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Astros vs Diablos Rojos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 63-83
18-14 18-27 12-19 15-23
Position#2
Record31-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#4
Record26-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game81.4
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Semi-finals· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v Diablos Rojos
31 Oct 2025
ASTR63
DIAB83
30 Oct 2025
ASTR66
DIAB77
21 Oct 2025
ASTR98
DIAB71
20 Oct 2025
ASTR74
DIAB91
13 Jul 2024
ASTR74
DIAB84
12 Jul 2024
ASTR78
DIAB74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diablos Rojos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 85
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 85
H11/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
101-58
101
58
+43
104avg 85
A14/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 85
H21/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
98-71
98
71
+27
95avg 85
H22/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 85
A25/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 85
A27/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 85
A28/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 85
H31/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-12
24-22
22-22
22-27
19-19
18-19
25-14
17-22
22-13
22-16
34-23
15-19
26-16
24-12
23-16
28-14
18-21
20-19
15-27
21-24
26-25
24-11
20-12
28-23
20-25
24-10
13-26
25-23
25-20
29-27
23-12
22-21
21-23
12-13
22-19
14-13
7-29
16-12
16-19
27-17
161.9Avg total
86.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)88.976.9165.9+12.084%
Season at home (19)88.877.5166.3+11.484%
Season away (18)89.176.4165.4+12.783%
Last 10 (10)86.275.7161.9+10.570%
Last 5 (5)82.876.0158.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)92.092.0184.0+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.276.0165.2+13.289%
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRojos
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 74
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
84-96
84
96
-12
72avg 74
A14/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
81-65
81
65
+16
84avg 74
A15/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
89-83
89
83
+6
91avg 74
H18/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
91-74
91
74
+17
87avg 74
A21/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
71-98
71
98
-27
56avg 74
A22/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 74
H25/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
63avg 74
H27/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
56avg 74
H28/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
77-66
77
66
+11
71avg 74
A31/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
26-23
17-22
20-23
20-27
16-31
23-10
25-28
17-13
27-14
20-11
17-27
29-20
18-30
23-22
19-11
21-18
19-20
27-15
24-21
25-26
11-24
12-20
23-28
25-20
10-24
26-13
23-25
20-25
27-29
12-23
21-22
23-21
13-12
19-22
13-14
29-7
12-16
19-16
17-27
162.1Avg total
80.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)89.381.4170.7+7.967%
Season at home (20)97.081.8178.9+15.275%
Season away (19)81.280.9162.1+0.358%
Last 10 (10)80.381.8162.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)76.082.8158.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.882.2161.0-3.538%
vs Similar (9)83.683.0166.6+0.656%
vs Weaker (13)90.380.4170.7+9.977%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
AstrosDiablos Rojos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H11/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A14/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H22/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A28/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H31/10
LNBP
79.4Avg total
43.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.737.983.6+7.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.660%-
Last 30 away (15)45.337.382.6+8.173%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.479.4+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.079.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)50.744.094.7+6.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.137.282.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A14/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A15/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H18/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A21/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A22/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H25/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H27/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H28/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A31/10
LNBP
82.1Avg total
40.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.584.0+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.742.287.9+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.880.6-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.882.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.879.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.239.578.8-0.262%-
vs Similar (9)41.242.783.9-1.433%-
vs Weaker (13)45.541.887.4+3.762%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.1
49.2%
50.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.3
40.1%
36.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.711.3
76.9%
74.6%11.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diablos Rojostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diablos Rojos: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.715.4
43.1%
50.3%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.6
42.3%
36.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
74.6%13.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
LWWLWLWWWW
Diablos Rojos
WLLWLWWWLL
#2
League position
#4
+13.9
Net rating
-1.8
113.8
Offensive rating
108.4
99.9
Defensive rating
110.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.1%
3-point %
42.3%
53.8%
Assist %
67.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 108.4Defence99.9 · 110.2Shooting53.3% · 52.0%3-point %40.1% · 42.3%Ball care15.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Astros   ■ Diablos Rojos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
4
Diablos Rojos wins
DateGameScore
31/10/25Astros v Diablos Rojos66-77
28/10/25Diablos Rojos v Astros68-69
27/10/25Diablos Rojos v Astros80-99
25/10/25Diablos Rojos v Astros84-82
22/10/25Astros v Diablos Rojos98-71
21/10/25Astros v Diablos Rojos74-91
10/09/25Diablos Rojos v Astros79-81
09/09/25Diablos Rojos v Astros80-89
17/10/24Diablos Rojos v Astros104-70
16/10/24Diablos Rojos v Astros102-107 OT
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25HDiablos Rojos66-77
28/10/25ADiablos Rojos69-68
27/10/25ADiablos Rojos99-80
25/10/25ADiablos Rojos82-84
22/10/25HDiablos Rojos98-71
21/10/25HDiablos Rojos74-91
14/10/25AHalcones de Xalapa101-58
11/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa93-71
10/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa79-74
28/09/25AAbejas101-83
Diablos Rojoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25AAstros77-66
28/10/25HAstros68-69
27/10/25HAstros80-99
25/10/25HAstros84-82
22/10/25AAstros71-98
21/10/25AAstros91-74
18/10/25HDorados89-83
15/10/25ADorados81-65
14/10/25ADorados84-96
11/10/25HDorados78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL84%
HomeWWLWL84%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %84%84%83%
Points / game88.988.889.1
Allowed / game76.977.576.4
Point differential+12.0+11.4+12.7
Avg total165.9166.3165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%58%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diablos Rojos
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeLWWLL75%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %67%75%58%
Points / game89.397.081.2
Allowed / game81.481.880.9
Point differential+7.9+15.2+0.3
Avg total170.7178.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros3731684%88.976.9+12.0
2 Soles3327682%88.478.7+9.7
3 Fuerza Regia38271171%92.682.8+9.8
4 Diablos Rojos39261367%89.381.4+7.9
5 Mineros34201459%84.682.4+2.3
6 Dorados35201557%85.881.5+4.3
7 Panteras41192246%87.887.9-0.0
8 Halcones de Xalapa34151944%79.680.8-1.1
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1818121563
Diablos Rojos1427192383
← all games of the day
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