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Samara vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-63
31-16 10-25 25-12 18-10
Position#7
Record16-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game80.3
Samara 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#13
Record11-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game82.8
RussiaVTB United League· Palace of Sport
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Samara v Astana
26 Mar 2025
SAM72
AST74
19 Oct 2024
SAM91
AST57
13 Mar 2024
SAM84
AST63
24 Jan 2024
SAM66
AST78
15 Feb 2023
SAM89
AST75
27 Oct 2022
SAM93
AST58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamaraRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
47-70
47
70
-23
H17/01
Russian Cup
Saratov
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A20/01
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H24/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A28/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A04/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
55-109
55
109
-54
A07/02
Russian Cup
Minsk
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/02
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
85-98
85
98
-13
H13/02
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A01/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A06/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
12-27
5-16
21-13
18-20
15-16
18-12
28-16
13-24
20-22
17-16
16-16
18-24
24-28
18-16
16-23
17-20
18-24
20-10
22-14
11-25
21-30
10-26
13-28
17-17
21-18
25-13
16-23
15-26
24-17
26-24
20-31
19-17
19-20
22-16
19-16
18-23
14-20
26-22
25-24
153.3Avg total
72.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.780.3159.0-1.653%
Season at home (15)81.279.5160.7+1.760%
Season away (15)76.381.1157.4-4.947%
Last 10 (10)72.680.7153.3-8.140%
Last 5 (5)76.287.2163.4-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.485.9158.3-13.527%
vs Similar (14)80.878.4159.1+2.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)76.275.6151.8+0.660%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
L
76-86 OT
76
86
-10
H10/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#7
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A24/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A28/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
69-97
69
97
-28
H01/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H12/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H03/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H06/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A09/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-14
23-22
8-20
21-16
18-20
14-17
18-21
21-26
22-16
17-15
20-14
24-13
22-20
16-17
16-16
15-24
23-15
11-24
18-17
14-19
15-20
25-24
15-34
16-20
22-17
13-24
14-21
16-26
16-9
11-21
21-26
28-16
20-21
14-19
14-14
14-27
18-31
26-16
14-20
152.0Avg total
71.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.282.8159.0-6.737%
Season at home (16)76.879.4156.2-2.750%
Season away (14)75.586.7162.2-11.221%
Last 10 (10)71.880.2152.0-8.430%
Last 5 (5)69.285.0154.2-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.584.7160.1-9.226%
vs Similar (4)76.577.5154.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (3)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.5-4.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.5-4.5
SamaraAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H17/01
Russian Cup
Saratov
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A20/01
VTB United League
Astana
#13
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H24/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A28/01
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A07/02
Russian Cup
Minsk
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/02
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H13/02
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/03
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/03
VTB United League
77.5Avg total
34.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.280.0-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.179.1-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)36.544.480.9-7.927%-
Last 10 (10)34.343.277.5-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.678.4-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.546.682.2-11.19%-
vs Similar (14)39.640.379.9-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.838.075.8-0.260%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H10/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A24/01
VTB United League
Runa Moscow
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A28/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H01/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/02
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H06/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#12
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A09/03
VTB United League
77.0Avg total
38.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.379.9-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.939.176.9-1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.543.983.4-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.577.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.277.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.041.680.6-2.648%-
vs Similar (4)36.844.881.5-8.00%-
vs Weaker (3)38.334.372.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Samara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samaratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Samara wins
2
Astana wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Samara v Astana66-78
27/11/23Astana v Samara83-66
13/03/23Astana v Samara73-92
15/02/23Samara v Astana89-75
04/01/23Astana v Samara51-99
27/10/22Samara v Astana93-58
Samaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg83-89
01/03/24AMBA Moscow79-69
13/02/24HRuna Moscow85-98
10/02/24HMinsk79-71
07/02/24AZenit Petersburg55-109
04/02/24AParma Perm77-68
28/01/24ALokomotiv Kuban76-91
24/01/24HAstana66-78
20/01/24ASaratov79-64
17/01/24HZenit Petersburg47-70
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ANizhny Novgorod72-94
06/03/24HMinsk76-70
03/03/24HNizhny Novgorod64-82
12/02/24HSaratov65-82
01/02/24HEnisey69-97
28/01/24ARuna Moscow67-80
24/01/24ASamara78-66
20/01/24HMBA Moscow80-71
14/01/24AUralmash Ekaterinburg71-74
10/01/24HParma Perm76-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samara
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayWLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%60%47%
Points / game78.781.276.3
Allowed / game80.379.581.1
Point differential-1.6+1.7-4.9
Avg total159.0160.7157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %37%50%21%
Points / game76.276.875.5
Allowed / game82.879.486.7
Point differential-6.7-2.7-11.2
Avg total159.0156.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan3023777%85.774.8+10.8
2 CSKA Moscow3023777%87.077.3+9.8
3 Zenit Petersburg3021970%82.773.5+9.2
4 Lokomotiv Kuban30201067%84.579.3+5.2
5 Parma Perm30181260%78.976.4+2.5
6 Uralmash Ekaterinburg32181456%81.379.8+1.6
7 Enisey30161453%84.483.1+1.3
8 Samara30161453%78.780.3-1.6
9 Saratov31151648%78.979.5-0.5
10 Runa Moscow30121840%78.281.4-3.2
11 Astana30111937%76.282.8-6.7
12 MBA Moscow32112134%74.878.6-3.8
13 Nizhny Novgorod32102231%73.778.6-4.9
14 Minsk310310%69.588.1-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samara3110251884
Astana1625121063
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