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Miami (FL) vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-85
36-41 42-44
Position#122
Record37-26
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game73.1
Miami (FL)
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#39
Record24-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Duke
25 Feb 2025
MIAM60
DUKE97
21 Feb 2024
MIAM55
DUKE84
10 Mar 2023
MIAM78
DUKE85
06 Feb 2023
MIAM81
DUKE59
01 Feb 2021
MIAM77
DUKE75
04 Jan 2020
MIAM62
DUKE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H25/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A01/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A09/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
36-26
36-32
40-38
26-29
48-36
40-38
45-30
54-31
30-54
36-26
41-36
38-29
25-39
42-38
36-38
33-48
42-43
34-29
40-43
147.4Avg total
75.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)76.573.1149.7+3.459%
Season at home (37)79.872.9152.8+6.970%
Season away (26)71.873.5145.2-1.742%
Last 10 (10)75.272.2147.4+3.070%
Last 5 (5)73.473.8147.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.276.8150.0-3.717%
vs Similar (13)77.074.8151.8+2.269%
vs Weaker (11)76.773.4150.1+3.455%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H26/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H01/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
30-25
26-40
33-41
27-25
31-33
31-23
37-41
40-27
37-28
42-33
37-29
43-32
38-33
33-29
38-38
33-31
29-26
48-32
48-37
136.4Avg total
71.8Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.664.0136.5+8.675%
Season at home (18)77.661.3138.9+16.3100%
Season away (14)66.167.4133.4-1.343%
Last 10 (10)71.864.6136.4+7.280%
Last 5 (5)77.864.0141.8+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)69.768.4138.1+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)74.463.0137.4+11.488%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.7+2.7
Miami (FL)Duke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#271
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H25/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A01/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H09/03
NCAA
69.3Avg total
36.1Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.073.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.336.175.5+3.273%-
Last 30 away (15)34.635.970.5-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)36.133.269.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.070.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.039.274.2-4.217%-
vs Similar (13)36.836.172.8+0.769%-
vs Weaker (11)38.334.372.5+4.064%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A18/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H26/02
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H01/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H09/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.6Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.468.4+3.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.530.969.4+7.688%-
Last 30 away (14)33.134.267.3-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)35.630.466.0+5.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.831.471.2+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)34.634.869.4-0.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.230.467.6+6.881%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami (FL) wins
4
Duke wins
DateGameScore
07/02/23Miami (FL) v Duke81-59
21/01/23Duke v Miami (FL)68-66
12/03/22Duke v Miami (FL)80-76
09/01/22Duke v Miami (FL)74-76
02/02/21Miami (FL) v Duke77-75
22/01/20Duke v Miami (FL)89-59
05/01/20Miami (FL) v Duke62-95
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HWake Forest74-72
09/03/23AToledo75-91
04/03/23HPittsburgh78-76
04/03/23ABuffalo63-68
01/03/23AWestern Michigan77-62
25/02/23HFlorida State84-85
25/02/23HOhio85-68
22/02/23HBowling Green74-65
22/02/23AVirginia Tech76-70
18/02/23ANorthern Illinois66-65 OT
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HPittsburgh96-69
04/03/23ANorth Carolina62-57
01/03/23HNC State71-67
26/02/23HVirginia Tech81-65
21/02/23HLouisville79-62
18/02/23ASyracuse77-55
15/02/23HNotre Dame68-64
11/02/23AVirginia62-69 OT
07/02/23AMiami (FL)59-81
04/02/23HNorth Carolina63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633726
Win %59%70%42%
Points / game76.579.871.8
Allowed / game73.172.973.5
Point differential+3.4+6.9-1.7
Avg total149.7152.8145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)45% (11)44% (9)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %75%100%43%
Points / game72.677.666.1
Allowed / game64.061.367.4
Point differential+8.6+16.3-1.3
Avg total136.5138.9133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%61%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia3024680%68.260.4+7.7
2 Duke3224875%72.664.0+8.6
3 Clemson3223972%75.667.6+8.0
4 NC State33231070%78.270.8+7.4
5 Pittsburgh33221167%76.170.5+5.6
6 North Carolina33201361%76.270.9+5.3
7 Miami (FL)63372659%76.573.1+3.4
8 Virginia Tech33191458%74.269.8+4.5
9 Wake Forest33191458%76.673.8+2.8
10 Syracuse32171553%74.172.9+1.2
11 Boston College33161748%66.670.2-3.6
12 Georgia Tech33151845%69.770.8-1.0
13 Stanford33141942%70.368.4+2.0
14 Notre Dame32112134%69.672.1-2.5
15 SMU Mustangs32102231%70.275.6-5.3
16 Florida State3292328%69.376.2-6.9
17 Louisville3242812%63.975.8-11.8
18 California323299%58.370.1-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)364278
Duke414485
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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