PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Astros vs Frayles de Guasave Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 97-68
20-19 21-16 25-18 31-15
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game81.7
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Frayles de Guasave
Mexico
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game99.4
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Astros
Other2025
Meetings · Astros v Frayles de Guasave
19 Mar 2025
ASTR97
FRAY68
18 Mar 2025
ASTR110
FRAY88
02 Mar 2024
ASTR106
FRAY83
01 Mar 2024
ASTR77
FRAY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frayles de Guasave winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Soles
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
no box
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
no box
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A31/10
LNBP
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
46avg 89
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 89
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
73avg 89
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 89
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
108-81
108
81
+27
78avg 89
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
92-84
92
84
+8
86avg 89
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
110-88
110
88
+22
109avg 89
H19/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
20-26
16-31
24-19
26-25
19-26
20-13
14-15
23-28
23-25
18-14
11-14
15-8
15-24
24-29
29-20
26-21
23-13
25-22
11-17
18-29
25-18
28-7
19-30
21-29
27-15
21-10
22-27
29-18
28-21
29-15
22-27
24-19
19-23
27-23
22-19
32-25
22-19
25-21
31-23
173.6Avg total
89.6Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.181.7175.9+12.4100%
Season at home (3)103.384.3187.7+19.0100%
Season away (4)87.279.8167.0+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.684.0173.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)98.283.6181.8+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)80.289.2169.4-9.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.482.6175.1+9.889%
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuasave
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 82
A16/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
W
124-122
124
122
+2
121avg 82
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
95-127
95
127
-32
72avg 82
H19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
95avg 82
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 82
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
94-118
94
118
-24
80avg 82
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 82
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
75avg 82
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
86-131
86
131
-45
68avg 82
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
88-110
88
110
-22
74avg 82
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
16-28
17-33
27-11
31-31
22-26
38-30
33-35
21-35
23-28
26-36
25-28
18-17
23-24
28-23
31-31
18-21
19-14
25-21
22-21
20-35
22-20
27-36
25-27
19-10
20-24
17-16
16-15
17-27
22-16
24-23
28-34
21-36
20-24
19-33
26-38
25-32
19-22
21-25
23-31
194.2Avg total
90.8Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.999.4187.3-11.643%
Season at home (4)87.588.8176.2-1.275%
Season away (3)88.3113.7202.0-25.30%
Last 10 (10)90.8103.4194.2-12.640%
Last 5 (5)86.2104.8191.0-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)93.6103.5197.2-9.931%
vs Similar (4)89.896.2186.0-6.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
AstrosFrayles de Guasave
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Soles
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H27/10
LNBP
Soles
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A31/10
LNBP
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H19/03
CIBACOPA
89.2Avg total
45.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.942.888.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.486.5+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)46.844.291.0+2.653%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.789.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)49.043.292.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)43.546.890.4-3.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.340.587.8+6.868%-
This opponent (Frayles de Guasave) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frayles de GuasaveLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H13/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/03
CIBACOPA
89.7Avg total
41.0Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.648.391.0-5.720%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.249.794.9-4.425%-
Last 30 away (14)39.646.886.4-7.114%-
Last 10 (10)41.048.789.7-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)41.049.290.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)42.348.791.0-6.315%-
vs Similar (4)44.846.291.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.5
51.1%
53.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.9
38.5%
35.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.514.6
67.9%
73.3%14.6
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frayles de Guasavetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frayles de Guasave: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.326.5
52.7%
53.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.5
31.1%
35.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.0
69.8%
73.3%15.0
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWWWWWLLL
Frayles de Guasave
LLLWLWWLWL
#1
League position
#10
+7.1
Net rating
-14.7
113.1
Offensive rating
106.2
106.0
Defensive rating
120.9
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.5%
3-point %
31.1%
59.0%
Assist %
43.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 106.2Defence106.0 · 120.9Shooting53.7% · 50.7%3-point %38.5% · 31.1%Ball care16.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Astros   ■ Frayles de Guasave
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Astros wins
0
Frayles de Guasave wins
DateGameScore
19/03/25Astros v Frayles de Guasave110-88
13/05/24Frayles de Guasave v Astros112-126
12/05/24Frayles de Guasave v Astros106-116
03/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave106-83
02/03/24Astros v Frayles de Guasave77-72
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HFrayles de Guasave110-88
16/03/25HHalcones de Obregon92-84
16/03/25HHalcones de Obregon108-81
13/03/25ACaballeros de Culiacan91-81
12/03/25ACaballeros de Culiacan90-84
09/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan85-73
08/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan83-81
31/10/24ASoles75-81
27/10/24HSoles82-86 OT
27/10/24HSoles80-101
Frayles de Guasavelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AAstros88-110
16/03/25AAngeles CDMX86-131
15/03/25AAngeles CDMX91-100
13/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana72-65
12/03/25HZonkeys de Tijuana94-118
09/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas84-77
08/03/25HOstioneros de Guaymas100-95
19/05/24HVenados de Mazatlan95-127
18/05/24HVenados de Mazatlan124-122
16/05/24AZonkeys de Tijuana74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.1103.387.2
Allowed / game81.784.379.8
Point differential+12.4+19.0+7.5
Avg total175.9187.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frayles de Guasave
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game87.987.588.3
Allowed / game99.488.8113.7
Point differential-11.6-1.2-25.3
Avg total187.3176.2202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros770100%94.181.7+12.4
2 Angeles CDMX76186%107.994.9+13.0
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis65183%91.787.0+4.7
4 Caballeros de Culiacan63350%89.589.5+0.0
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas73443%87.084.3+2.7
6 Zonkeys de Tijuana73443%90.189.1+1.0
7 Frayles de Guasave73443%87.999.4-11.6
8 Rayos de Hermosillo51420%81.290.4-9.2
9 Venados de Mazatlan71614%82.989.3-6.4
10 Halcones de Obregon5050%87.099.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2021253197
Frayles de Guasave1916181568
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.