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Astana vs Samara Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-92
9-23 21-28 18-26 25-15
Position#11
Record5-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Samara 🏆
Russia
Position#10
Record12-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.3
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Astana v Samara
29 Jan 2025
AST75
SAM67
28 Nov 2024
AST59
SAM81
14 Apr 2024
AST94
SAM92
27 Nov 2023
AST83
SAM66
13 Mar 2023
AST73
SAM92
04 Jan 2023
AST51
SAM99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#12
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H09/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
18-5
16-18
23-12
15-30
21-30
24-27
12-13
22-25
33-23
14-8
19-22
30-16
21-20
24-17
14-18
20-30
15-25
16-25
16-18
18-26
20-21
16-21
13-15
29-15
14-26
24-12
19-29
16-26
14-25
24-17
21-21
17-13
20-17
15-28
21-16
14-15
18-20
22-22
19-23
157.0Avg total
76.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)67.085.6152.5-18.619%
Season at home (15)67.683.3150.9-15.727%
Season away (12)66.288.4154.6-22.28%
Last 10 (10)76.780.3157.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)74.881.6156.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.186.9152.0-21.86%
vs Similar (3)79.765.0144.7+14.7100%
vs Weaker (9)83.373.7157.0+9.756%
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H08/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H16/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A29/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
A11/02
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H15/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H28/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H03/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A09/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
15-25
24-23
20-21
22-19
17-18
18-28
17-21
18-19
26-19
17-19
17-14
25-30
18-24
20-20
20-19
16-26
21-13
19-16
18-22
16-19
17-22
25-18
13-12
26-16
25-14
17-24
21-21
19-23
19-14
14-21
17-16
23-9
16-16
28-18
23-13
22-24
14-12
10-20
21-16
156.2Avg total
79.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.176.3154.4+1.841%
Season at home (15)78.676.0154.6+2.647%
Season away (14)77.676.6154.2+0.936%
Last 10 (10)79.876.4156.2+3.450%
Last 5 (5)80.471.0151.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.485.7158.1-13.30%
vs Similar (7)74.775.1149.9-0.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.872.0152.8+8.862%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
AstanaSamara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#12
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H11/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H09/03
VTB United League
81.6Avg total
39.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.242.779.8-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.340.178.4-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)35.945.681.5-9.821%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.181.6-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.876.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.945.477.3-13.56%-
vs Similar (3)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (9)46.441.187.6+5.367%-
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/01
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A29/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/02
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H15/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H03/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A09/03
VTB United League
77.8Avg total
40.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.476.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.336.275.5+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.676.7-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.577.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.873.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.941.179.0-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)35.036.771.7-1.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.736.176.8+4.662%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Astana wins
3
Samara wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23Samara v Astana89-75
04/01/23Astana v Samara51-99
27/10/22Samara v Astana93-58
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HSaratov73-80
04/03/23HParma Perm73-74
15/02/23ASamara75-89
01/02/23HMinsk86-82
28/01/23HEnisey67-83
20/01/23HLokomotiv Kuban67-98
18/01/23HAktobe89-71
17/01/23HAktobe88-78
14/01/23ACSKA Moscow72-100
11/01/23HMinsk77-48
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23AParma Perm67-72
03/03/23HMinsk90-56
28/02/23HEnisey69-74
15/02/23HAstana89-75
11/02/23AMinsk87-78 OT
03/02/23HParma Perm74-77
29/01/23ASaratov83-93
19/01/23HMinsk78-71
16/01/23HUnics Kazan74-86
08/01/23HSaratov87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL19%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %19%27%8%
Points / game67.067.666.2
Allowed / game85.683.388.4
Point differential-18.6-15.7-22.2
Avg total152.5150.9154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%13%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samara
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL41%
HomeWLWLW47%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%47%36%
Points / game78.178.677.6
Allowed / game76.376.076.6
Point differential+1.8+2.6+0.9
Avg total154.4154.6154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2927293%97.275.8+21.3
2 Unics Kazan3024680%85.974.8+11.0
3 Zenit Petersburg2921872%82.072.4+9.6
4 Nizhny Novgorod29171259%75.775.6+0.1
5 Lokomotiv Kuban30161453%79.076.9+2.2
6 Parma Perm29141548%78.680.4-1.8
7 MBA Moscow29131645%76.279.0-2.8
8 Samara29121741%78.176.3+1.8
9 Saratov29121741%79.482.3-2.9
10 Enisey30121840%74.676.8-2.2
11 Astana2752219%67.085.6-18.6
12 Minsk302287%62.381.0-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana921182573
Samara2328261592
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