-0
47-23
0-0
55-23
0-0
56-29
0-0
42-38
0-0
33-38
0-0
48-54
0-0
47-39
0-0
52-52
0-0
32-33
0-0
45-52
162.8Avg total
89.7Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.976.3171.1+18.671%
Season at home (5)96.870.2167.0+26.680%
Season away (2)90.091.5181.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)89.773.1162.8+16.670%
Last 5 (5)91.476.2167.6+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.879.6164.4+5.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.066.7150.8+17.388%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-30
0-0
52-39
0-0
34-30
0-0
25-33
0-0
41-56
0-0
35-49
0-0
31-34
0-0
44-47
0-0
48-34
0-0
52-52
0-0
39-49
0-0
35-39
0-0
28-27
0-0
29-44
0-0
51-17
0-0
24-41
0-0
38-35
0-0
33-40
0-0
31-27
0-0
35-50
151.2Avg total
73.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.280.1154.4-5.925%
Season at home (2)85.580.5166.0+5.050%
Season away (6)70.580.0150.5-9.517%
Last 10 (10)73.977.3151.2-3.430%
Last 5 (5)68.673.8142.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)60.973.0133.9-12.10%
vs Similar (14)69.472.8142.1-3.443%
vs Weaker (5)75.071.0146.0+4.060%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +10.4+10.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -7.0-7.0
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +10.4+10.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -7.0-7.0
AlabamaArkansas State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H16/03
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H19/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H11/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H15/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H18/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#75
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H29/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
42.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.830.769.5+8.160%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.228.369.4+12.974%-
Last 30 away (11)34.834.969.7-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.331.974.2+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.475.4+10.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.434.473.8+5.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.730.068.7+8.864%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.133.364.5-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.535.266.7-3.623%-
Last 30 away (17)30.831.962.8-1.135%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.971.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.068.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.534.261.7-6.69%-
vs Similar (14)31.434.365.6-2.929%-
vs Weaker (5)38.428.867.2+9.680%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HClemson77-85
25/11/23AOregon99-91
25/11/23AOhio State81-92
18/11/23HMercer98-67
15/11/23HSouth Alabama102-46
11/11/23HIndiana State102-80
07/11/23HMorehead State105-73
24/03/23HSan Diego State64-71
19/03/23HMaryland73-51
16/03/23HTexas A&M-CC96-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AUALR66-77
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
18/11/23AIowa74-88
15/11/23HAlcorn State100-86
11/11/23ABowling Green75-81
07/11/23AWisconsin76-105
02/03/23ATroy59-63
28/02/23ACoastal Carolina86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game94.996.890.0
Allowed / game76.370.291.5
Point differential+18.6+26.6-1.5
Avg total171.1167.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %25%50%17%
Points / game74.285.570.5
Allowed / game80.180.580.0
Point differential-5.9+5.0-9.5
Avg total154.4166.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma770100%87.463.6+23.9
2 South Carolina770100%76.764.3+12.4
3 Ole Miss770100%73.366.3+7.0
4 Texas76186%81.365.9+15.4
5 Missouri97278%75.467.2+8.2
6 Kentucky86275%91.873.2+18.5
7 Mississippi St.86275%71.660.2+11.4
8 Texas A&M86275%75.268.1+7.1
9 Alabama75271%94.976.3+18.6
10 Auburn75271%78.665.4+13.1
11 LSU85362%74.568.6+5.9
12 Arkansas85362%80.675.2+5.4
13 Georgia85362%71.670.9+0.8
14 Tennessee74357%76.367.0+9.3
15 Florida74357%84.175.7+8.4
16 Vanderbilt84450%71.272.6-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison880100%95.476.0+19.4
2 Appalachian State86275%76.064.6+11.4
3 Louisiana Lafayette85362%80.672.5+8.1
4 Troy84450%84.869.2+15.5
5 Georgia State84450%79.075.8+3.2
6 Southern Miss84450%69.466.4+3.0
7 Louisiana Monroe63350%67.072.5-5.5
8 South Alabama94544%70.776.9-6.2
9 Old Dominion73443%68.171.7-3.6
10 Coastal Carolina83538%80.577.1+3.4
11 Texas State83538%64.170.9-6.8
12 Marshall72529%74.080.9-6.9
13 Arkansas State82625%74.280.1-5.9
14 Georgia Southern8080%69.584.6-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alabama04904089
Arkansas State02803765
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