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Astana vs Samara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 94-92 (OT)
21-23 21-21 16-14 26-26 10-8
Position#13
Record12-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game82.6
Astana 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#7
Record22-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.3
RussiaVTB United League· Saryarka Velodrome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Astana v Samara
29 Jan 2025
AST75
SAM67
28 Nov 2024
AST59
SAM81
14 Apr 2024
AST94
SAM92
27 Nov 2023
AST83
SAM66
13 Mar 2023
AST73
SAM92
04 Jan 2023
AST51
SAM99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A13/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A18/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
61-96
61
96
-35
H21/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
54-76
54
76
-22
H24/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A27/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A31/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H04/04
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A07/04
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A11/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
18-31
26-16
14-20
16-31
25-10
12-25
10-18
16-20
16-15
20-18
23-17
13-25
17-25
14-20
17-26
14-23
14-18
16-14
10-21
14-21
18-15
11-17
15-7
21-28
18-24
11-18
33-22
22-24
23-14
14-25
20-24
11-19
13-14
27-21
28-33
22-25
17-20
17-16
21-22
153.0Avg total
70.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)74.782.6157.3-7.831%
Season at home (19)74.880.5155.4-5.742%
Season away (20)74.684.5159.1-9.920%
Last 10 (10)70.182.9153.0-12.810%
Last 5 (5)75.281.8157.0-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.885.4160.2-10.517%
vs Similar (3)76.079.0155.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (3)74.371.3145.7+3.067%
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A06/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H13/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A17/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A21/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H25/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H28/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A01/04
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H04/04
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H07/04
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A10/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
14-20
26-22
25-24
31-16
10-25
25-12
18-10
18-21
25-13
12-19
41-33
15-20
12-19
21-6
22-21
17-18
23-21
13-19
17-22
19-27
20-22
20-19
18-15
24-17
22-18
20-17
15-15
17-19
20-22
18-20
14-12
18-27
26-16
20-16
22-12
20-15
26-20
19-6
15-15
153.0Avg total
79.6Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)78.878.3157.2+0.556%
Season at home (20)80.278.1158.3+2.155%
Season away (19)77.478.5155.9-1.158%
Last 10 (10)79.673.4153.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)78.670.0148.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.683.5150.1-16.925%
vs Similar (17)78.574.5153.0+3.965%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.873.2154.0+7.680%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
AstanaSamara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A18/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H21/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H24/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A31/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/04
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A07/04
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/04
VTB United League
77.1Avg total
34.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.778.5-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.740.478.1-2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.978.8-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)34.242.977.1-8.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.876.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.940.978.8-3.042%-
vs Similar (3)35.346.081.3-10.70%-
vs Weaker (3)39.033.772.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/03
VTB United League
Astana
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A17/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A21/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H28/03
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A01/04
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/04
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A10/04
VTB United League
79.4Avg total
39.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.778.1-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.877.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.142.678.7-6.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.979.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.683.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.045.878.8-12.812%-
vs Similar (17)39.139.278.3-0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.637.876.4+0.860%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Astana wins
5
Samara wins
DateGameScore
13/03/24Samara v Astana84-63
24/01/24Samara v Astana66-78
27/11/23Astana v Samara83-66
13/03/23Astana v Samara73-92
15/02/23Samara v Astana89-75
04/01/23Astana v Samara51-99
27/10/22Samara v Astana93-58
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24AMBA Moscow77-83
07/04/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg79-87
04/04/24HRuna Moscow79-87
31/03/24ASaratov83-92
27/03/24AMinsk58-60
24/03/24HMBA Moscow54-76
21/03/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg61-96
18/03/24ARuna Moscow75-70
13/03/24ASamara63-84
09/03/24ANizhny Novgorod72-94
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24ANizhny Novgorod80-56
07/04/24HSaratov86-71
04/04/24HMBA Moscow69-73
01/04/24ARuna Moscow81-67
28/03/24HUralmash Ekaterinburg77-83
25/03/24HNizhny Novgorod70-80
21/03/24ASaratov70-66
17/03/24AMinsk96-86
13/03/24HAstana84-63
06/03/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %31%42%20%
Points / game74.774.874.6
Allowed / game82.680.584.5
Point differential-7.8-5.7-9.9
Avg total157.3155.4159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%21%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Samara
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayLWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %56%55%58%
Points / game78.880.277.4
Allowed / game78.378.178.5
Point differential+0.5+2.1-1.1
Avg total157.2158.3155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%35%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan36261072%86.076.4+9.6
2 Zenit Petersburg35251071%84.175.4+8.7
3 CSKA Moscow36251169%86.377.9+8.5
4 Uralmash Ekaterinburg40261465%82.178.3+3.7
5 Lokomotiv Kuban36231364%84.280.0+4.1
6 Parma Perm35201557%79.878.2+1.6
7 Samara39221756%78.878.3+0.5
8 Enisey36191753%83.883.7+0.1
9 Saratov39182146%78.679.2-0.6
10 MBA Moscow39182146%75.677.2-1.6
11 Runa Moscow40162440%78.081.0-3.0
12 Nizhny Novgorod39132633%73.377.6-4.3
13 Astana39122731%74.782.6-7.8
14 Minsk391383%69.686.4-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Astana212116261094
Samara23211426892
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